Cowan
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank Not in top 208
New Haven Semi-State Rank #64
Delta Regional Rank #13
Delta Sectional Rank #13
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 1.7%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Meister Family Memorial Run Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up Union City Invitational Randolph Southern Invitational New Castle Invitational Jim Leffler Invitational Delta Eagle Invitational Mid-Eastern Conference Delta Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/24 8/28 9/7 9/14 9/17 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 1,366
Team Adjusted Rating
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Meister Family Memorial Run Pendleton Heights Arabian Round-Up Union City Invitational Randolph Southern Invitational New Castle Invitational Jim Leffler Invitational Delta Eagle Invitational Mid-Eastern Conference Delta Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State
511  Ezra Daniel Wright 12 17:36 18:16 18:00 17:51 17:30 17:48 17:38 18:03 17:36 17:39 17:18 18:09
Nathaniel Kirby 10 19:05 19:08 18:55 19:11 19:03 19:11 18:58 18:59 18:56 19:12 19:20
Perrin Belcher 10 19:30 19:23 19:54 20:25 19:51 19:27 19:46 19:52 19:28 19:10
Logan Walker 9 20:08 21:21 21:40 21:07 21:13 20:22 20:07 20:04 20:01 19:42
Keagan Keesling 11 20:50 20:31 21:50 20:22 21:14 20:23 20:48 20:12 21:42 21:07
Christopher Miller 11 20:54 20:41 20:29 20:23 20:59 21:17 20:45 21:14 20:53 21:09
Cheston Gingerich 10 22:07 22:40 22:58 22:22 21:47 22:42 22:00 21:39 21:49




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 1.7% 9.9 233 0.1 1.6
Sectionals 100% 6.0 152 1.7 98.3



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ezra Daniel Wright 99.8% 112.2 99.8% 99.8%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ezra Daniel Wright 100% 20.1 0.2 0.2 0.8 2.3 5.2 9.8 9.6 10.8 10.0 12.1 9.4 8.1 6.4 4.5 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ezra Daniel Wright 2.8 3.5 55.8 21.9 10.1 5.0 2.5 0.8 0.3 0.3