All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Dave Walker Invitational |
Harrison (WL) Invitational |
Bob Thomas Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Northwest Crossroads Conf. |
Rensselaer Central Sectional |
Chesterton Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
Date | |
8/24 |
9/7 |
9/14 |
9/21 |
9/28 |
10/5 |
10/12 |
10/19 |
10/26 |
Team Rating |
745 |
731 |
691 |
712 |
829 |
762 |
759 |
757 |
744 |
|
Team Adjusted Rating | |
731 |
691 |
712 |
829 |
762 |
759 |
757 |
744 |
|
State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Dave Walker Invitational |
Harrison (WL) Invitational |
Bob Thomas Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Culver Academies Invitational |
Northwest Crossroads Conf. |
Rensselaer Central Sectional |
Chesterton Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
225 |
Justin Hoffman |
10 |
17:02 |
17:14 |
17:12 |
17:08 |
16:57 |
16:51 |
17:07 |
16:53 |
17:13 |
16:54 |
284 |
Ethan Tillema |
12 |
17:11 |
17:15 |
17:11 |
16:55 |
17:19 |
16:59 |
17:19 |
17:17 |
16:57 |
17:35 |
849 |
Micah Adams |
12 |
18:06 |
17:11 |
17:13 |
17:23 |
18:45 |
18:31 |
18:04 |
18:13 |
18:25 |
|
965 |
Trenton Thomas |
12 |
18:15 |
18:31 |
18:27 |
18:25 |
18:17 |
18:53 |
18:13 |
18:19 |
17:56 |
|
1,446 |
Adam Collard |
10 |
18:49 |
19:01 |
18:38 |
19:05 |
19:07 |
18:19 |
18:51 |
18:48 |
18:51 |
|
|
Luke Bristol |
9 |
19:48 |
|
20:48 |
19:45 |
19:54 |
20:01 |
20:28 |
|
19:28 |
|
|
Zach Taylor |
11 |
20:06 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Zach Meadows |
12 |
20:06 |
|
|
|
|
20:09 |
19:52 |
20:02 |
20:33 |
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Semi-State |
35.6% |
14.4 |
373 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.3 |
2.1 |
3.4 |
5.8 |
5.8 |
7.7 |
7.1 |
2.8 |
0.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Regionals |
100% |
5.7 |
156 |
|
|
|
0.8 |
34.8 |
53.9 |
10.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sectionals |
100% |
1.2 |
42 |
83.1 |
17.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance. Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Justin Hoffman |
19.3% |
124.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
19.3% |
19.3% |
Ethan Tillema |
4.5% |
138.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.5% |
4.5% |
Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Justin Hoffman |
99.9% |
40.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
1.6 |
99.8% |
99.9% |
Ethan Tillema |
98.8% |
53.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
98.1% |
98.8% |
Micah Adams |
35.6% |
121.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
0.7% |
Trenton Thomas |
35.6% |
131.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.1% |
Adam Collard |
35.6% |
158.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Justin Hoffman |
100% |
17.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
2.2 |
3.0 |
2.1 |
3.8 |
3.8 |
4.2 |
3.9 |
4.4 |
6.4 |
6.1 |
5.4 |
6.1 |
7.4 |
6.3 |
5.8 |
4.8 |
4.3 |
4.7 |
3.3 |
|
100.0% |
Ethan Tillema |
100% |
21.9 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
3.3 |
4.0 |
4.1 |
4.0 |
6.0 |
6.0 |
6.4 |
7.2 |
6.9 |
7.0 |
7.8 |
|
100.0% |
Micah Adams |
100% |
45.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Trenton Thomas |
100% |
48.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Adam Collard |
100% |
57.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Justin Hoffman |
1.5 |
17.5 |
61.5 |
18.0 |
2.3 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Ethan Tillema |
2.5 |
2.5 |
17.8 |
60.9 |
13.6 |
3.5 |
1.4 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Micah Adams |
9.3 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.6 |
2.0 |
3.4 |
8.0 |
24.7 |
38.7 |
16.5 |
4.3 |
1.5 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Trenton Thomas |
10.4 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
2.1 |
6.7 |
22.7 |
42.1 |
15.9 |
5.9 |
2.0 |
1.1 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Adam Collard |
15.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
3.5 |
8.6 |
11.7 |
16.6 |
20.3 |
23.0 |
12.2 |
3.7 |
0.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|