Lowell
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #46
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #10
Crown Point Regional Rank #3
Crown Point Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 10th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 4.5%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Dave Walker Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Northwest Crossroads Conf. Hebron Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/24 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 497 525 726 572 701 498 641 530 460
Team Adjusted Rating 421 533 506 509 483 605 518 460
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Dave Walker Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Northwest Crossroads Conf. Hebron Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Gabriel Sanchez 12 15:30 15:48 15:22 15:38 16:12 15:39 15:57 15:24
145  Jacob Durr 12 16:49 16:52 16:33 16:40 16:45 17:42 16:55 16:37 17:02
575  Jackson Bakker 10 17:41 17:44 17:42 18:09 17:44 17:34 17:39 17:36
616  Malachi Freeman 12 17:45 17:43 18:27 19:03 18:07 18:04 17:32
738  Carlos Vazquez 12 17:56 16:49 17:56 18:16
777  Jason Palicka 11 17:59 18:09 18:10 18:20 18:24 18:05 18:07 17:46
780  Nick Nuccio 12 18:00 18:41 18:08 18:01 17:57 17:53 17:54 18:05
872  Ben Keeton 9 18:07 18:10 18:16 18:23 18:01 18:11 17:45 18:14
1,322  Dominik Fosco 12 18:40 18:22 19:08 18:30 19:24 18:25
1,598  Anthony Carver 10 18:59 19:00 19:14 18:23 20:22 18:51 18:52
1,610  Nathan Hayden 9 18:59 18:49 18:23 19:38 19:08
Corey Ogrodowski 12 19:05 19:29 19:27 18:43 18:27 19:24
Vaughn Huber 10 19:09 18:38 19:35 18:48 19:27




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 4.5% 22.2 494 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.2 1.1
Semi-State 100% 9.2 257 0.1 0.8 3.6 9.6 14.8 25.7 32.6 8.7 2.7 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.1
Regionals 100% 2.8 91 22.6 71.9 5.2 0.4
Sectionals 100% 2.0 59 98.0 2.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gabriel Sanchez 100% 1.9 32.6 19.1 12.9 8.7 7.2 4.2 3.7 2.7 2.0 1.9 1.2 0.9 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Jacob Durr 56.5% 107.9 54.5% 56.4%
Jackson Bakker 4.5% 181.4 0.0% 0.1%
Malachi Freeman 4.5% 185.4 0.0% 0.0%
Carlos Vazquez 4.5% 193.2 0.0% 0.0%
Jason Palicka 4.5% 195.6 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Nuccio 4.5% 196.8 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gabriel Sanchez 100% 1.0 54.8 33.0 9.6 2.6 0.2 100.0%
Jacob Durr 100% 24.5 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.5 2.9 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.4 3.2 3.4 3.2 3.2 3.0 3.1 3.2 4.3 2.5 100.0%
Jackson Bakker 100% 97.0 0.1 82.2%
Malachi Freeman 100% 102.7 75.2%
Carlos Vazquez 100% 118.4 41.8%
Jason Palicka 100% 123.0 32.4%
Nick Nuccio 100% 123.4 29.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gabriel Sanchez 100% 1.0 57.9 34.8 7.3 0.1 100.0%
Jacob Durr 100% 8.5 0.1 4.7 7.1 8.8 11.6 11.5 11.6 11.3 8.4 7.3 5.7 4.2 2.9 1.5 1.4 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Jackson Bakker 100% 27.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 1.4 1.8 2.2 3.1 4.9 5.8 7.6 100.0%
Malachi Freeman 100% 28.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.8 2.4 4.8 4.8 100.0%
Carlos Vazquez 100% 33.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.1 100.0%
Jason Palicka 100% 35.6 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 100.0%
Nick Nuccio 100% 36.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gabriel Sanchez 1.0 90.4 9.6
Jacob Durr 6.4 4.9 7.3 15.1 16.4 16.4 15.1 12.4 6.5 4.9 1.2 0.1
Jackson Bakker 15.5 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.0 4.1 6.9 9.9 16.2 23.4 18.6 9.9 5.6 2.2 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.3 0.1
Malachi Freeman 16.4 0.1 0.2 0.2 2.3 3.6 6.6 11.3 17.9 20.4 16.4 9.1 6.6 3.5 1.2 0.7 0.3
Carlos Vazquez 19.1 0.2 0.2 1.1 2.5 4.8 7.9 13.3 18.4 17.4 14.0 8.9 6.4 2.6 1.5
Jason Palicka 20.3 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.1 4.1 8.3 12.2 16.3 18.3 15.7 10.5 5.9 3.3
Nick Nuccio 20.6 0.1 0.6 1.2 3.3 7.4 13.1 14.4 17.1 16.9 11.8 7.1 4.2