Warsaw
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #38
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #7
Culver Academies Regional Rank #1
Culver Academies Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 24th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.1%
Advance to State Finals 43.6%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Warsaw Tiger Invitational Marion Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational NIC / NLC Culver Academies Sectional Culver Academies Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/27 9/7 9/21 9/28 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26 11/2
Team Rating 460 417 465 456 426 443 465 447 494
Team Adjusted Rating 417 465 456 426 443 465 447 494
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Warsaw Tiger Invitational Marion Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational NIC / NLC Culver Academies Sectional Culver Academies Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
113  Jacob Kissling 11 16:40 16:43 16:40 16:39 16:30 16:44 16:49 16:44 16:40 16:42
173  Sam Lechlitner 11 16:53 17:10 16:45 16:49 16:32 16:47 16:55 17:01 17:18
250  Tanner Stiver 11 17:06 16:51 17:32 17:15 17:20 16:51 17:02 17:02 17:14
441  Austin Fleming 12 17:29 17:20 17:34 17:28 17:09 17:35 17:29 17:17 18:05
516  Harrison Phipps 10 17:36 17:21 17:30 17:28 17:41 17:49 17:44 17:34
518  Luke Nier 9 17:36 17:49 17:37 17:33 17:40 17:44 17:34 17:32 17:34
525  Fernando Niebbia 12 17:37 17:07 17:19 17:36 18:10 17:31 17:43 18:04 17:24
790  Sam Slough 10 18:01 17:49 18:06 17:55 18:13 18:01
1,156  Nate Knecht 10 18:28 18:42 18:39 18:36 18:26 18:15
1,294  Ryun Hoffert 9 18:38 18:58 18:41 18:34 18:27 18:42
1,345  Garrett Hall 9 18:41 18:41 18:42 19:02 18:46 18:29
1,368  Ian Denzer 11 18:43 19:37 18:53 18:59 18:28 18:23
1,389  Jacob Denzer 11 18:44 18:51 18:36 18:58 18:45 18:42
1,409  Marston Norris 12 18:46 19:04 18:40 18:57 18:47 18:28 18:51
Angel Malagon 11 19:06 19:00 19:45 18:53 18:57 19:09
Cristian Hernandez 9 19:28 18:41 19:34 20:51 18:44 19:43




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 43.6% 22.4 513 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 1.2 1.5 2.9 3.5 6.3 10.9 16.2
Semi-State 100% 7.0 205 0.2 1.1 3.6 12.3 26.5 20.6 17.1 10.6 6.7 1.2 0.2 0.2
Regionals 100% 1.0 36 98.3 1.6 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 29 97.7 2.3 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jacob Kissling 86.2% 93.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 75.4% 85.0%
Sam Lechlitner 55.2% 116.1 20.6% 42.3%
Tanner Stiver 43.9% 141.3 0.4% 8.5%
Austin Fleming 43.6% 179.0 0.0% 0.1%
Harrison Phipps 43.6% 187.1 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Nier 43.6% 187.9 0.0% 0.0%
Fernando Niebbia 43.6% 187.6 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jacob Kissling 100% 14.9 1.2 3.3 4.0 4.3 5.8 5.4 6.0 4.6 5.7 5.1 5.2 4.1 3.2 3.5 3.4 3.6 2.9 3.2 2.2 2.9 2.4 100.0%
Sam Lechlitner 100% 29.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.7 2.0 2.2 1.7 2.1 2.7 2.2 2.7 3.1 2.9 3.2 2.6 3.1 100.0%
Tanner Stiver 100% 47.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.8 100.0%
Austin Fleming 100% 79.2 99.8%
Harrison Phipps 100% 90.0 99.4%
Luke Nier 100% 89.6 99.4%
Fernando Niebbia 100% 90.6 99.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jacob Kissling 100% 1.0 73.3 20.0 4.6 1.6 0.6 0.1 100.0%
Sam Lechlitner 100% 2.2 5.4 39.1 29.4 13.4 6.1 2.7 1.9 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Tanner Stiver 100% 4.5 0.2 2.8 14.6 23.2 18.3 13.2 8.7 5.7 4.6 3.3 2.2 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Austin Fleming 100% 13.0 0.5 1.7 2.8 4.1 5.7 6.2 7.6 7.3 7.6 7.0 6.4 5.8 6.4 5.4 4.7 4.9 3.3 3.8 2.4 1.5 1.8 1.5 100.0%
Harrison Phipps 100% 17.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.5 2.9 3.9 4.3 4.5 5.5 5.8 6.2 6.1 7.0 5.5 5.8 6.2 5.9 4.9 5.0 3.7 3.7 100.0%
Luke Nier 100% 17.9 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 1.3 2.4 2.9 4.0 4.8 4.7 5.0 5.3 6.4 6.1 6.2 6.6 6.4 5.8 6.1 4.6 4.2 3.7 100.0%
Fernando Niebbia 100% 18.0 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.0 2.2 2.7 3.8 4.3 5.3 5.6 5.9 6.0 5.5 5.9 6.0 6.5 6.4 5.1 5.6 3.9 4.8 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jacob Kissling 1.0 74.8 20.7 4.0 0.5 0.1 0.1
Sam Lechlitner 2.1 5.1 41.6 35.6 12.4 3.6 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.1
Tanner Stiver 3.8 3.3 18.3 37.7 21.2 9.8 5.1 2.2 1.2 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1
Austin Fleming 9.2 0.1 1.0 5.0 10.1 10.6 10.9 10.3 10.2 8.8 7.1 6.6 6.0 4.5 2.6 2.3 2.0 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1
Harrison Phipps 12.3 0.1 1.1 2.2 4.7 6.3 7.4 8.8 9.0 7.6 9.1 8.2 7.6 6.6 5.7 4.9 3.7 3.7 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.3
Luke Nier 12.4 0.2 0.9 2.9 5.0 5.9 6.8 7.6 9.0 9.3 7.6 8.7 7.4 6.5 5.4 5.2 5.1 3.1 1.7 1.5 0.6 0.2
Fernando Niebbia 12.8 0.9 2.4 4.1 5.5 7.4 7.4 8.0 8.1 8.1 9.1 7.5 7.8 6.7 5.5 3.9 3.4 2.3 1.7 0.5 0.2