Western
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #97
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #20
Culver Academies Regional Rank #4
Logansport Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 17th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 99.7%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Jacob Graf Invitational Taylor Invitational Manchester Invitational Maconaquah Invitational New Prairie Invitational Hoosier Conference Logansport Sectional Culver Academies Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/24 8/31 9/7 9/14 9/21 10/5 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 804 767 774 813 818 804 866 821 842 775
Team Adjusted Rating 767 774 813 818 804 866 821 842 775
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Jacob Graf Invitational Taylor Invitational Manchester Invitational Maconaquah Invitational New Prairie Invitational Hoosier Conference Logansport Sectional Culver Academies Regional New Prairie Semi-State
296  Brayden Curnutt 11 17:13 17:08 17:18 17:19 17:07 17:21 17:39 17:14 16:55 17:20
470  Joseph Packard 11 17:32 17:10 17:05 17:19 17:35 17:32 17:44 17:39 17:44 17:32
673  Pete Bradshaw 10 17:50 18:28 17:49 17:59 18:07 17:51 17:45 17:46 17:51 17:37
1,186  Taylor Rathbun 10 18:30 18:11 18:31 18:26 18:40 18:23 18:27 18:38 18:38 18:26
Cade Shock 11 19:03 19:48 20:13 20:03 19:51 19:59 19:22 19:10 20:03 18:50
Zac Cline 11 19:17 18:43 19:00 19:10 18:48 19:00 19:19 19:11 20:10 20:53
Charlie Conkle 9 19:25 20:04 19:06 19:17 19:13 20:00 19:18 19:03 19:26 19:54




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 99.7% 16.9 431 0.3 0.9 2.2 2.9 6.8 13.4 39.7 29.0 4.3 0.4
Regionals 100% 3.9 119 1.5 11.8 83.1 3.4 0.3 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 50 96.4 3.6



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brayden Curnutt 3.6% 133.8 3.6% 3.6%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brayden Curnutt 100% 57.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.7 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Joseph Packard 100.0% 82.9 85.7% 99.6%
Pete Bradshaw 99.8% 109.8 28.6% 92.6%
Taylor Rathbun 99.7% 150.8 0.0% 9.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brayden Curnutt 100% 6.3 1.0 2.8 6.1 10.9 13.3 12.1 11.2 9.2 7.6 6.1 5.1 3.6 3.0 1.5 1.7 1.3 1.6 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Joseph Packard 100% 14.8 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.9 2.5 3.4 5.7 5.0 6.2 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.0 6.0 5.5 5.2 4.8 4.1 4.5 3.6 4.0 3.0 2.8 100.0%
Pete Bradshaw 100% 25.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.5 1.1 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.7 2.8 2.7 3.4 4.4 6.0 5.9 6.5 6.3 100.0%
Taylor Rathbun 100% 38.1 0.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brayden Curnutt 1.5 34.8 29.6 20.9 11.4 2.8 0.6 0.1
Joseph Packard 4.5 0.9 4.2 10.7 20.0 30.3 22.4 10.4 1.2
Pete Bradshaw 7.1 0.1 0.3 1.0 4.7 13.2 28.4 44.7 6.1 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.1
Taylor Rathbun 12.3 0.2 8.1 11.6 13.1 13.6 13.4 9.8 8.9 6.4 5.7 3.9 2.3 1.6 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1