All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Ox Bow 4-Way |
Marion Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
New Haven Classic |
West Noble Sectional |
West Noble Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/27 |
9/7 |
9/21 |
9/28 |
10/12 |
10/19 |
10/26 |
11/2 |
| Team Rating |
448 |
438 |
523 |
521 |
517 |
463 |
434 |
437 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
438 |
523 |
402 |
386 |
463 |
434 |
437 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Ox Bow 4-Way |
Marion Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
New Haven Classic |
West Noble Sectional |
West Noble Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 41 |
Spencer Carpenter |
11 |
16:16 |
16:27 |
16:11 |
|
|
16:29 |
16:30 |
16:04 |
16:21 |
| 80 |
Remington Carpenter |
11 |
16:30 |
16:29 |
16:34 |
16:24 |
16:16 |
16:35 |
16:42 |
16:36 |
|
| 234 |
Anthony Schwartz |
12 |
17:03 |
17:09 |
17:23 |
17:10 |
17:06 |
16:54 |
16:59 |
17:01 |
|
| 330 |
Anthony Sanchez |
10 |
17:16 |
17:05 |
17:43 |
17:14 |
17:10 |
17:23 |
17:03 |
17:26 |
|
| 1,000 |
Lyndon Miller |
9 |
18:17 |
18:08 |
18:45 |
17:43 |
17:44 |
|
19:53 |
|
|
| 1,012 |
Darrion Thornburgh |
12 |
18:18 |
19:48 |
19:00 |
18:36 |
18:28 |
18:16 |
18:32 |
18:05 |
|
| 1,033 |
Andrew Cupp |
11 |
18:20 |
18:48 |
18:27 |
17:56 |
18:05 |
18:25 |
18:05 |
19:35 |
|
| 1,136 |
Dominic Hostetler |
11 |
18:27 |
18:39 |
18:40 |
18:49 |
19:12 |
18:55 |
|
18:13 |
|
| 1,444 |
Xander Wood |
9 |
18:49 |
19:11 |
18:52 |
18:33 |
18:54 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
8.9% |
17.1 |
403 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
| Semi-State |
76.2% |
8.7 |
243 |
|
|
|
0.6 |
2.8 |
5.5 |
9.3 |
15.2 |
16.6 |
15.2 |
7.5 |
3.1 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
4.9 |
129 |
|
0.1 |
9.0 |
22.4 |
44.8 |
19.1 |
4.5 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.9 |
56 |
11.8 |
86.4 |
1.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Spencer Carpenter |
88.1% |
40.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
86.9% |
88.1% |
| Remington Carpenter |
46.8% |
61.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
41.6% |
46.5% |
| Anthony Schwartz |
8.9% |
119.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.1% |
| Anthony Sanchez |
8.9% |
151.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Lyndon Miller |
8.9% |
203.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Darrion Thornburgh |
8.9% |
203.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Andrew Cupp |
8.9% |
203.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Spencer Carpenter |
100% |
13.5 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
1.0 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
5.3 |
5.6 |
5.1 |
5.1 |
5.6 |
5.9 |
5.0 |
4.7 |
4.8 |
3.5 |
4.2 |
3.4 |
3.8 |
3.0 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
1.7 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Remington Carpenter |
100% |
24.9 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
3.2 |
2.6 |
3.0 |
4.2 |
3.5 |
3.8 |
3.7 |
4.1 |
3.7 |
4.5 |
4.4 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Anthony Schwartz |
84.6% |
57.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
35.1% |
72.0% |
| Anthony Sanchez |
76.7% |
75.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2.1% |
28.6% |
| Lyndon Miller |
76.2% |
153.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Darrion Thornburgh |
76.2% |
153.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Andrew Cupp |
76.2% |
155.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Spencer Carpenter |
100% |
7.7 |
0.3 |
1.9 |
5.7 |
6.1 |
7.9 |
10.1 |
10.3 |
10.8 |
9.2 |
9.1 |
7.9 |
7.4 |
5.1 |
3.2 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Remington Carpenter |
100% |
12.8 |
0.1 |
|
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.8 |
3.2 |
3.9 |
4.6 |
7.0 |
8.7 |
10.6 |
10.9 |
9.6 |
8.5 |
7.5 |
5.3 |
5.1 |
4.5 |
2.8 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Anthony Schwartz |
100% |
27.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
2.8 |
3.6 |
4.3 |
5.7 |
6.2 |
6.3 |
6.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Anthony Sanchez |
100% |
37.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.9 |
2.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Lyndon Miller |
100% |
68.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.2% |
| Darrion Thornburgh |
100% |
69.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
98.2% |
| Andrew Cupp |
100% |
70.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
98.1% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Spencer Carpenter |
1.8 |
4.6 |
55.5 |
28.5 |
8.4 |
1.9 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Remington Carpenter |
3.5 |
0.1 |
3.7 |
29.4 |
35.5 |
17.8 |
7.2 |
4.1 |
1.4 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Anthony Schwartz |
9.6 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
2.5 |
6.1 |
9.3 |
10.8 |
12.0 |
16.8 |
14.3 |
10.8 |
7.1 |
4.9 |
2.6 |
1.7 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
| Anthony Sanchez |
13.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
2.6 |
3.0 |
6.1 |
11.4 |
13.2 |
12.7 |
12.7 |
10.8 |
8.7 |
6.8 |
5.2 |
3.2 |
1.5 |
1.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
| Lyndon Miller |
26.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
1.2 |
2.6 |
5.8 |
11.3 |
12.5 |
| Darrion Thornburgh |
26.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
2.3 |
4.9 |
11.0 |
14.4 |
| Andrew Cupp |
27.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
1.1 |
3.9 |
8.4 |
9.3 |
|
