Carmel
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #2
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #1
Noblesville Regional Rank #1
Noblesville Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 2nd place at State Finals
State Champion 17.8%
Top 5 at State Finals 90.8%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Hamilton County Marion Invitational Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invite North Central/Carmel JV Metro Interscholastic Conf. Carmel JV Quad Valley Twilight Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/16 9/1 9/5 9/12 9/19 9/19 9/26 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24 10/31
Team Rating 139 101 160 309 130 124 504 213 745 129 368 144 170 126
Team Adjusted Rating 101 145 117 130 124 139 181 139 129 139 144 170 126
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Hamilton County Marion Invitational Eagle Classic RH Flashrock Invite North Central/Carmel JV Metro Interscholastic Conf. Carmel JV Quad Valley Twilight Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
2  Kole Mathison 10 15:26 15:12 15:21 15:29 15:30 15:31 15:32 15:32 15:26 15:30
28  Jake Fisher 12 16:04 15:49 15:50 16:24 16:05 16:17 16:03 16:02 16:05 15:57
30  Charlie Schuman 11 16:06 15:59 16:15 16:04 15:58 16:33 15:59 15:59 16:16 16:00
63  Nate Seketa 12 16:25 16:33 16:41 16:46 16:33 16:47 16:51 17:10 16:18
64  Charlie Leedke 10 16:25 16:04 16:13 16:07 16:23 16:43 16:35 16:37
74  Hudson Alden 12 16:28 16:07 16:32 16:12 16:38 16:32 16:23 16:33 16:23 16:35 16:31
163  Bing Hudson 12 16:51 16:23 17:23 16:43 16:56 16:34 16:50 16:44 16:39 17:20 17:05
220  Quavion Hooks 10 17:01 17:23 17:07 16:54 16:59 17:17 17:06 16:55 16:47
228  Will Anderson 12 17:02 17:24 17:13 16:57 16:51 17:00 17:02
247  Owen Urtel 12 17:06 16:54 17:15 16:54 17:06 17:10 17:11 17:10
279  Connor Mallon 10 17:10 17:19 17:08 17:19 17:07 17:12 17:03
302  Connor Heagy 11 17:13 16:58 17:43 17:15 17:12 17:12 17:06
325  Carter Lindfelt 12 17:15 17:11 17:02 17:22 17:08 17:29 17:14
333  Kj Sweeney 10 17:17 16:52 17:06 17:50 16:57 16:52 17:30 17:44
406  Thomas Biltimier 9 17:29 17:27 17:28 17:21 17:31 17:37
465  James Gastineau 12 17:35 17:59 17:32 17:41 17:24
484  Dan Schrader-Dobris 12 17:38 17:14 17:35 17:38 17:52
577  Neil Fairman 10 17:47 17:47 17:32 17:46 17:53 17:50
601  Liam Oman 10 17:50 18:10 17:50 17:32 17:54
626  Max Meisner 9 17:52 18:17 17:55 17:51 17:39
660  Josh Bubp 11 17:55 17:56 17:47 18:05
731  Ian Miller 11 18:03 18:11 17:41 18:18
781  Will Campbell 12 18:07 18:17 18:12 17:42 18:14
812  Everett Carlisle 10 18:10 18:12 18:31 17:51
820  Ameya Belamkar 12 18:10 18:12 17:53 19:05 18:01
843  Joel Spittal 9 18:13 18:08 18:14 18:10 18:15
878  Kenneth Browner 11 18:15 18:16
890  Nash Cheslock 11 18:16 18:20 18:09
980  Reece Colvin 11 18:23 18:21 18:28
1,008  Shammah Dosunmu 12 18:25 18:20 18:24 18:34
1,011  Ian Salmon 12 18:26 18:56 18:34 17:34
1,030  Suraj Chandramouli 12 18:27 18:13 18:45 18:27
1,054  Carter Jay 10 18:29 18:34 18:20
1,110  Brett Barnhart 12 18:33 18:32
1,158  Joey Derksen 10 18:36 18:43 18:28
1,209  Jack Lappin 11 18:40 18:28 18:45 18:49
1,231  Jerry Huang 12 18:42 18:41 18:42 18:38 18:49
1,415  Kyle Grove 9 18:56 18:59 18:51
1,436  Miguel Ventura 12 18:57 18:57
Cam Wien 11 19:05 18:57 19:10 19:10
Sam Eiteljorge 11 19:06 18:58 19:19 19:05
Jt Underhill 12 19:09 18:54 20:15 18:57
Hayden Nagel 9 19:11 19:11 18:45 19:43
Joey Arroyo 9 19:18 19:26 19:07 19:19
Pranav Jothirajah 12 19:24 18:42 19:08 19:49 19:45




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 3.0 125 17.8 30.3 21.4 13.2 8.2 5.7 2.5 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1
Semi-State 100% 1.7 65 51.8 30.0 12.8 4.7 0.7 0.1 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.6 45 52.5 33.0 13.7 0.9 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.2 30 78.3 20.8 1.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kole Mathison 100% 2.1 18.9 29.9 16.6 10.7 6.5 5.1 3.8 2.4 1.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Jake Fisher 100% 28.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 1.1 0.5 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.9 1.4 1.9 2.5 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.4 3.2 3.0 2.9 2.4 2.6 2.3 98.9%
Charlie Schuman 100% 30.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.3 2.1 1.5 2.0 2.1 1.4 1.9 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.4 3.1 2.9 97.9%
Nate Seketa 100% 64.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.2 66.4%
Charlie Leedke 100% 66.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 65.7%
Hudson Alden 100% 72.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 56.5%
Bing Hudson 100% 123.5 4.4%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kole Mathison 100% 1.0 56.5 20.1 12.0 6.0 2.6 1.4 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Jake Fisher 100% 11.6 0.4 0.8 1.4 3.4 4.4 4.9 6.2 7.3 8.4 8.2 8.0 7.8 7.5 8.3 5.3 3.8 3.1 2.7 1.9 1.8 1.3 0.7 0.6 0.7 100.0%
Charlie Schuman 100% 12.3 0.2 0.4 1.0 2.4 2.8 3.9 4.7 7.5 8.0 8.5 8.2 7.4 6.8 7.3 6.3 4.8 4.4 4.0 2.9 1.9 1.4 1.2 0.8 0.8 100.0%
Nate Seketa 100% 24.5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.4 1.2 2.1 2.7 2.7 4.6 3.2 4.5 3.7 5.2 5.8 4.9 4.6 4.1 100.0%
Charlie Leedke 100% 24.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.5 2.1 3.0 3.0 3.9 4.4 4.9 5.3 5.4 5.1 4.7 5.3 3.5 100.0%
Hudson Alden 100% 27.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.5 1.4 2.9 2.1 3.3 3.4 4.1 4.2 3.5 4.5 4.2 4.8 100.0%
Bing Hudson 100% 54.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 92.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kole Mathison 100% 1.0 73.3 21.9 4.1 0.5 0.4 100.0%
Jake Fisher 100% 6.0 1.7 8.0 13.7 12.4 14.5 11.7 11.5 8.0 6.2 4.4 3.2 2.4 1.3 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Charlie Schuman 100% 6.7 1.5 5.5 9.9 12.4 13.1 11.8 11.0 9.9 8.7 6.2 4.0 2.1 1.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Nate Seketa 100% 14.5 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.3 2.7 4.5 5.3 5.6 8.8 8.1 7.7 9.3 7.6 7.2 6.5 4.5 5.0 3.2 3.1 2.3 1.5 1.6 100.0%
Charlie Leedke 100% 14.4 0.1 0.3 1.4 1.8 2.4 3.7 4.8 6.3 7.4 9.4 9.5 8.8 7.7 7.3 6.0 4.9 4.6 2.9 2.9 2.5 1.7 1.1 100.0%
Hudson Alden 100% 15.9 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.3 2.4 3.4 4.6 5.8 6.8 8.5 7.5 9.0 8.7 7.2 6.5 5.3 4.9 4.2 3.3 2.2 1.8 100.0%
Bing Hudson 100% 28.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.1 1.7 2.6 2.4 4.1 3.1 4.2 5.0 4.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kole Mathison 1.0 76.5 22.8 0.8
Jake Fisher 3.8 3.3 23.7 29.3 19.8 10.7 6.0 3.4 1.8 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1
Charlie Schuman 4.1 1.9 18.8 26.7 22.3 12.7 8.6 4.4 2.3 1.2 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1
Nate Seketa 9.5 0.1 0.5 2.7 6.9 10.0 11.3 12.6 12.2 10.5 8.0 6.8 6.1 4.1 2.6 2.3 1.6 1.0 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.1
Charlie Leedke 9.4 0.1 0.4 2.8 6.1 10.8 13.2 12.4 11.4 10.6 8.5 7.0 4.9 3.8 3.1 1.9 1.1 0.7 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1
Hudson Alden 10.6 0.1 0.2 1.0 3.9 6.4 9.9 10.9 11.4 10.7 9.0 8.7 8.2 6.2 3.8 2.6 2.6 1.5 1.7 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.1
Bing Hudson 20.0 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.5 3.4 3.6 4.5 5.3 6.7 7.9 7.0 8.3 8.7 7.9 8.6 8.0 6.7