Churubusco
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #138
New Haven Semi-State Rank #38
West Noble Regional Rank #15
West Noble Sectional Rank #15
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 0.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Marion Invitational NECC SuperDual West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Northeast Corner Conf. West Noble Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 9/5 9/9 9/19 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24
Team Rating 1,055 1,153 1,136 1,076 1,076 1,040 982
Team Adjusted Rating 1,153 1,136 1,076 1,076 1,040 982
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Marion Invitational NECC SuperDual West Noble Invitational New Haven Invitational Northeast Corner Conf. West Noble Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State
285  Eli Lantz 12 17:11 17:47 17:07 17:09 17:23 17:10 17:08 17:05 17:01
668  Levi Skinner 12 17:56 18:07 17:56 18:07 17:47 17:38 17:45 18:20
1,470  Dylan Stroder 11 18:59 18:43 19:01 19:03 18:58 19:08 18:59 19:02
Wyatt Neireiter 10 19:22 20:24 20:21 19:36 19:41 19:23 18:56 19:05
Isaac Rinker 10 19:48 20:12 19:51 19:45 19:43 19:57 19:35
Evan Palmer 9 19:56 21:06 21:18 19:37 19:43 19:46
Ethan Krider 11 19:57 20:40 21:25 19:38 19:55 19:33
Kyle Brandt 12 20:39 20:57 21:04 20:26 20:38 20:12 21:02
Xander Galvan 9 21:05 19:41 21:54 21:12




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 0.0%
Sectionals 100% 6.0 156 0.1 2.2 97.1 0.7



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Eli Lantz 64.8% 66.6 64.8% 64.8%
Levi Skinner 0.1% 107.0 0.1% 0.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Eli Lantz 100% 27.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.1 1.7 2.1 2.9 2.4 3.3 3.3 3.3 4.8 3.9 4.9 4.5 100.0% 100.0%
Levi Skinner 100% 57.1 100.0% 100.0%
Dylan Stroder 82.8% 82.7 82.8% 82.8%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Eli Lantz 5.4 2.6 38.8 24.5 13.5 9.3 4.7 2.9 1.3 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1
Levi Skinner 19.3 0.2 0.7 0.8 1.4 2.7 2.6 4.3 5.6 6.2 7.7 7.8 8.3 7.8 8.0 8.2 6.7 6.2 5.1
Dylan Stroder 38.3