All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Northwood Invite |
Northern Lakes Conference |
Marion Invitational |
Concord Invitational |
Elkhart JV Invitational |
New Haven Invitational |
Northern Lakes Conference |
Elkhart Sectional |
Elkhart Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
8/29 |
9/1 |
9/5 |
9/12 |
9/24 |
9/26 |
10/3 |
10/10 |
10/17 |
10/24 |
| Team Rating |
699 |
701 |
701 |
877 |
671 |
|
723 |
668 |
680 |
705 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
680 |
701 |
806 |
671 |
|
723 |
668 |
680 |
705 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Northwood Invite |
Northern Lakes Conference |
Marion Invitational |
Concord Invitational |
Elkhart JV Invitational |
New Haven Invitational |
Northern Lakes Conference |
Elkhart Sectional |
Elkhart Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
|---|
| 100 |
Anthony Roberts |
11 |
16:38 |
16:50 |
16:41 |
16:57 |
16:39 |
|
16:29 |
16:41 |
16:34 |
16:33 |
16:35 |
| 464 |
Ethan Smith |
11 |
17:35 |
17:23 |
17:33 |
17:44 |
17:21 |
|
17:36 |
17:33 |
17:31 |
18:10 |
|
| 680 |
Colyn Chris |
10 |
17:57 |
18:05 |
17:49 |
19:10 |
17:51 |
|
18:24 |
17:49 |
17:52 |
17:43 |
|
| 774 |
Gadiel Montiel |
11 |
18:06 |
|
17:59 |
|
18:07 |
|
18:06 |
17:59 |
18:13 |
18:04 |
|
| 1,033 |
Bryce Cook |
12 |
18:27 |
18:08 |
18:39 |
18:40 |
18:33 |
|
18:26 |
18:39 |
18:19 |
18:21 |
|
| 1,097 |
William Nicoson |
12 |
18:32 |
18:22 |
18:19 |
18:42 |
18:54 |
|
18:44 |
18:19 |
18:39 |
18:22 |
|
| 1,148 |
Kevin Cruz |
12 |
18:36 |
|
18:30 |
20:01 |
18:37 |
|
19:00 |
18:30 |
19:18 |
18:17 |
|
| 1,263 |
Michael Wolf |
11 |
18:44 |
18:49 |
18:35 |
18:59 |
18:24 |
|
19:05 |
18:35 |
|
|
|
| 1,390 |
Chad Kennedy |
|
18:54 |
18:53 |
18:55 |
|
|
|
|
18:55 |
|
|
|
|
Matthew Godzisz |
10 |
19:12 |
|
19:07 |
|
20:05 |
NEI |
|
19:07 |
|
|
|
|
Brandon Cabrera |
12 |
19:25 |
19:44 |
19:22 |
19:41 |
19:10 |
|
19:03 |
19:22 |
|
|
|
|
Martin Centeno |
10 |
19:34 |
19:31 |
19:35 |
20:04 |
19:28 |
|
19:36 |
19:35 |
|
|
|
|
Riley McEachern |
12 |
19:37 |
19:16 |
19:28 |
20:19 |
19:16 |
|
20:21 |
19:28 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
6.6 |
174 |
|
|
|
6.4 |
19.6 |
20.8 |
22.4 |
20.2 |
9.3 |
1.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
4.4 |
111 |
|
0.1 |
8.9 |
43.8 |
47.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Anthony Roberts |
21.8% |
74.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
21.8% |
21.8% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Anthony Roberts |
100% |
33.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
3.0 |
3.3 |
2.6 |
3.3 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Ethan Smith |
52.9% |
100.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
52.9% |
52.9% |
| Colyn Chris |
3.1% |
114.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.1% |
3.1% |
| Gadiel Montiel |
0.2% |
120.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3% |
0.3% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Anthony Roberts |
100% |
6.1 |
|
0.3 |
4.4 |
9.6 |
16.3 |
17.7 |
15.0 |
12.9 |
8.0 |
5.9 |
3.8 |
2.4 |
1.9 |
1.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Ethan Smith |
100% |
29.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
2.8 |
3.5 |
3.9 |
3.6 |
4.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Colyn Chris |
100% |
43.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Gadiel Montiel |
100% |
49.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Bryce Cook |
100% |
60.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.8% |
| William Nicoson |
100% |
63.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.9% |
| Kevin Cruz |
100% |
66.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
98.9% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Anthony Roberts |
3.9 |
0.7 |
7.2 |
20.9 |
24.5 |
19.8 |
14.7 |
7.2 |
3.8 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ethan Smith |
17.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
2.2 |
3.6 |
5.1 |
6.5 |
6.7 |
8.2 |
7.8 |
8.8 |
9.5 |
9.6 |
7.1 |
5.4 |
5.5 |
3.9 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
| Colyn Chris |
25.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
2.3 |
2.0 |
3.7 |
4.9 |
5.3 |
7.7 |
7.2 |
7.8 |
| Gadiel Montiel |
29.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.8 |
3.6 |
3.3 |
| Bryce Cook |
34.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
| William Nicoson |
35.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
| Kevin Cruz |
37.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
