Connersville
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #119
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #38
Rushville Regional Rank #10
Connersville Sectional Rank #10
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 0.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Connersville 6-Way Moores Hill Invitational East Central Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational RH Flashrock Invite Connersville Spartan Invitational Eastern IN Athletic Conf. Greensburg Invitational Connersville Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/22 8/29 9/5 9/12 9/19 9/22 9/26 10/1 10/10 10/17 10/24
Team Rating 920 897 998 1,203 1,083 1,264 961 1,048 1,215
Team Adjusted Rating 897 998 911 1,004 941 961 932 967
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Connersville 6-Way Moores Hill Invitational East Central Invitational Wildcat Classic Invitational RH Flashrock Invite Connersville Spartan Invitational Eastern IN Athletic Conf. Greensburg Invitational Connersville Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
549  Adam Arndt 12 17:44 17:13 17:31 18:07 18:20 17:37 17:46 17:26 17:58
565  Owen Baker 10 17:46 18:14 18:39 18:17 18:24 18:07 17:53 17:54 18:04 18:02 17:45 17:33
869  Conner Greenwell 12 18:14 18:32 18:36 18:03 18:08
1,244  Sean Brown 12 18:43 18:17 18:48 19:00 18:44 18:49 18:36 18:45
Jeremy Jergensen 11 19:07 19:09 18:58 18:42 18:52 19:24 19:09 19:07 19:02 19:25
Austin Wenta 11 19:19 19:02 19:17 18:56 19:14 19:25 19:21 19:11 19:41 19:33
Cody Brown 9 20:58 22:49 22:12 21:15 21:24 20:43 20:40 20:30
Alan Napier 12 21:46 21:16 22:05 21:13 22:19 21:52 21:48 21:55 21:42




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 0.0%
Sectionals 100% 5.6 126 0.1 0.6 1.7 5.0 31.8 47.9 13.0 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Adam Arndt 44.6% 121.2 44.6% 44.6%
Owen Baker 37.4% 122.6 37.4% 37.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Adam Arndt 100% 31.8 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.3 2.0 1.6 1.9 2.6 3.7 100.0% 100.0%
Owen Baker 100% 32.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.8 1.3 2.2 2.5 2.5 100.0% 100.0%
Sean Brown 78.1% 58.3 78.1% 78.1%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Adam Arndt 10.4 0.2 0.6 1.6 4.1 4.5 8.0 10.5 13.8 15.4 16.4 12.1 8.4 3.2 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1
Owen Baker 10.9 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.9 2.4 4.3 6.5 9.8 12.9 14.5 16.3 16.3 9.7 3.8 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1
Sean Brown 25.2 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.9 3.7 3.9 5.7 6.8 6.3 8.3 8.9