Elkhart
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #85
New Haven Semi-State Rank #29
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #8
Elkhart Sectional Rank #8
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Penn Invitational Concord Invitational New Prairie Invitational Elkhart JV Invitational New Haven Invitational Northern Indiana Conference Elkhart Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/29 9/12 9/19 9/24 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24
Team Rating 723 739 715 676 768 654 757 712
Team Adjusted Rating 739 715 676 768 654 757 712
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Penn Invitational Concord Invitational New Prairie Invitational Elkhart JV Invitational New Haven Invitational Northern Indiana Conference Elkhart Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State
269  Jose Quinones 12 17:08 16:40 16:40 17:10 17:54 17:02 17:26 16:55 17:20
361  Teagen Rodriguez 11 17:21 17:17 17:09 17:02 17:39 17:12 17:26 17:46
423  Luis Cruz-Portillo 12 17:31 18:22 17:50 17:20 17:29 17:24 17:21 17:25 17:38
990  Jacob Windy 10 18:24 18:09 18:51 18:25 17:59 18:15 19:00 18:23
1,232  Willy Zaldivar 11 18:42 18:44 18:26 19:02 18:40 18:22 18:52 18:53
1,285  Henry Castro 12 18:46 19:57 19:25 NEI 18:47 18:28 18:27
Francisco Rosales 10 19:04 19:50 19:06 18:52 19:02 18:59
Zane Lightfoot 10 19:07 19:28 19:04 19:16 19:09 18:52
Logan Mann 10 19:08 18:59 19:05 19:22 19:01 19:15
Connor Willis 11 19:10 19:29 19:13 19:06 19:13 19:00
David Stansbury 11 19:11 19:00 19:21 18:35 19:14 18:44 19:32 19:44




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 6.8 177 4.0 19.6 19.5 21.6 19.8 13.4 2.1
Sectionals 100% 4.5 112 4.7 45.0 50.4



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jose Quinones 99.7% 69.2 99.7% 99.7%
Teagen Rodriguez 92.8% 85.9 92.8% 92.8%
Luis Cruz-Portillo 68.5% 96.8 68.5% 68.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jose Quinones 100% 15.7 0.2 0.2 1.0 1.3 1.9 4.3 4.5 5.8 8.2 7.7 8.7 9.4 7.9 8.8 7.4 5.9 3.9 3.8 2.2 1.6 2.3 100.0%
Teagen Rodriguez 100% 21.5 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.0 1.7 2.3 3.3 3.9 5.3 7.1 7.9 6.4 7.5 6.3 6.3 6.1 5.1 100.0%
Luis Cruz-Portillo 100% 27.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 1.8 2.2 3.5 3.4 3.8 4.6 5.6 5.4 5.9 100.0%
Jacob Windy 100% 58.6 99.9%
Willy Zaldivar 100% 70.9 97.4%
Henry Castro 100% 73.2 95.3%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jose Quinones 9.1 0.1 0.6 1.3 3.9 7.5 13.8 21.4 18.4 13.9 7.8 4.9 3.0 1.6 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1
Teagen Rodriguez 12.1 0.4 0.5 2.3 5.6 11.2 14.5 14.5 12.5 10.7 8.6 6.0 4.4 2.7 2.3 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.2
Luis Cruz-Portillo 15.3 0.2 0.2 0.8 1.7 5.4 7.1 11.3 10.4 10.5 10.2 9.3 7.4 6.4 4.5 3.9 3.8 1.7 2.3 1.1
Jacob Windy 33.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4
Willy Zaldivar 39.2
Henry Castro 40.3