All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Hamilton County |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
RH Flashrock Invite |
HSE/Fishers JV Duel |
Hoosier Crossroads Conf. |
Carmel JV Quad |
HSE Fall JV Meet |
Pendleton Heights Sectional |
Delta Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
9/1 |
9/12 |
9/19 |
9/22 |
9/26 |
9/26 |
10/3 |
10/10 |
10/17 |
10/24 |
10/31 |
| Team Rating |
179 |
220 |
101 |
158 |
938 |
189 |
1,043 |
637 |
151 |
418 |
237 |
227 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
195 |
101 |
147 |
179 |
178 |
179 |
179 |
151 |
191 |
237 |
227 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Hamilton County |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
RH Flashrock Invite |
HSE/Fishers JV Duel |
Hoosier Crossroads Conf. |
Carmel JV Quad |
HSE Fall JV Meet |
Pendleton Heights Sectional |
Delta Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 13 |
Nolan Satterfield |
11 |
15:53 |
16:04 |
15:50 |
15:58 |
|
15:46 |
|
|
16:11 |
|
16:05 |
15:47 |
| 34 |
Will Marquardt |
11 |
16:07 |
16:17 |
15:52 |
16:01 |
|
16:02 |
|
|
15:57 |
|
16:18 |
16:26 |
| 41 |
Bennett DuBois |
11 |
16:13 |
17:42 |
16:05 |
15:56 |
|
16:19 |
|
|
15:57 |
16:09 |
16:13 |
16:42 |
| 82 |
Garrett Hicks |
11 |
16:32 |
|
16:43 |
16:49 |
|
16:48 |
|
|
16:30 |
|
16:33 |
16:25 |
| 99 |
Jack Patrick |
12 |
16:37 |
15:58 |
15:54 |
|
|
|
|
|
16:21 |
16:59 |
17:12 |
16:49 |
| 118 |
Connor Sarkovics |
11 |
16:42 |
16:52 |
16:15 |
16:20 |
|
16:34 |
|
|
|
16:53 |
17:24 |
16:48 |
| 265 |
Ash Caylor |
10 |
17:08 |
17:23 |
17:06 |
|
|
|
|
17:14 |
|
17:21 |
17:17 |
17:01 |
| 366 |
Will Tuckis |
11 |
17:22 |
16:57 |
17:00 |
17:23 |
|
17:44 |
|
17:14 |
|
17:41 |
|
|
| 428 |
Ian Ross |
9 |
17:31 |
18:08 |
17:24 |
17:27 |
|
17:25 |
|
17:34 |
|
17:49 |
|
|
| 697 |
Adam Warski |
9 |
17:59 |
17:50 |
17:27 |
18:19 |
|
18:25 |
|
18:32 |
|
17:41 |
|
|
| 833 |
Luke Pfanstiel |
12 |
18:11 |
17:58 |
18:14 |
|
|
18:13 |
|
18:25 |
18:02 |
|
|
|
| 895 |
Noah Haines |
11 |
18:16 |
18:19 |
|
|
18:05 |
18:32 |
|
18:10 |
|
|
|
|
| 941 |
Nolan Pham |
12 |
18:20 |
19:11 |
|
18:12 |
|
18:39 |
|
17:49 |
18:17 |
|
|
|
| 963 |
Cade Ogan |
11 |
18:22 |
18:09 |
17:38 |
18:02 |
|
18:56 |
|
18:56 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,070 |
Ben Harris |
10 |
18:30 |
18:59 |
|
|
18:34 |
|
18:11 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 1,169 |
Gavin Vessels |
9 |
18:38 |
18:41 |
|
|
18:32 |
|
19:09 |
18:18 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,176 |
Lucas Rankin |
12 |
18:38 |
18:38 |
|
|
18:20 |
|
|
18:51 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,177 |
Max Anderson |
12 |
18:38 |
18:17 |
|
|
18:34 |
|
18:55 |
18:40 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,212 |
Colin Brier |
10 |
18:41 |
|
|
|
18:17 |
|
18:57 |
18:44 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,319 |
Luke Andritsch |
11 |
18:48 |
18:48 |
|
|
19:03 |
|
18:32 |
18:45 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,383 |
Tanner Kutoloski |
12 |
18:53 |
|
|
|
18:58 |
|
18:55 |
18:46 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,398 |
Drew Pollak |
11 |
18:54 |
|
|
|
18:36 |
|
18:54 |
19:07 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,405 |
Connor Wright |
12 |
18:55 |
19:09 |
|
|
19:02 |
|
18:35 |
18:56 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,438 |
Joey Augustine |
10 |
18:57 |
18:37 |
|
|
|
|
|
19:07 |
|
|
|
|
|
Drew Kennedy |
10 |
19:10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
19:09 |
|
|
|
|
|
Benjamin Butler |
10 |
19:18 |
|
|
|
19:26 |
|
|
19:08 |
|
|
|
|
|
Andrew Koehler |
11 |
20:05 |
|
|
|
19:07 |
|
20:24 |
20:18 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
100% |
4.9 |
177 |
2.9 |
9.2 |
14.6 |
18.5 |
17.9 |
14.8 |
11.1 |
5.3 |
2.8 |
1.8 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
1.6 |
78 |
52.1 |
39.4 |
7.7 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.5 |
30 |
52.4 |
47.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.5 |
28 |
54.1 |
46.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nolan Satterfield |
100% |
16.3 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
2.9 |
2.6 |
3.1 |
3.6 |
4.6 |
4.2 |
4.7 |
4.1 |
4.3 |
3.6 |
4.5 |
3.6 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
3.0 |
2.7 |
2.6 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
2.3 |
|
99.7% |
| Will Marquardt |
100% |
33.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
2.8 |
2.6 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
1.6 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
|
95.6% |
| Bennett DuBois |
100% |
43.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
|
87.6% |
| Garrett Hicks |
100% |
82.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
34.8% |
| Jack Patrick |
100% |
93.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
22.0% |
| Connor Sarkovics |
100% |
106.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11.9% |
| Ash Caylor |
100% |
155.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nolan Satterfield |
100% |
4.7 |
0.7 |
12.2 |
14.3 |
13.6 |
13.0 |
11.4 |
9.4 |
7.9 |
5.0 |
3.9 |
3.0 |
1.7 |
1.5 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
100.0% |
| Will Marquardt |
100% |
10.0 |
|
0.3 |
1.3 |
3.9 |
5.4 |
6.3 |
7.7 |
9.2 |
8.3 |
7.7 |
7.0 |
7.5 |
7.0 |
5.0 |
4.1 |
3.6 |
3.3 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
2.0 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Bennett DuBois |
100% |
13.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.8 |
3.0 |
3.2 |
5.6 |
5.8 |
5.9 |
6.4 |
7.2 |
6.7 |
7.1 |
6.8 |
5.8 |
4.6 |
4.6 |
3.7 |
4.1 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Garrett Hicks |
100% |
26.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
4.8 |
4.1 |
3.2 |
4.4 |
5.8 |
4.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Jack Patrick |
100% |
31.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
3.3 |
3.0 |
3.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Connor Sarkovics |
100% |
36.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
2.2 |
1.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Ash Caylor |
100% |
68.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nolan Satterfield |
100% |
1.0 |
57.2 |
26.8 |
8.8 |
5.0 |
1.7 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Will Marquardt |
100% |
2.9 |
3.1 |
23.2 |
27.4 |
18.1 |
13.9 |
8.8 |
3.3 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Bennett DuBois |
100% |
4.3 |
0.4 |
6.3 |
17.2 |
21.5 |
16.3 |
18.8 |
10.2 |
4.9 |
2.6 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Garrett Hicks |
100% |
8.7 |
|
|
0.2 |
1.4 |
5.7 |
6.6 |
12.9 |
12.5 |
14.8 |
12.1 |
12.0 |
9.0 |
5.6 |
4.3 |
2.4 |
0.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Jack Patrick |
100% |
10.3 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
2.1 |
3.6 |
5.7 |
9.3 |
13.5 |
11.8 |
11.1 |
12.4 |
10.8 |
9.6 |
6.5 |
3.1 |
0.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Connor Sarkovics |
100% |
12.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
3.0 |
4.2 |
7.1 |
9.0 |
11.5 |
12.2 |
15.0 |
14.2 |
11.4 |
8.8 |
1.8 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Ash Caylor |
100% |
16.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
2.4 |
6.4 |
13.9 |
27.9 |
19.3 |
9.6 |
6.1 |
4.3 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nolan Satterfield |
1.0 |
57.3 |
29.0 |
8.6 |
4.0 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Will Marquardt |
2.8 |
3.6 |
22.3 |
29.3 |
18.1 |
14.4 |
8.2 |
2.8 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Bennett DuBois |
4.1 |
0.2 |
6.0 |
17.6 |
23.8 |
17.8 |
18.9 |
9.2 |
4.4 |
1.7 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Garrett Hicks |
7.8 |
|
|
0.2 |
1.7 |
6.5 |
8.5 |
18.1 |
18.3 |
15.3 |
13.7 |
8.6 |
6.0 |
2.6 |
0.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jack Patrick |
9.2 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
2.4 |
4.2 |
9.0 |
14.9 |
15.4 |
15.4 |
15.0 |
13.1 |
7.4 |
2.7 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Connor Sarkovics |
10.7 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.7 |
3.7 |
6.1 |
12.1 |
14.6 |
17.3 |
17.7 |
15.8 |
8.8 |
1.8 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ash Caylor |
14.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
2.2 |
6.0 |
15.2 |
32.9 |
25.4 |
10.1 |
3.7 |
1.6 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
