Lincoln (Cambridge City)
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #104
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #32
Rushville Regional Rank #6
Connersville Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 0th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 0.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.



Season Rating Jeremy Wright Memorial Arabian Roundup Hagerstown Invitational Union City Invitational Wayne County Invitational Union County Invitational South Adams Invitational Connersville Spartan Invitational Tri-Eastern Conference Connersville Sectional Rushville Regional
Date 8/22 8/26 8/29 9/5 9/10 9/15 9/19 9/22 10/3 10/10 10/17
Team Rating 819 702
Team Adjusted Rating 702
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Jeremy Wright Memorial Arabian Roundup Hagerstown Invitational Union City Invitational Wayne County Invitational Union County Invitational South Adams Invitational Connersville Spartan Invitational Tri-Eastern Conference Connersville Sectional Rushville Regional
314  Dylan McCullum 12 17:14 17:15
396  Trenton Bertsch 12 17:27 17:28
537  Payton McGriff 12 17:43 17:44
1,161  Blake Smith 11 18:37 18:39 17:25 19:21 18:43 18:29 NEI 19:08 19:34 17:33 18:41 18:40
Bryce Pennington 12 19:17 18:56 19:13 19:14 NEI 18:52 19:22 19:39
Luke Williams 9 19:48 20:45 21:01 19:51 19:46 19:34 NEI 21:00 19:22
Gavin Newton 10 19:50 21:03 20:32 20:04 19:57 20:20 NEI 20:04 19:34 20:14 19:24
Keaton Southerland 12 20:00 20:01
Andon Ross 11 20:03 21:03 19:54 19:51 NEI 19:46 20:16 18:51 21:52




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 0.0%
Sectionals 100% 2.6 85 27.4 22.4 22.7 21.9 5.0 0.8



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dylan McCullum 99.7% 91.2 99.7% 99.7%
Trenton Bertsch 94.3% 106.8 94.3% 94.3%
Payton McGriff 49.9% 119.7 49.9% 49.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dylan McCullum 100% 13.6 0.3 1.3 2.4 3.0 4.3 5.2 6.0 4.9 7.0 5.8 6.2 6.4 6.3 5.4 6.2 4.3 4.0 4.8 3.9 2.5 2.1 2.5 1.2 100.0% 100.0%
Trenton Bertsch 100% 21.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 1.0 1.4 1.5 2.5 3.5 3.6 3.3 4.7 4.3 5.2 6.1 5.1 6.1 5.6 5.1 6.3 5.7 100.0% 100.0%
Payton McGriff 100% 30.8 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.6 2.1 2.5 2.9 4.0 3.5 100.0% 100.0%
Blake Smith 90.0% 54.9 90.0% 90.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dylan McCullum 3.4 2.7 15.8 22.8 22.0 16.8 9.5 5.7 2.9 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.1
Trenton Bertsch 6.1 0.2 1.3 3.6 9.1 15.4 17.9 18.1 12.9 9.4 5.4 4.2 2.1 0.6 0.2
Payton McGriff 10.1 0.2 0.1 0.8 3.0 7.0 9.4 13.3 14.3 14.7 12.5 13.5 7.6 2.7 0.7 0.4
Blake Smith 22.4 0.1 0.5 0.7 3.1 5.2 6.6 6.5 7.2 8.6 8.8 8.1 7.9 7.0