All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Penn Invitational |
Northern Lakes Conference |
Concord Invitational |
Elkhart JV Invitational |
New Haven Invitational |
Northern Lakes Conference |
Elkhart Sectional |
Elkhart Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/29 |
9/1 |
9/12 |
9/24 |
9/26 |
10/3 |
10/10 |
10/17 |
10/24 |
10/31 |
| Team Rating |
432 |
565 |
469 |
515 |
NEI |
562 |
517 |
463 |
453 |
389 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
431 |
469 |
515 |
NEI |
475 |
517 |
463 |
399 |
389 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Penn Invitational |
Northern Lakes Conference |
Concord Invitational |
Elkhart JV Invitational |
New Haven Invitational |
Northern Lakes Conference |
Elkhart Sectional |
Elkhart Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 95 |
Jaxon Miller |
10 |
16:36 |
16:57 |
16:35 |
16:50 |
|
16:34 |
16:35 |
16:38 |
16:24 |
16:24 |
16:33 |
| 138 |
Jack Moore |
11 |
16:47 |
|
16:55 |
17:20 |
|
|
16:55 |
17:17 |
|
16:35 |
|
| 253 |
Bryce McMann |
12 |
17:07 |
|
17:10 |
17:35 |
|
17:09 |
17:10 |
17:14 |
17:06 |
16:55 |
|
| 360 |
Jon Spicher |
10 |
17:21 |
17:05 |
17:28 |
17:15 |
|
17:30 |
17:28 |
17:25 |
17:23 |
17:15 |
|
| 417 |
Trevin Schlabaugh |
9 |
17:30 |
|
17:39 |
18:39 |
|
17:55 |
17:39 |
17:14 |
17:12 |
17:40 |
|
| 467 |
Nathan Perez |
11 |
17:36 |
|
17:13 |
17:28 |
|
18:09 |
17:13 |
|
|
|
|
| 487 |
Aaron Cary |
|
17:38 |
18:06 |
17:34 |
17:43 |
NEI |
|
17:34 |
|
|
|
|
| 562 |
David Gingerich |
9 |
17:45 |
17:56 |
17:47 |
18:13 |
|
18:01 |
17:47 |
|
17:30 |
17:33 |
|
| 641 |
Will Knox |
10 |
17:53 |
18:08 |
18:11 |
17:55 |
|
18:23 |
18:11 |
|
17:50 |
17:40 |
|
| 727 |
David Miller |
9 |
18:02 |
17:35 |
18:24 |
17:55 |
|
17:52 |
18:24 |
|
18:53 |
|
|
| 764 |
Austin Abelseth |
10 |
18:05 |
17:36 |
18:10 |
17:48 |
NEI |
18:17 |
18:10 |
17:54 |
|
|
|
| 966 |
Jovi Martin |
9 |
18:22 |
|
18:33 |
|
|
18:13 |
18:33 |
18:26 |
|
|
|
| 1,069 |
Josiah Dyck |
|
18:30 |
18:17 |
18:39 |
18:29 |
NEI |
|
18:39 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,113 |
Graysen Beasley |
9 |
18:33 |
18:01 |
18:55 |
18:20 |
|
18:43 |
18:55 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,167 |
Brock Reschly |
10 |
18:37 |
18:52 |
18:33 |
18:27 |
|
18:42 |
18:33 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,301 |
Andrew Eichstadt |
12 |
18:46 |
|
18:40 |
18:34 |
NEI |
|
18:40 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,363 |
Andrew Miller |
12 |
18:51 |
18:31 |
18:46 |
18:45 |
NEI |
|
18:46 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,460 |
Matt Friesner |
|
18:59 |
19:06 |
18:48 |
18:58 |
NEI |
|
18:48 |
|
|
|
|
|
Brendan Gleim |
|
19:08 |
19:16 |
18:47 |
19:21 |
NEI |
|
18:47 |
|
|
|
|
|
Mason Floria |
|
19:20 |
|
18:39 |
19:52 |
|
|
18:39 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
9.1 |
265 |
|
|
0.3 |
1.7 |
4.1 |
7.9 |
11.3 |
14.8 |
15.0 |
16.3 |
13.9 |
7.8 |
3.8 |
1.8 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.7 |
78 |
6.2 |
17.5 |
74.2 |
2.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.9 |
47 |
17.0 |
80.1 |
2.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jaxon Miller |
28.3% |
72.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
28.3% |
28.3% |
| Jack Moore |
5.3% |
84.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.3% |
5.3% |
| Bryce McMann |
0.0% |
104.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
0.1% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jaxon Miller |
100% |
29.7 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
1.4 |
1.2 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
4.2 |
4.0 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Jack Moore |
100% |
41.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Bryce McMann |
100% |
65.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
98.6% |
| Jon Spicher |
100% |
86.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
85.7% |
| Trevin Schlabaugh |
100% |
99.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
62.9% |
| Aaron Cary |
100% |
110.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
40.3% |
| David Gingerich |
100% |
120.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
19.1% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jaxon Miller |
100% |
5.6 |
|
0.8 |
5.8 |
13.1 |
19.1 |
19.9 |
14.8 |
10.9 |
7.0 |
3.6 |
2.4 |
1.7 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Jack Moore |
100% |
8.3 |
|
|
0.3 |
1.6 |
6.0 |
8.8 |
14.5 |
16.0 |
12.0 |
11.9 |
9.0 |
6.0 |
5.7 |
3.3 |
2.6 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Bryce McMann |
100% |
14.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.7 |
2.9 |
4.4 |
6.9 |
6.7 |
8.9 |
8.9 |
10.1 |
8.5 |
10.0 |
7.0 |
5.6 |
5.3 |
4.1 |
2.4 |
1.8 |
1.9 |
1.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Jon Spicher |
100% |
20.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
2.6 |
3.9 |
4.9 |
5.5 |
8.1 |
7.4 |
7.5 |
7.1 |
6.3 |
6.2 |
6.6 |
5.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Trevin Schlabaugh |
100% |
26.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
2.2 |
2.6 |
4.1 |
4.4 |
4.7 |
4.8 |
6.3 |
5.5 |
5.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Aaron Cary |
100% |
31.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
2.6 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
4.1 |
|
100.0% |
| David Gingerich |
100% |
36.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jaxon Miller |
3.5 |
0.6 |
10.3 |
27.0 |
26.9 |
21.5 |
9.1 |
3.6 |
1.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jack Moore |
5.4 |
0.1 |
0.9 |
4.0 |
13.0 |
21.6 |
28.7 |
18.7 |
8.4 |
3.0 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Bryce McMann |
8.7 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.8 |
3.4 |
11.3 |
19.3 |
22.1 |
17.7 |
11.3 |
7.3 |
3.0 |
2.1 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jon Spicher |
11.8 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.8 |
2.4 |
7.0 |
12.4 |
16.4 |
13.9 |
12.7 |
10.3 |
7.6 |
5.9 |
4.3 |
2.3 |
1.5 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
| Trevin Schlabaugh |
14.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
3.2 |
6.0 |
9.2 |
10.9 |
12.4 |
10.5 |
11.1 |
8.8 |
6.4 |
5.0 |
4.4 |
3.4 |
2.7 |
2.0 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
| Aaron Cary |
17.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.2 |
2.6 |
5.3 |
6.2 |
7.9 |
9.9 |
10.3 |
9.7 |
9.3 |
8.0 |
5.6 |
5.5 |
4.6 |
3.9 |
3.0 |
| David Gingerich |
21.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
2.2 |
3.3 |
4.2 |
5.9 |
7.3 |
8.3 |
9.2 |
8.5 |
7.6 |
7.6 |
6.9 |
6.9 |
|
