All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Penn Invitational |
Northern Lakes Conference |
Concord Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Zebra Stampede |
Northern Lakes Conference |
Manchester Sectional |
Logansport Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
8/29 |
9/1 |
9/12 |
9/19 |
9/26 |
10/3 |
10/10 |
10/17 |
10/24 |
| Team Rating |
740 |
1,110 |
822 |
774 |
757 |
1,195 |
749 |
772 |
758 |
696 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
735 |
753 |
719 |
711 |
873 |
697 |
756 |
757 |
684 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Penn Invitational |
Northern Lakes Conference |
Concord Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Zebra Stampede |
Northern Lakes Conference |
Manchester Sectional |
Logansport Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
|---|
| 289 |
Nolan Bales |
10 |
17:11 |
17:40 |
17:04 |
17:14 |
17:00 |
32:04 |
17:04 |
17:27 |
17:11 |
16:59 |
| 529 |
Jonah Howard |
12 |
17:42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
17:42 |
17:57 |
17:31 |
| 738 |
Trey Hall |
10 |
18:03 |
|
17:54 |
18:42 |
18:17 |
17:58 |
17:54 |
17:53 |
18:49 |
17:50 |
| 815 |
David Schadek |
11 |
18:10 |
17:37 |
18:21 |
17:47 |
18:18 |
|
18:21 |
18:41 |
17:58 |
18:22 |
| 845 |
Max Howard |
12 |
18:13 |
|
17:49 |
|
25:03 |
18:09 |
17:49 |
|
|
|
| 866 |
Brian Vegso |
11 |
18:14 |
|
18:18 |
18:19 |
18:00 |
|
18:18 |
18:18 |
18:13 |
18:04 |
| 1,015 |
Coby Walters |
9 |
18:26 |
19:08 |
18:32 |
18:08 |
17:59 |
|
18:32 |
18:25 |
19:04 |
|
| 1,028 |
James Dreibelbis |
11 |
18:27 |
19:29 |
18:33 |
18:17 |
18:16 |
|
18:33 |
18:28 |
18:12 |
18:26 |
| 1,168 |
Robby Richards |
12 |
18:37 |
|
18:24 |
18:27 |
18:40 |
18:59 |
18:24 |
|
|
18:50 |
|
Fitz Holm |
10 |
20:06 |
20:02 |
20:22 |
20:14 |
19:51 |
20:08 |
20:22 |
|
|
|
|
Gavyn Ferman |
10 |
20:09 |
20:03 |
20:31 |
19:57 |
20:05 |
20:12 |
20:31 |
|
|
|
|
Grant Kiern |
11 |
20:21 |
20:08 |
20:30 |
20:17 |
20:45 |
20:08 |
20:30 |
|
|
|
|
Ryan Puglisi |
12 |
20:46 |
20:56 |
21:54 |
20:23 |
21:21 |
19:45 |
21:54 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
3.6 |
104 |
|
0.2 |
40.0 |
59.8 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.6 |
76 |
|
44.7 |
55.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nolan Bales |
1.8% |
130.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.8% |
1.8% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nolan Bales |
99.4% |
49.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
99.4% |
99.4% |
| Jonah Howard |
38.3% |
78.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
38.3% |
38.3% |
| Trey Hall |
1.7% |
100.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.7% |
1.7% |
| David Schadek |
0.2% |
96.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2% |
0.2% |
| Max Howard |
0.1% |
107.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2% |
0.2% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nolan Bales |
100% |
9.5 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
2.4 |
4.2 |
6.1 |
7.2 |
10.5 |
12.0 |
12.3 |
11.0 |
9.8 |
8.0 |
5.4 |
3.2 |
2.2 |
1.6 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Jonah Howard |
100% |
19.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
4.1 |
4.9 |
6.8 |
8.1 |
9.7 |
10.8 |
11.5 |
9.4 |
8.5 |
7.4 |
4.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Trey Hall |
100% |
27.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
1.8 |
2.1 |
4.4 |
4.1 |
6.0 |
8.7 |
|
100.0% |
| David Schadek |
100% |
29.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.4 |
3.6 |
3.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Max Howard |
100% |
31.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
2.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Brian Vegso |
100% |
32.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
2.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Coby Walters |
100% |
38.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nolan Bales |
6.7 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
3.8 |
6.3 |
9.7 |
14.4 |
21.5 |
17.1 |
13.3 |
7.3 |
3.6 |
1.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jonah Howard |
12.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
1.1 |
2.9 |
7.6 |
11.7 |
16.9 |
23.0 |
18.5 |
10.2 |
4.7 |
2.4 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
| Trey Hall |
16.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
7.4 |
11.8 |
16.4 |
13.9 |
14.4 |
10.4 |
7.4 |
5.2 |
3.5 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
0.8 |
| David Schadek |
19.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.7 |
3.3 |
7.8 |
10.6 |
12.4 |
12.6 |
11.4 |
11.1 |
8.4 |
7.6 |
5.1 |
3.8 |
| Max Howard |
20.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
2.6 |
4.7 |
7.3 |
10.2 |
11.7 |
12.6 |
11.8 |
11.1 |
8.9 |
6.0 |
4.9 |
| Brian Vegso |
20.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
0.8 |
2.5 |
3.1 |
6.1 |
8.8 |
11.1 |
11.3 |
14.2 |
12.2 |
8.8 |
6.4 |
4.5 |
| Coby Walters |
24.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
1.0 |
2.4 |
3.4 |
6.0 |
8.0 |
10.2 |
12.4 |
12.9 |
|
