All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Penn Invitational |
THSB State Preview |
Manchester Invitational |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
Maconaquah Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Highland Invitational |
Duneland Athletic Conf. |
New Prairie Sectional |
Chesterton Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
8/29 |
9/5 |
9/5 |
9/12 |
9/12 |
9/19 |
9/26 |
10/3 |
10/10 |
10/17 |
10/24 |
| Team Rating |
574 |
630 |
453 |
1,052 |
621 |
1,067 |
518 |
646 |
540 |
545 |
643 |
567 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
529 |
453 |
574 |
604 |
574 |
518 |
646 |
540 |
545 |
611 |
567 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Penn Invitational |
THSB State Preview |
Manchester Invitational |
Wildcat Classic Invitational |
Maconaquah Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Highland Invitational |
Duneland Athletic Conf. |
New Prairie Sectional |
Chesterton Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
|---|
| 153 |
Joel Bryant |
11 |
16:50 |
|
16:35 |
|
16:36 |
|
16:40 |
16:59 |
16:47 |
16:52 |
17:07 |
16:53 |
| 292 |
Jimmy Dillabaugh |
10 |
17:11 |
17:01 |
17:17 |
|
17:14 |
|
17:02 |
17:39 |
17:10 |
17:09 |
17:13 |
17:08 |
| 507 |
Nathaniel Malchow |
10 |
17:40 |
17:36 |
17:39 |
|
17:56 |
|
17:50 |
17:44 |
17:28 |
17:37 |
17:43 |
17:36 |
| 521 |
Charlie Moye |
11 |
17:41 |
|
17:15 |
|
18:24 |
|
17:25 |
17:56 |
17:35 |
17:37 |
|
17:51 |
| 599 |
Riley Clark |
10 |
17:50 |
|
17:18 |
|
|
|
17:59 |
17:56 |
17:46 |
17:57 |
17:59 |
17:40 |
| 703 |
Keaton Olson |
12 |
17:59 |
|
17:13 |
|
18:33 |
|
17:50 |
18:12 |
18:00 |
17:36 |
18:05 |
18:30 |
| 710 |
Owen Lashenik |
9 |
18:00 |
17:30 |
17:38 |
|
17:54 |
|
17:48 |
18:35 |
17:52 |
18:06 |
18:53 |
|
| 802 |
Jack Thursby |
12 |
18:09 |
|
18:04 |
|
18:09 |
|
18:07 |
18:08 |
18:16 |
|
|
|
| 822 |
Gavin Ellis |
11 |
18:11 |
17:55 |
18:00 |
|
18:37 |
|
17:34 |
17:52 |
17:58 |
|
18:50 |
18:57 |
| 876 |
Caleb Marconi |
11 |
18:15 |
17:54 |
18:06 |
|
|
|
18:37 |
18:23 |
18:13 |
|
|
|
| 885 |
Max Franco |
11 |
18:16 |
18:16 |
|
18:13 |
18:03 |
|
18:22 |
18:55 |
18:00 |
|
|
|
| 978 |
Nick Gring |
10 |
18:23 |
18:29 |
|
|
18:07 |
|
18:15 |
18:13 |
19:10 |
|
|
|
| 985 |
Will Young |
10 |
18:24 |
18:04 |
18:27 |
|
18:09 |
|
18:43 |
18:16 |
18:43 |
|
|
|
| 1,026 |
Nathan Nova |
10 |
18:27 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
18:25 |
18:28 |
|
|
|
| 1,099 |
Jayden Villatoro |
9 |
18:32 |
18:10 |
18:29 |
|
|
18:41 |
18:35 |
18:21 |
18:49 |
|
|
|
| 1,159 |
Patrick Brogan |
11 |
18:36 |
18:29 |
|
18:28 |
|
18:36 |
18:26 |
18:36 |
19:15 |
|
|
|
| 1,281 |
Michael Ridley |
9 |
18:45 |
18:47 |
|
18:32 |
|
18:37 |
18:32 |
19:05 |
19:05 |
|
|
|
| 1,368 |
Zeke Bloom |
10 |
18:52 |
18:45 |
|
18:49 |
|
19:00 |
|
18:51 |
18:52 |
|
|
|
|
Brecken Adams |
10 |
19:00 |
20:01 |
|
19:21 |
|
|
|
18:50 |
18:34 |
|
|
|
|
Ty Wells |
10 |
19:08 |
|
|
19:11 |
|
18:34 |
19:33 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Jacob Roytan |
11 |
19:11 |
18:22 |
|
|
|
18:57 |
|
19:23 |
19:38 |
|
|
|
|
Cameron Milroy |
11 |
19:12 |
18:53 |
|
19:12 |
|
19:18 |
|
19:04 |
19:26 |
|
|
|
|
Zach Cioe |
11 |
19:14 |
19:15 |
|
20:29 |
|
|
|
|
18:43 |
|
|
|
|
Aidan Clifford |
11 |
19:28 |
19:54 |
|
19:47 |
|
|
|
|
19:03 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
8.6 |
245 |
|
0.1 |
0.5 |
2.3 |
9.7 |
11.3 |
13.4 |
12.4 |
13.2 |
13.3 |
10.2 |
6.6 |
4.1 |
1.9 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
3.0 |
84 |
0.2 |
41.5 |
32.9 |
15.7 |
7.2 |
2.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.8 |
85 |
0.5 |
47.3 |
35.6 |
11.0 |
3.8 |
2.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Joel Bryant |
36.0% |
106.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
36.0% |
36.0% |
| Jimmy Dillabaugh |
0.8% |
124.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.9% |
0.9% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Joel Bryant |
100% |
22.6 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.6 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
2.7 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.6 |
3.1 |
3.8 |
2.3 |
3.6 |
2.8 |
3.1 |
3.0 |
3.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Jimmy Dillabaugh |
100% |
49.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
|
99.5% |
| Nathaniel Malchow |
100% |
85.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
65.2% |
| Charlie Moye |
100% |
86.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
61.8% |
| Riley Clark |
100% |
98.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
34.0% |
| Keaton Olson |
100% |
111.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11.8% |
| Owen Lashenik |
100% |
112.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10.8% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Joel Bryant |
100% |
6.2 |
0.3 |
3.3 |
12.0 |
11.5 |
10.6 |
10.5 |
9.6 |
9.2 |
7.5 |
6.1 |
5.9 |
5.5 |
3.9 |
2.0 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Jimmy Dillabaugh |
100% |
13.9 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
3.1 |
4.5 |
6.0 |
7.6 |
10.6 |
13.5 |
12.0 |
9.9 |
9.0 |
6.1 |
4.7 |
3.1 |
2.2 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Nathaniel Malchow |
100% |
24.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.5 |
2.1 |
3.6 |
4.5 |
4.9 |
6.9 |
6.7 |
7.6 |
7.8 |
7.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Charlie Moye |
100% |
25.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
2.1 |
2.6 |
3.5 |
5.5 |
6.0 |
7.8 |
7.0 |
7.7 |
6.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Riley Clark |
100% |
31.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
2.3 |
3.6 |
3.7 |
4.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Keaton Olson |
100% |
38.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
|
99.8% |
| Owen Lashenik |
100% |
39.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
|
99.6% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Joel Bryant |
5.7 |
0.5 |
4.2 |
13.3 |
12.0 |
12.3 |
11.9 |
10.1 |
9.3 |
7.6 |
7.5 |
6.5 |
3.5 |
1.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jimmy Dillabaugh |
12.0 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
4.2 |
5.5 |
8.5 |
11.0 |
15.4 |
21.6 |
13.6 |
7.3 |
4.1 |
1.4 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
| Nathaniel Malchow |
19.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
1.4 |
3.3 |
6.6 |
8.4 |
9.6 |
9.8 |
9.7 |
7.4 |
7.0 |
6.7 |
4.1 |
4.3 |
3.9 |
| Charlie Moye |
19.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
|
0.2 |
0.9 |
2.6 |
6.4 |
6.6 |
10.2 |
8.6 |
8.8 |
8.7 |
7.9 |
6.7 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
4.1 |
| Riley Clark |
24.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.9 |
2.8 |
4.5 |
4.9 |
6.9 |
6.3 |
5.6 |
5.8 |
6.9 |
5.7 |
| Keaton Olson |
30.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
3.1 |
3.6 |
3.4 |
4.9 |
| Owen Lashenik |
31.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
2.5 |
3.4 |
2.9 |
4.1 |
|
