Western
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #34
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #5
Logansport Regional Rank #2
Logansport Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 24th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Clinton Prairie Invitational Jacob Graf Invitational Taylor University Invitational Harrison Invitational Maconaquah Invitational New Prairie Invitational Hoosier Conference Logansport Sectional Logansport Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/16 8/22 8/29 9/5 9/12 9/19 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24 10/31
Team Rating 478 401 433 470 506 519 479 527 539 483 483 519
Team Adjusted Rating 401 433 446 506 467 479 527 539 483 483 519
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Clinton Prairie Invitational Jacob Graf Invitational Taylor University Invitational Harrison Invitational Maconaquah Invitational New Prairie Invitational Hoosier Conference Logansport Sectional Logansport Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
94  Brayden Curnutt 12 16:36 16:26 16:37 16:18 16:48 16:37 16:30 16:39 16:55 16:38 16:28 17:04
199  Joseph Packard 12 16:58 16:52 16:30 16:49 16:59 16:52 17:01 16:58 16:56 17:07 17:09 16:57
348  Pete Bradshaw 11 17:19 16:51 17:10 16:57 17:12 17:14 17:06 17:35 17:39 17:23 17:19 17:36
398  Drew Caldwell 12 17:27 16:52 17:04 17:45 17:18 17:27 17:30 17:35 17:39 17:18 17:32 17:27
476  Matthew Edison 12 17:37 17:51 17:55 18:04 17:48 17:47 17:39 17:36 17:31 17:29
1,104  Taylor Rathbun 11 18:33 18:56 18:12 17:55 18:36 18:16 18:31 18:36 18:43 18:30 19:02
1,395  Charlie Conkle 10 18:54 19:15 18:47 19:19 19:00 18:26 18:31 19:25 18:45 19:05
Cade Shock 12 19:07 19:36 19:37 20:07 19:13 18:42 18:52
Zac Cline 12 19:29 19:04 19:09 19:13 19:48 19:43 19:35




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 22.8 746 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.0 2.1 4.1 8.5 16.3 16.6 50.1
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 1.9 53 13.3 86.0 0.8 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 20 100.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brayden Curnutt 100% 90.7 0.1 0.1 79.8%
Joseph Packard 100% 137.3 14.5%
Pete Bradshaw 97.9% 169.6 0.0% 0.1%
Drew Caldwell 89.1% 176.7 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Edison 59.3% 183.4 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brayden Curnutt 100% 9.9 1.6 3.0 5.2 6.7 6.9 7.9 7.9 5.9 5.8 6.3 4.4 4.7 4.9 3.3 3.0 2.6 2.8 1.5 1.7 1.8 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.0 100.0% 100.0%
Joseph Packard 100% 31.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.6 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.1 2.0 1.5 2.0 2.0 2.6 2.6 2.9 2.0 3.0 2.8 2.7 100.0% 100.0%
Pete Bradshaw 97.9% 57.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 97.9% 97.9%
Drew Caldwell 89.1% 65.7 0.1 0.1 89.1% 89.1%
Matthew Edison 59.3% 76.1 59.3% 59.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brayden Curnutt 100% 1.4 39.7 28.2 14.5 8.2 5.4 2.1 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Joseph Packard 100% 5.6 0.2 4.0 10.6 13.3 13.8 14.7 11.3 11.0 9.2 5.0 3.3 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.1 100.0%
Pete Bradshaw 100% 11.8 0.1 1.1 1.9 2.9 5.4 7.6 9.1 11.9 12.2 10.2 10.9 8.5 7.1 3.9 2.4 2.1 1.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Drew Caldwell 100% 14.4 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.1 2.9 3.7 6.4 8.8 9.1 11.9 10.8 10.6 8.5 7.2 6.1 4.2 3.2 1.4 1.0 1.0 0.3 100.0%
Matthew Edison 100% 18.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.1 1.5 3.1 5.9 6.5 7.9 10.9 11.5 11.7 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.9 2.9 2.9 100.0%
Taylor Rathbun 100% 41.4 0.1 100.0%
Charlie Conkle 100% 52.4 98.8%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brayden Curnutt 1.0 97.5 2.6
Joseph Packard 1.6 1.1 77.1 19.0 2.7 0.3
Pete Bradshaw 3.7 0.7 23.6 37.8 21.5 11.1 4.1 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.1
Drew Caldwell 4.9 0.1 5.7 16.9 29.9 25.5 13.7 5.5 2.1 0.6 0.2
Matthew Edison 6.6 0.3 2.4 8.8 21.7 27.7 21.0 10.9 5.6 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.1
Taylor Rathbun 15.2 0.1 0.3 1.7 8.4 10.7 12.7 13.5 13.4 10.5 8.9 5.8 6.3 3.3 2.8 0.8 0.8 0.4
Charlie Conkle 21.7 0.2 0.1 0.9 1.1 2.6 3.5 5.6 7.4 9.1 11.6 11.1 11.9 11.6 9.9