Floyd Central
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #9
Brown County Semi-State Rank #2
Crawford County Regional Rank #1
Crawford County Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 9th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at State Finals 3.7%
Top 10 at State Finals 53.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Titan Invitational North Harrison Invitational Rick Weinheimer Classic Eagle Classic Ted Fox Invitational Hoosier Hills Conference Crawford County Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/29 9/3 9/5 9/12 9/26 10/3 10/10 10/17 10/24 10/31
Team Rating 273 229 1,169 216 250 238 326 681 328 321 372
Team Adjusted Rating 229 273 216 250 238 326 478 328 283 317
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Titan Invitational North Harrison Invitational Rick Weinheimer Classic Eagle Classic Ted Fox Invitational Hoosier Hills Conference Crawford County Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
52  Weston Naville 11 16:21 16:09 16:14 16:24 16:13 16:45 16:22
55  Will Conway 9 16:22 16:16 16:27 16:28 16:31 16:35 17:27 16:33 16:50 16:15
71  Hunter Griffin 12 16:27 16:14 16:03 16:02 16:18 16:26 16:59 16:23 17:11
172  Justin McWilliams 12 16:52 16:52 16:37 16:57 16:44 17:02 17:47 16:57 16:40 17:00
208  Nicholas Gordan 12 16:59 16:46 16:40 16:47 16:40 17:29 17:44 17:02 16:57 17:00
239  Mitchel Meier 11 17:05 17:39 17:01 16:59 17:03 17:03
266  Joseph Meier 11 17:08 17:47 17:04 16:59 17:06
276  Adam Heitz 11 17:10 16:55 17:05 17:11 16:54 17:11 17:50 17:12 17:11 17:15
420  Seth Owings 12 17:30 18:16 17:28 17:58 17:36 18:27 17:23
496  Garrett Gravitt 12 17:39 17:21 17:45 17:25 17:36 17:53 17:50
896  Nathan Wheatley 10 18:16 18:28 18:05 18:14 18:23 18:05 18:26
1,308  Ethan Edwards 9 18:47 18:44 20:41 18:55 18:45 18:59 18:38
1,400  Kyle Hohl 12 18:54 18:32 19:01 18:48 18:26 19:33 19:02
Micah Yankey 10 19:13 19:08 19:22 19:17 19:07 19:15
Rollin Douglas 10 19:21 20:00 19:28 19:56 18:56 19:04




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 10.7 312 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 2.2 4.7 8.9 11.8 12.8 11.3 11.4 7.3 7.0 5.4 5.2 3.5 2.9 2.0 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.2
Semi-State 100% 2.6 121 0.4 58.9 24.3 11.5 3.3 1.2 0.6
Regionals 100% 1.0 43 98.2 1.9
Sectionals 100% 1.0 25 100.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Weston Naville 100% 56.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.7 0.8 92.4%
Will Conway 100% 60.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 91.8%
Hunter Griffin 100% 69.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 84.4%
Justin McWilliams 100% 127.9 11.5%
Nicholas Gordan 100% 140.4 4.5%
Mitchel Meier 100% 149.8 1.8%
Joseph Meier 100% 155.0 1.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Weston Naville 100% 14.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.8 2.4 3.1 3.5 5.7 6.3 7.7 8.4 8.0 7.3 5.9 6.5 5.7 3.9 3.4 2.5 3.0 1.8 2.2 1.5 100.0%
Will Conway 100% 14.8 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.9 2.1 3.7 3.5 5.7 7.0 7.6 8.9 8.0 6.1 6.0 6.1 4.6 4.0 3.7 3.0 2.8 2.4 1.8 100.0%
Hunter Griffin 100% 17.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 1.1 1.3 1.3 1.4 3.1 4.7 4.8 7.0 6.5 6.5 7.2 5.9 5.9 5.5 5.8 3.9 3.5 3.5 3.5 100.0%
Justin McWilliams 100% 39.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.0 0.9 1.0 0.7 1.2 1.3 100.0%
Nicholas Gordan 100% 46.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 99.6%
Mitchel Meier 100% 53.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 98.9%
Joseph Meier 100% 57.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 97.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Weston Naville 100% 4.9 0.4 2.1 5.5 24.3 20.8 18.1 13.3 6.9 4.7 2.5 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Will Conway 100% 5.2 0.3 1.2 3.9 18.4 22.1 19.2 15.1 9.2 6.1 2.9 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Hunter Griffin 100% 6.4 0.3 1.6 8.1 14.7 18.1 17.5 15.5 11.6 6.3 4.1 1.4 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Justin McWilliams 100% 12.6 0.8 2.2 3.8 9.1 12.3 14.0 13.3 10.8 10.4 8.0 5.9 5.1 2.4 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.1 100.0%
Nicholas Gordan 100% 15.1 0.2 0.3 1.1 2.6 4.0 8.4 9.3 11.5 11.8 13.0 11.0 9.8 6.9 4.9 2.4 1.8 1.0 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Mitchel Meier 100% 17.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.5 2.6 5.8 5.6 9.3 11.8 11.3 10.6 12.3 11.5 8.0 4.6 2.6 0.8 0.4 100.0%
Joseph Meier 100% 18.4 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 2.6 4.2 5.5 7.3 10.1 12.3 13.5 13.8 10.9 8.1 4.1 1.7 1.8 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Weston Naville 2.2 3.1 40.5 32.0 18.6 5.0 0.8 0.1 0.1
Will Conway 2.4 3.2 34.3 32.4 22.0 6.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
Hunter Griffin 3.3 0.8 12.5 24.8 42.7 15.4 3.2 0.8 0.1
Justin McWilliams 6.6 0.1 0.3 14.0 24.4 20.5 15.4 11.1 7.4 4.1 1.7 1.1 0.3 0.1
Nicholas Gordan 8.1 2.5 10.4 16.6 18.4 16.1 13.9 10.0 6.8 3.5 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.1
Mitchel Meier 9.9 0.7 2.5 6.6 11.4 15.1 15.2 17.1 13.5 10.4 5.5 1.7 0.5 0.2 0.1
Joseph Meier 10.9 0.2 1.0 3.4 6.5 10.4 14.4 16.5 18.1 15.7 9.4 2.7 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1