All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Bob Dahl Initational |
Manchester Invitational |
NECC SuperDual |
Bruin Invitational |
West Noble Invitational |
New Haven Invitational |
Northeast Corner Conf. |
Northrop Sectional |
West Noble Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
8/16 |
9/5 |
9/9 |
9/12 |
9/19 |
9/26 |
10/3 |
10/10 |
10/17 |
10/24 |
| Team Rating |
837 |
807 |
953 |
975 |
1,048 |
901 |
909 |
815 |
915 |
|
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
807 |
819 |
794 |
849 |
831 |
849 |
815 |
915 |
|
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Bob Dahl Initational |
Manchester Invitational |
NECC SuperDual |
Bruin Invitational |
West Noble Invitational |
New Haven Invitational |
Northeast Corner Conf. |
Northrop Sectional |
West Noble Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
|---|
| 313 |
Tanner McMain |
11 |
17:14 |
16:56 |
|
|
|
17:18 |
17:13 |
17:18 |
17:13 |
17:08 |
17:27 |
| 741 |
Trevor Armstrong |
12 |
18:03 |
17:02 |
17:32 |
17:40 |
18:00 |
|
|
18:38 |
18:53 |
|
|
| 778 |
Luke Coffman |
9 |
18:07 |
18:28 |
18:18 |
18:09 |
18:09 |
18:02 |
18:18 |
17:39 |
18:08 |
|
|
| 883 |
Gavin Weller |
9 |
18:16 |
19:04 |
18:26 |
18:11 |
18:26 |
18:10 |
18:22 |
17:52 |
18:15 |
|
|
| 1,374 |
Landon Davis |
10 |
18:52 |
18:39 |
18:55 |
|
|
18:55 |
18:48 |
18:49 |
19:01 |
|
|
| 1,421 |
Colton Weimer |
12 |
18:56 |
|
18:49 |
18:45 |
18:54 |
18:56 |
18:45 |
19:19 |
19:06 |
|
|
|
Tyler Gater |
10 |
19:35 |
19:54 |
19:31 |
19:36 |
19:48 |
19:41 |
19:30 |
19:29 |
19:33 |
|
|
|
Seth Montoya |
12 |
19:54 |
19:32 |
20:08 |
19:30 |
19:42 |
19:51 |
20:24 |
20:02 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
8.7 |
214 |
|
|
|
|
|
1.3 |
6.1 |
17.9 |
74.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Tanner McMain |
0.0% |
103.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
0.1% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Tanner McMain |
55.4% |
70.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
55.4% |
55.4% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Tanner McMain |
100.0% |
29.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.7 |
3.4 |
3.1 |
3.9 |
4.2 |
5.1 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Trevor Armstrong |
18.7% |
56.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
18.7% |
18.7% |
| Luke Coffman |
10.2% |
57.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10.2% |
10.2% |
| Gavin Weller |
1.4% |
60.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.4% |
1.4% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Tanner McMain |
23.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
2.1 |
2.1 |
2.5 |
3.4 |
4.2 |
4.3 |
4.6 |
4.6 |
5.3 |
5.6 |
6.3 |
6.2 |
7.1 |
| Trevor Armstrong |
42.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Luke Coffman |
43.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Gavin Weller |
46.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Landon Davis |
58.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Colton Weimer |
59.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
