All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
| Season Rating | |
Penn Invitational |
Northern Lakes Conference |
Harrison Invitational |
Concord Invitational |
West Noble Invitational |
New Haven Invitational |
Northern Lakes Conference |
Elkhart Sectional |
Elkhart Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/29 |
9/1 |
9/5 |
9/12 |
9/19 |
9/26 |
10/3 |
10/10 |
10/17 |
10/24 |
10/31 |
| Team Rating |
321 |
1,121 |
323 |
348 |
362 |
330 |
348 |
330 |
522 |
361 |
356 |
331 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
382 |
323 |
348 |
362 |
330 |
348 |
330 |
287 |
361 |
356 |
331 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Penn Invitational |
Northern Lakes Conference |
Harrison Invitational |
Concord Invitational |
West Noble Invitational |
New Haven Invitational |
Northern Lakes Conference |
Elkhart Sectional |
Elkhart Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 20 |
Cole Johnston |
11 |
15:57 |
|
16:22 |
16:04 |
16:08 |
16:16 |
16:16 |
16:22 |
|
16:11 |
16:20 |
15:50 |
| 48 |
Drew Hogan |
11 |
16:18 |
|
16:21 |
15:59 |
16:21 |
16:08 |
16:43 |
16:21 |
16:29 |
16:33 |
16:12 |
16:14 |
| 98 |
Tommy Claxton |
10 |
16:36 |
|
16:28 |
16:24 |
16:30 |
16:41 |
16:27 |
16:28 |
|
16:51 |
16:54 |
16:47 |
| 193 |
Ryan Diaz |
12 |
16:56 |
|
16:50 |
18:35 |
17:20 |
17:03 |
16:56 |
16:50 |
16:34 |
16:49 |
16:53 |
17:08 |
| 548 |
Tyler Wiese |
11 |
17:44 |
18:30 |
17:49 |
17:58 |
17:48 |
17:36 |
17:46 |
17:49 |
17:40 |
17:48 |
17:48 |
17:37 |
| 609 |
Oliver Biek |
10 |
17:51 |
18:35 |
17:42 |
17:57 |
18:03 |
18:07 |
17:40 |
17:42 |
17:28 |
|
|
18:15 |
| 739 |
Logan Harkenrider |
11 |
18:03 |
19:09 |
18:31 |
|
19:09 |
18:27 |
18:28 |
18:31 |
18:35 |
18:14 |
17:50 |
18:16 |
| 746 |
Adrian Mora |
11 |
18:04 |
|
18:17 |
17:23 |
17:48 |
|
18:07 |
18:17 |
18:12 |
18:03 |
18:41 |
|
| 1,258 |
Alex Lopez |
9 |
18:44 |
19:08 |
18:38 |
|
18:41 |
18:28 |
18:54 |
18:38 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,326 |
Jackson Gaby |
11 |
18:49 |
18:57 |
19:00 |
|
18:36 |
18:43 |
19:07 |
19:00 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,414 |
Michael Smith |
11 |
18:55 |
18:57 |
18:52 |
|
19:07 |
18:59 |
18:44 |
18:52 |
19:02 |
|
|
|
|
David Dominguez |
10 |
19:03 |
19:07 |
19:00 |
|
19:04 |
19:09 |
|
19:00 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
100% |
13.1 |
357 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
1.4 |
3.7 |
7.0 |
10.5 |
11.3 |
12.6 |
12.2 |
9.8 |
7.6 |
7.4 |
5.9 |
4.4 |
2.9 |
2.0 |
0.8 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
5.1 |
186 |
|
0.6 |
10.1 |
32.5 |
24.0 |
16.0 |
9.2 |
4.7 |
2.0 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.7 |
58 |
39.0 |
49.5 |
11.6 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.2 |
35 |
83.0 |
17.0 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Cole Johnston |
100% |
20.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
3.5 |
2.9 |
3.3 |
3.8 |
3.8 |
3.5 |
3.2 |
4.6 |
3.8 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
|
99.5% |
| Drew Hogan |
100% |
51.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
|
79.4% |
| Tommy Claxton |
100% |
93.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
22.5% |
| Ryan Diaz |
100% |
136.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.9% |
| Tyler Wiese |
100% |
191.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Oliver Biek |
100% |
195.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Logan Harkenrider |
100% |
200.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Cole Johnston |
100% |
5.7 |
0.2 |
7.1 |
10.4 |
12.6 |
11.1 |
11.7 |
9.5 |
7.3 |
6.6 |
5.2 |
4.9 |
2.9 |
2.4 |
2.3 |
1.6 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Drew Hogan |
100% |
16.1 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
2.0 |
2.8 |
4.4 |
4.7 |
4.1 |
5.3 |
5.5 |
5.0 |
7.0 |
6.4 |
5.2 |
5.5 |
4.0 |
4.3 |
4.2 |
4.5 |
3.7 |
3.2 |
2.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Tommy Claxton |
100% |
30.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
2.0 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
2.7 |
3.0 |
2.4 |
4.1 |
3.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Ryan Diaz |
100% |
53.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Tyler Wiese |
100% |
118.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
21.6% |
| Oliver Biek |
100% |
127.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8.7% |
| Logan Harkenrider |
100% |
141.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.2% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Cole Johnston |
100% |
1.4 |
21.2 |
73.3 |
5.0 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Drew Hogan |
100% |
2.8 |
0.1 |
3.2 |
55.7 |
25.4 |
9.6 |
3.7 |
1.9 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Tommy Claxton |
100% |
5.8 |
|
|
0.8 |
13.4 |
21.0 |
18.6 |
14.7 |
11.5 |
8.1 |
5.0 |
2.6 |
2.4 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Ryan Diaz |
100% |
11.2 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
1.0 |
2.3 |
4.3 |
6.0 |
10.9 |
10.6 |
12.6 |
10.7 |
8.0 |
9.2 |
6.6 |
4.9 |
3.8 |
3.2 |
1.9 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Tyler Wiese |
100% |
35.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Oliver Biek |
100% |
40.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Logan Harkenrider |
100% |
47.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Cole Johnston |
1.0 |
97.5 |
2.3 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Drew Hogan |
1.6 |
1.2 |
78.1 |
14.8 |
4.4 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Tommy Claxton |
3.7 |
|
1.3 |
32.1 |
25.1 |
19.2 |
15.5 |
4.7 |
1.7 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ryan Diaz |
7.0 |
|
|
0.3 |
3.4 |
8.4 |
13.7 |
25.5 |
21.4 |
12.9 |
7.8 |
3.7 |
1.5 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Tyler Wiese |
20.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
3.4 |
4.8 |
5.6 |
6.0 |
6.8 |
7.9 |
8.9 |
7.6 |
7.6 |
7.3 |
7.4 |
6.6 |
| Oliver Biek |
23.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
3.9 |
4.6 |
5.5 |
7.6 |
6.9 |
7.0 |
8.2 |
8.9 |
| Logan Harkenrider |
28.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
3.5 |
4.1 |
5.7 |
|
