Lake Central
Boys - Girls
2019 - 2020 - 2021
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State Rank #30
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #4
Crown Point Regional Rank #2
Highland Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 22nd place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.2%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Crown Point Invitational Jack Bransford Classic Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. Lowell Last Chance Twilight Highland Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/16 8/22 8/29 9/5 9/12 9/19 9/26 10/3 10/6 10/10 10/17 10/24 10/31
Team Rating 433 424 380 412 399 535 382 458 382 NEI 441 529 476 515
Team Adjusted Rating 387 380 412 395 443 382 458 382 NEI 441 475 476 515
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Crown Point Invitational Jack Bransford Classic Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conf. Lowell Last Chance Twilight Highland Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
145  Logan Russell 12 16:48 17:13 17:07 16:55 16:59 16:37 16:41 16:53 16:44 16:45 16:37 16:57
189  Zakaria Mohiuddin 12 16:56 17:07 16:26 16:35 16:32 16:51 17:03 16:53 16:59 17:20 17:22 16:48
232  Hayden Podlin 12 17:03 16:32 16:39 17:00 16:48 16:58 17:07 16:57 17:09 17:00 17:06 17:56
351  Vincent Vanderveen 11 17:19 17:54 17:11 17:06 17:23 17:22 17:13 17:12 17:07 17:25 17:33 17:22 17:22
353  Jordan Duggan 12 17:20 17:15 17:13 17:19 17:16 17:05 17:43 16:57 17:14 17:39 17:42
492  Kyle Birgel 12 17:38 17:03 17:13 17:37 17:16 17:30 17:48 17:44 18:18 17:44
517  Braden Johnson 12 17:41 17:27 17:09 17:31 17:38 18:09 17:39 17:38 17:54 18:20 17:28 17:38
753  Drew McGrath 9 18:04 18:18 18:17 18:02 17:59 17:56 18:08
759  Ethan Shassberger 11 18:05 17:56 18:24 18:06 18:19 18:35 NEI 18:00 18:08 17:57
805  Avery Ramos 11 18:09 18:15 18:20 18:07 18:07 18:20 18:06 18:03 NEI
1,151  Kaden Smith 10 18:36 17:19 17:36 17:23 17:37 19:06 19:28 19:29 NEI
1,235  Dylan Lopez 10 18:43 20:47 19:20 18:25 19:35 18:23 18:42 18:25 18:45 NEI
1,267  Dylan Dieringer 11 18:44 18:49 18:43 18:17 18:52 18:26 19:13 18:52 18:52 NEI
1,315  Austin Wojcik 9 18:47 18:55 18:25 18:24 19:33 19:58 18:19
1,318  Ben Schmitt 11 18:48 19:00 18:32 18:46 18:45 18:40 18:42 18:47 NEI
1,350  Danny McGrath 12 18:51 18:44 18:31 18:43 20:15 18:52
1,378  Roger Ochoa 9 18:53 20:07 19:35 18:48 18:48 18:48 18:39
1,381  AJ Rhody 12 18:53 21:46 19:11 18:31 18:52 18:47
1,417  Riley Petrovich 9 18:56 20:00 19:39 18:52 18:46 18:51 18:46
Nathan Jendreas 11 19:08 19:15 19:25 19:06 19:08 18:59 19:11
Trey Scheub 11 19:10 21:19 18:33 18:36 19:17 19:20 20:07 NEI
Jack Wolstenholme 11 19:45 19:59 19:04 20:04




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 21.4 541 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.7 1.5 2.3 2.6 4.5 8.4 15.8 32.0 22.2 8.5
Semi-State 100% 3.9 154 2.6 9.6 21.7 43.1 12.4 6.4 2.4 1.5 0.5 0.2 0.1
Regionals 100% 2.1 77 5.9 77.2 13.1 3.7 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.1 32 89.6 10.4



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Logan Russell 100% 119.3 38.5%
Zakaria Mohiuddin 100% 133.3 17.9%
Hayden Podlin 100% 146.9 5.7%
Vincent Vanderveen 100% 170.6 0.1%
Jordan Duggan 100% 170.6 0.1%
Kyle Birgel 100% 187.1 0.0%
Braden Johnson 100% 188.9 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Logan Russell 100% 21.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.9 1.1 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.6 3.7 4.2 3.4 3.3 4.2 3.1 3.8 3.3 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.2 2.3 3.0 100.0%
Zakaria Mohiuddin 100% 29.5 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.0 0.8 0.7 1.4 0.7 1.6 1.9 2.4 1.6 2.0 2.9 2.5 2.1 2.9 3.2 2.9 3.2 2.8 100.0%
Hayden Podlin 100% 38.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.2 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.6 1.8 1.9 100.0%
Vincent Vanderveen 100% 59.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 99.6%
Jordan Duggan 100% 59.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 99.5%
Kyle Birgel 100% 83.3 87.1%
Braden Johnson 100% 86.5 82.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Logan Russell 100% 8.5 2.0 2.4 4.8 7.9 9.4 9.3 9.9 8.9 9.0 7.6 7.5 5.2 5.3 3.2 2.8 2.1 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.2 100.0%
Zakaria Mohiuddin 100% 11.8 0.4 0.8 2.0 2.0 4.1 4.3 7.6 6.9 7.1 8.4 8.8 8.7 6.6 6.9 6.4 4.5 4.9 3.1 2.3 2.2 1.2 0.9 0.4 0.2 100.0%
Hayden Podlin 100% 15.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 2.1 2.5 3.1 3.3 4.9 7.0 7.7 8.3 8.1 8.7 7.7 7.3 7.6 5.6 4.5 3.0 3.2 1.6 1.2 100.0%
Vincent Vanderveen 100% 22.8 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.9 3.5 4.1 5.2 6.7 7.1 9.5 9.4 11.0 10.6 100.0%
Jordan Duggan 100% 22.8 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.3 1.1 1.6 1.4 1.9 3.4 4.6 5.8 6.8 7.0 8.2 8.8 9.7 10.0 100.0%
Kyle Birgel 100% 29.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.9 2.0 2.4 4.1 100.0%
Braden Johnson 100% 30.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.6 1.5 2.7 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Logan Russell 2.7 27.8 30.9 22.5 12.6 4.5 1.6 0.3 0.1
Zakaria Mohiuddin 4.2 5.2 15.9 23.9 26.8 17.9 8.5 1.7 0.2 0.1
Hayden Podlin 5.4 1.4 4.2 11.9 20.2 28.2 23.6 7.5 2.0 0.7 0.4 0.1
Vincent Vanderveen 8.3 0.1 0.1 1.1 3.5 12.2 24.8 26.8 16.3 8.3 3.5 2.0 0.9 0.5 0.2
Jordan Duggan 8.3 0.1 0.2 0.8 4.1 10.4 25.6 25.6 17.3 8.4 4.4 1.8 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.2
Kyle Birgel 12.1 0.1 0.5 3.1 9.1 16.5 19.2 15.2 12.2 9.0 7.8 4.5 2.9 0.3 0.1
Braden Johnson 12.8 0.3 1.8 7.4 12.6 14.9 16.1 13.3 12.3 8.5 7.8 4.5 0.8