Avon
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #35
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #14
Ben Davis Regional Rank #3
Brownsburg Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season Rating THSB State Preview Eagle Classic Hoosier Crossroads Conference Nike Valley Twilight North Central JV Meet Brownsburg Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 9/4 9/11 9/25 10/2 10/5 10/9 10/16 10/23 10/30
Team Rating 485 428 391 437 663 964 466 541 575
Team Adjusted Rating 428 391 437 520 485 465 541 575
State RankRunnerSeason Rating THSB State Preview Eagle Classic Hoosier Crossroads Conference Nike Valley Twilight North Central JV Meet Brownsburg Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
35  Griffin O'Neill 12 16:11 15:59 15:54 16:19 16:35 16:31 16:08 16:08
102  Sam Clore 10 16:36 15:57 15:59 16:36 16:26 16:35 17:21 16:59
381  Sam Sublette 12 17:31 17:50 17:14 17:20 17:36 17:11 17:34 17:55
428  Ben Hunter 10 17:37 17:38 17:31 17:16 18:00 17:25 17:25 18:28
593  Drew Demerly 11 17:55 17:34 17:46 18:00 18:30 17:52 17:49
673  Jaxon Davis 10 18:03 17:45 18:17 17:44 18:00 18:10 18:07 18:10
680  Aiden Shaw 11 18:04 17:52 17:57 17:51 18:12 18:35
734  Nate Wigger 10 18:09 18:17 17:57 17:54 18:10 17:56 18:13 18:53
811  Jack Germani 10 18:16 18:14 17:56 18:36 18:11 18:02 18:47
897  Wesley Mills 11 18:23 18:47 18:04 18:39 18:24 18:10
898  Leo Brown 12 18:23 17:54 17:51 19:04 18:18 18:49
982  Dawson LeMay 11 18:31 17:57 18:04 18:29 19:02 18:50
1,171  Andrew Neyhart 11 18:45 18:46
1,298  Zach Risner 9 18:55 19:31 19:01 18:50 18:54 18:41
Cort Haney 10 19:03 18:46 18:57 19:12 18:51 19:34
Kaelon Stofferahn 11 19:07 19:11 19:02 19:27 19:17 18:39
Kai Sheley 10 19:23 19:37 19:03 18:26 20:08 19:34




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 11.0 311 0.1 0.5 2.0 6.9 23.2 37.8 21.5 6.2 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 3.2 94 15.7 46.0 35.9 2.4 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.9 57 12.2 83.4 4.4



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Griffin O'Neill 96.7% 38.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.0 2.1 96.7% 96.7%
Sam Clore 34.8% 76.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 34.8% 34.8%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Griffin O'Neill 100% 13.7 0.0 0.4 1.3 2.9 3.4 4.4 4.9 5.3 5.9 5.9 5.7 6.0 5.6 5.8 4.8 4.5 4.0 3.8 3.3 3.2 2.5 2.5 2.1 1.7 100.0%
Sam Clore 100% 35.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.7 1.2 1.1 1.5 1.3 1.6 1.8 2.3 2.2 2.5 100.0%
Sam Sublette 100% 104.8 92.3%
Ben Hunter 100% 112.5 82.4%
Drew Demerly 100% 131.7 34.2%
Jaxon Davis 100% 139.5 14.8%
Nate Wigger 100% 144.9 6.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Griffin O'Neill 100% 1.1 47.4 18.4 14.4 8.9 5.8 3.0 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Sam Clore 100% 6.7 0.1 3.3 5.6 7.9 10.3 12.6 13.8 13.7 11.3 8.3 5.2 3.1 2.0 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Sam Sublette 100% 26.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.0 1.7 2.3 2.7 4.0 5.5 6.1 7.2 8.0 100.0%
Ben Hunter 100% 29.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.3 3.3 3.9 5.0 100.0%
Drew Demerly 100% 37.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 100.0%
Jaxon Davis 100% 41.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
Nate Wigger 100% 44.8 99.9%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Griffin O'Neill 1.0 86.3 11.7 1.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0
Sam Clore 2.7 0.4 28.4 32.2 20.6 10.7 4.3 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1
Sam Sublette 13.7 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.6 3.0 6.1 8.7 10.5 11.2 11.3 10.8 9.4 7.8 6.1 4.8 3.5 2.4 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0
Ben Hunter 16.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.8 3.7 5.4 7.7 9.2 9.8 10.6 10.4 10.4 9.6 8.0 5.3 3.9 1.7 0.7 0.2
Drew Demerly 21.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.4 2.2 3.4 5.2 7.0 9.7 11.4 14.1 14.9 12.6 8.2
Jaxon Davis 23.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.6 2.4 4.1 5.5 8.5 11.9 16.1 17.1
Nate Wigger 25.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.2 2.2 3.6 6.6 10.5 15.0