Cowan
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season Rating Ethan Cheeseman Memorial Run Meister Family Memorial Run Arabian Round Up Wapahani Invitational Union City Invitational Delaware County Randolph Southern Invitational New Castle Invitational Jim Leffler Invitational New Haven Invitational Mid-Eastern Conference Delta Sectional Delta Regional
Date 8/17 8/21 8/25 8/28 9/4 9/7 9/11 9/14 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16
Team Rating
Team Adjusted Rating
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Ethan Cheeseman Memorial Run Meister Family Memorial Run Arabian Round Up Wapahani Invitational Union City Invitational Delaware County Randolph Southern Invitational New Castle Invitational Jim Leffler Invitational New Haven Invitational Mid-Eastern Conference Delta Sectional Delta Regional
1,200  Gavin Ashby 10 18:47 19:05 19:02 19:29 19:19 18:47 18:45 19:12 19:02 19:00 18:30 18:35 19:23 18:28
1,270  Perrin Belcher 12 18:52 18:48 19:28 20:01 19:32 19:26 18:55 18:50 19:10 18:53 19:18 18:47 18:37 18:32
Logan Walker 11 19:08 18:39 18:40 19:02 18:50 19:23 18:54 19:08 19:26 19:07 19:35 19:01 19:27
Nathaniel Kirby 12 21:28 22:25 22:00 22:40 21:52 21:39 21:00




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gavin Ashby 0.0% 142.5 0.0% 0.0%
Perrin Belcher 0.0% 127.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gavin Ashby 100% 50.4 100.0% 100.0%
Perrin Belcher 100% 53.2 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gavin Ashby 25.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 3.7 11.1 11.0 10.3 10.2
Perrin Belcher 27.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.8 5.5 7.3 7.9 8.2