Danville
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #77
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #23
Ben Davis Regional Rank #6
Brownsburg Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season Rating Hendricks County THSB State Preview Ben Davis Invitational Golden Spike Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Sagamore Conference Brownsburg Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/31 9/4 9/11 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23
Team Rating 727 1,102 942 674 721 759 728 826 788
Team Adjusted Rating 733 804 674 721 759 728 724 682
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Hendricks County THSB State Preview Ben Davis Invitational Golden Spike Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Sagamore Conference Brownsburg Sectional Ben Davis Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
131  Alec Means 12 16:46 16:38 16:30 16:47 16:57 16:30 17:02 16:52 16:41 17:01
422  Lucas Steward 11 17:37 17:33 17:54 17:34 17:29 17:42 17:32 17:49 17:21 17:40
441  Jack Hearld 9 17:40 17:03 17:27 17:43 17:43 17:41 17:47 17:50
933  Joseph Countryman 11 18:26 19:21 18:22 18:57 18:36 18:27 18:08 18:07
1,044  Dakoda Greci 10 18:36 18:51 18:34 18:40 18:15 18:55 18:27
Owen Clodfelter 9 19:58 20:57 20:06 20:21 19:57 19:35 19:50 19:53 19:56
Hunter Vanbebber 11 19:58 19:46 19:44 19:38 19:47 22:04 19:58 20:14
Abe Means 10 20:31 19:24 21:00 20:27 20:44 20:34
David Cruz 12 20:32 21:01 20:07 20:13 21:13




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 6.0 174 0.0 3.5 90.9 5.2 0.4 0.0 0.0
Sectionals 100% 4.0 111 5.2 94.4 0.4



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alec Means 8.8% 89.2 0.0 0.0 8.8% 8.8%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alec Means 100% 47.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 100.0% 100.0%
Lucas Steward 90.7% 111.4 90.7% 90.7%
Jack Hearld 84.7% 114.2 84.7% 84.7%
Joseph Countryman 0.2% 146.3 0.2% 0.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alec Means 100% 9.5 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.7 3.3 4.9 7.4 10.4 13.2 13.7 11.9 9.0 6.9 4.6 3.6 2.3 2.1 1.4 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Lucas Steward 100% 29.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.7 2.3 3.5 4.5 5.1 100.0%
Jack Hearld 100% 30.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.8 4.0 100.0%
Joseph Countryman 100% 53.7 96.6%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Alec Means 4.2 0.9 6.5 14.2 23.8 24.9 13.4 7.5 5.1 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
Lucas Steward 16.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.2 2.7 3.9 5.9 7.7 8.9 9.3 9.6 10.0 10.1 8.3 7.5 5.0 3.8 2.4 1.5 0.7
Jack Hearld 17.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.6 3.9 5.6 7.1 7.9 9.1 10.5 10.5 10.3 8.5 7.7 5.4 3.6 2.2 1.6
Joseph Countryman 29.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.5 2.6