Hagerstown
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #99
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #31
Rushville Regional Rank #6
Connersville Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season Rating Ethan Cheeseman Memorial Run Jeremy Wright Invitational East Central Invitational Wayne County Jac-Cen-Del Invitational Eastern Hancock Invitational Connersville Spartan Invitational Tri-Eastern Conference Connersville Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/17 8/21 9/4 9/9 9/11 9/18 9/21 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23
Team Rating 865 768 817 929 868 894 850 880 870 839 848
Team Adjusted Rating 768 817 929 868 894 850 880 870 839 848
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Ethan Cheeseman Memorial Run Jeremy Wright Invitational East Central Invitational Wayne County Jac-Cen-Del Invitational Eastern Hancock Invitational Connersville Spartan Invitational Tri-Eastern Conference Connersville Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
370  Quaid Mull 11 17:30 17:43 17:30 17:43 17:29 17:18 17:16 18:11 17:23 17:36 17:26 17:30
521  Quentin Osborne 12 17:48 17:21 17:49 17:48 17:44 17:41 17:50 17:37 18:04 17:42 17:49 18:04
863  Joey Auker 12 18:20 18:03 18:15 18:36 18:44 18:38 18:23 18:21 18:12 18:14 18:05
1,045  Kaden Young 10 18:36 18:12 18:17 18:36 18:19 18:42 18:34 18:42 18:43 18:39 19:08
1,068  Carter Jenkins 11 18:38 18:21 20:32 19:51 18:39 18:55 18:38 18:13 18:34 18:23 18:35
1,177  Nolan Brown 12 18:46 18:26 18:26 18:58 18:42 19:21 18:49 18:42 18:46
Ryan Hill 12 19:57 19:40 19:45 20:21 20:27 19:33 20:28 20:40 19:38 19:42




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 6.0 170 0.3 12.6 25.8 29.7 17.2 9.6 3.8 0.9
Sectionals 100% 2.3 79 21.7 47.1 18.7 9.0 3.5



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Quaid Mull 98.6% 103.7 98.6% 98.6%
Quentin Osborne 69.3% 121.0 69.3% 69.3%
Joey Auker 0.9% 140.5 0.9% 0.9%
Carter Jenkins 0.0% 150.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Quaid Mull 100% 22.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.7 2.4 3.0 4.5 5.6 7.3 9.5 10.8 11.9 11.8 10.0 100.0%
Quentin Osborne 100% 27.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.8 3.3 5.2 8.0 100.0%
Joey Auker 100% 40.1 0.0 100.0%
Kaden Young 100% 53.1 98.6%
Carter Jenkins 100% 54.7 98.1%
Nolan Brown 100% 61.1 94.1%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Quaid Mull 5.6 0.1 0.9 3.1 13.6 19.7 21.8 20.7 11.8 5.8 2.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Quentin Osborne 8.7 0.0 0.3 1.7 4.4 9.7 18.3 22.2 21.6 14.7 4.2 1.8 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Joey Auker 15.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 4.7 12.2 11.6 11.1 9.6 8.8 7.2 6.5 5.7 4.5 4.3 3.1 2.6 2.0 1.7
Kaden Young 23.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.2 2.7 3.5 4.2 4.9 5.1 5.7 6.2 6.5 5.7 6.4 6.3
Carter Jenkins 24.3 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.6 2.2 2.9 3.4 3.9 4.3 5.2 5.4 6.1 6.1 6.0 6.3
Nolan Brown 28.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.7 2.5 2.9 3.2 4.1 4.2 5.5