Heritage
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank Not in top 175
New Haven Semi-State Rank #55
Marion Regional Rank #11
Bellmont Sectional Rank #11
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 0.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season Rating Marion Invitational Wildcat Classic South Adams Invitational New Haven Invitational Allen County Athletic Conference Bellmont Sectional Marion Regional
Date 9/4 9/11 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16
Team Rating 1,375 1,243
Team Adjusted Rating 1,243 1,433 1,413 1,411 1,415 1,334
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Marion Invitational Wildcat Classic South Adams Invitational New Haven Invitational Allen County Athletic Conference Bellmont Sectional Marion Regional
1,007  Ethan Hoffman 12 18:33 18:36 18:45 18:06 18:14 19:13 18:22 18:38
1,129  Jaxon Hoting 10 18:43 18:28 18:16 19:00 18:57 18:41 18:59 18:32
1,206  Alex Rodriguez 12 18:47 18:37 19:13 19:08 20:04 18:43 18:22 18:55
Hayden Amstein 9 20:13 20:35 20:38 20:35 19:30 20:16 19:53
Derrean Schmenk 11 21:00 21:10 20:55 20:58 20:54 21:13
Jakob Dinius 12 21:14 19:19 23:39 20:53 21:54




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 0.0%
Sectionals 0.0%



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Hoffman 0.9% 144.5 1.0% 1.0%
Jaxon Hoting 0.1% 146.0 0.1% 0.1%
Alex Rodriguez 0.0% 149.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Hoffman 100% 39.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 100.0% 100.0%
Jaxon Hoting 100% 45.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Alex Rodriguez 100% 48.3 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ethan Hoffman 20.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.1 2.0 3.9 6.4 9.2 10.1 10.6 9.6 9.8 8.8 7.9 6.2
Jaxon Hoting 24.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.5 3.9 5.2 6.9 7.3 8.5 10.0 10.3
Alex Rodriguez 26.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.6 2.7 4.1 5.0 6.8 8.5 9.5