Lowell
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #47
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #10
Crown Point Regional Rank #4
Hebron Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season Rating Crown Point Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Northwest Crossroads Conference Hebron Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/15 9/11 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23 10/30
Team Rating 581 795 599 629 570 830 582 542
Team Adjusted Rating 598 599 629 570 659 580 542
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Crown Point Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Northwest Crossroads Conference Hebron Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
93  Jackson Bakker 12 16:33 16:44 16:37 16:52 16:27 16:37 16:24 17:16
367  Ben Keeton 11 17:30 17:13 17:30 17:39 17:25 17:28 17:36
415  Nathan Hayden 11 17:36 17:33 17:49 17:37 17:40 17:27
482  Lee Coleman-Lark 12 17:44 17:51 17:47 17:41 17:40 18:17 17:39 17:35
545  Seth Bakker 10 17:50 18:13 18:46 18:04 18:08 18:42 17:40
649  Vaughn Huber 12 18:00 17:57 18:25 17:36 18:32 17:51 17:57
903  James Snow 11 18:24 18:24 19:01 18:32 18:26 18:19 18:16
Josh Reck 12 19:18 18:20 20:00 19:36 19:25 18:58 19:14




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 9.2 243 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 3.7 6.5 9.8 13.4 16.7 17.7 15.4 7.8 3.6 1.8 0.5 0.1
Regionals 100% 3.9 93 3.5 10.8 19.7 30.0 34.7 1.3 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.0 62 12.1 74.8 12.4 0.7



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jackson Bakker 93.2% 84.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 93.2% 93.2%
Ben Keeton 0.0% 143.3 0.1% 0.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jackson Bakker 100% 9.9 0.0 2.2 4.3 5.4 6.1 6.3 6.4 6.8 6.7 6.5 6.3 5.9 6.0 5.4 4.3 4.1 3.2 2.7 2.1 1.9 1.7 1.3 1.0 0.8 0.6 100.0%
Ben Keeton 100% 58.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Nathan Hayden 100% 68.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
Lee Coleman-Lark 100% 82.9 98.9%
Seth Bakker 100% 93.4 96.7%
Vaughn Huber 100% 112.4 86.2%
James Snow 100% 144.7 26.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jackson Bakker 100% 2.6 14.0 24.4 20.7 19.1 11.8 5.5 2.5 1.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Ben Keeton 100% 17.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.1 2.0 3.4 4.3 5.6 6.4 6.7 6.6 6.7 7.2 6.6 6.5 6.0 5.2 4.6 4.1 3.4 100.0%
Nathan Hayden 100% 21.5 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.7 2.6 3.4 3.8 4.3 5.3 5.4 5.9 6.1 6.3 6.1 5.9 6.0 5.7 100.0%
Lee Coleman-Lark 100% 26.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.7 1.9 2.7 3.1 3.5 4.0 4.8 5.5 5.6 5.8 100.0%
Seth Bakker 100% 29.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.6 1.8 2.3 2.7 3.3 3.9 4.5 100.0%
Vaughn Huber 100% 34.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.8 1.4 100.0%
James Snow 100% 43.4 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jackson Bakker 2.5 13.3 25.1 22.9 20.6 12.3 4.0 1.4 0.5 0.1
Ben Keeton 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.0 4.2 13.6 17.7 15.5 13.5 10.8 7.8 5.8 4.0 2.4 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0
Nathan Hayden 12.7 0.0 0.6 1.1 5.0 9.2 11.9 12.4 13.0 12.1 10.1 8.3 6.3 4.2 2.8 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1
Lee Coleman-Lark 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.1 4.3 6.5 8.4 10.0 11.1 11.6 11.6 9.8 8.2 6.2 4.2 2.4 1.4 0.7 0.4
Seth Bakker 17.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.5 2.7 4.5 6.1 7.8 9.8 11.0 12.3 12.4 9.7 7.8 5.9 3.4 2.2 1.2
Vaughn Huber 20.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 1.0 1.9 2.9 4.7 6.0 9.9 12.4 13.0 12.1 11.3 7.8 6.1
James Snow 27.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 2.3 3.8 5.6 7.2