McCutcheon
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #111
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #23
Harrison (WL) Regional Rank #5
Harrison (WL) Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season Rating Rochester Invitational Maverick Stampede Lafayette City/County Harrison (WL) Invitational Wildcat Classic New Prairie Invitational North Central Conference Harrison (WL) Sectional Harrison (WL) Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/21 8/28 8/31 9/4 9/11 9/18 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23
Team Rating 930 921 923 894 874 887 892 887 943 993 927
Team Adjusted Rating 921 923 894 874 887 892 887 943 993 927
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Rochester Invitational Maverick Stampede Lafayette City/County Harrison (WL) Invitational Wildcat Classic New Prairie Invitational North Central Conference Harrison (WL) Sectional Harrison (WL) Regional New Prairie Semi-State
706  Dan Sanson 11 18:06 18:13 18:24 17:56 17:46 17:53 18:36 17:57 18:04 18:04 18:20
826  Luke Persin 10 18:17 18:16 18:46 18:13 18:04 18:13 18:19 18:45 18:13 18:58 18:07
892  Cary Swick 11 18:23 18:23 18:19 18:19 18:24 18:24 17:49 18:32 18:36 18:33 18:13
906  Keondre Garing 11 18:24 18:43 18:50 18:58 18:28 18:40 18:40 18:04 18:00 18:18 18:44
996  Drew Holdman 11 18:32 18:15 17:41 18:32 18:25 18:28 19:03 18:21 19:03 18:42 18:29
1,001  Ethan Kerr 12 18:32 18:29 18:58 18:28 18:22 18:31 17:58 18:16 18:59 18:52 18:30
1,208  Brooks Burnette 10 18:47 18:39 18:26 19:18 18:28 18:25 18:30 18:42 19:17 19:06 19:14
1,293  Drew Spenner 12 18:54 19:05 18:20 19:19 18:25 18:42 19:16
Jack Rabideau 11 19:05 18:49 19:26 18:43 18:15 19:25 19:48
Mason Lee 9 19:09 18:55 19:54 18:55 18:56 19:16 19:15
Jared Stewart 12 19:09 19:38 19:15 19:02 19:34 19:05 18:47
Ian Baker 9 19:17
Connor Felty 9 19:32 19:49 19:33 19:06 19:48
Noah Yenerich 10 19:35 19:23 19:53 19:33 19:45 19:39 19:26
Hudson Burnette 9 21:13 21:05 23:35 21:34 21:14 20:26




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 19.1 512 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.5 4.9 13.8 38.7 40.6
Regionals 100% 4.6 117 0.0 0.1 1.2 37.3 61.4 0.0
Sectionals 100% 4.5 124 0.0 0.5 3.2 41.3 55.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dan Sanson 100% 121.7 94.3%
Luke Persin 100% 137.3 76.9%
Cary Swick 100% 143.3 62.7%
Keondre Garing 100% 145.1 58.0%
Drew Holdman 100% 151.9 35.1%
Ethan Kerr 100% 152.4 33.9%
Brooks Burnette 100% 162.2 5.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dan Sanson 100% 19.5 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.4 2.9 3.6 4.4 4.3 4.7 5.3 5.4 5.7 6.0 5.6 5.7 5.8 5.4 4.7 4.6 100.0%
Luke Persin 100% 26.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.7 2.3 2.5 3.1 3.3 3.9 4.0 4.6 5.0 5.1 100.0%
Cary Swick 100% 30.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.0 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.6 3.1 3.2 4.1 100.0%
Keondre Garing 100% 31.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.1 1.8 2.3 2.3 3.1 3.3 100.0%
Drew Holdman 100% 35.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.4 99.9%
Ethan Kerr 100% 36.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.8 0.8 1.2 99.9%
Brooks Burnette 100% 43.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.5%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dan Sanson 17.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 3.3 4.0 4.8 5.5 5.9 7.0 6.8 6.3 6.9 7.0 6.8 6.2 5.3 4.6 4.5 3.6
Luke Persin 23.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.8 2.3 3.0 3.6 3.8 4.2 5.3 5.9 6.6 7.1 7.4 7.1
Cary Swick 26.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.8 1.4 1.6 2.0 2.7 3.5 3.7 4.4 5.3 6.1 6.6
Keondre Garing 27.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.5 2.2 2.6 3.1 4.0 5.2 5.3 6.2
Drew Holdman 31.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.5 3.0
Ethan Kerr 31.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.7 2.2 2.9
Brooks Burnette 37.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1