All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | |
Norwell Bob Dahl Invitational |
Meister Family Memorial Run |
Wildcat Classic |
New Haven Invitational |
Northeast 8 Conference |
Bellmont Sectional |
Marion Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
8/15 |
8/21 |
9/11 |
9/25 |
10/2 |
10/9 |
10/16 |
10/23 |
| Team Rating |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Norwell Bob Dahl Invitational |
Meister Family Memorial Run |
Wildcat Classic |
New Haven Invitational |
Northeast 8 Conference |
Bellmont Sectional |
Marion Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
|---|
| 243 |
Andrew Arnos |
11 |
17:10 |
17:17 |
16:46 |
16:46 |
17:24 |
16:59 |
17:22 |
17:16 |
17:08 |
| 685 |
Justin Rhodes |
12 |
18:04 |
17:28 |
17:07 |
17:21 |
18:03 |
|
18:31 |
18:56 |
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Andrew Arnos |
0.0% |
126.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Andrew Arnos |
100% |
61.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Justin Rhodes |
52.4% |
129.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
52.4% |
52.4% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Andrew Arnos |
100% |
4.9 |
|
0.1 |
0.9 |
22.8 |
28.0 |
26.6 |
14.9 |
3.8 |
1.5 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Justin Rhodes |
100% |
24.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
2.7 |
2.7 |
3.2 |
4.0 |
4.4 |
5.3 |
5.7 |
5.8 |
6.2 |
6.6 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Andrew Arnos |
1.5 |
|
93.0 |
5.2 |
1.2 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Justin Rhodes |
12.6 |
|
|
0.6 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.9 |
3.4 |
4.8 |
5.8 |
6.3 |
7.9 |
8.8 |
10.1 |
10.7 |
11.9 |
8.8 |
6.5 |
3.5 |
2.0 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
