Northeastern
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #83
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #25
Rushville Regional Rank #4
Connersville Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season Rating BRV Early Bird Invitational Richmond Invitational Hare and Hounds Invitational Rushville Invitational Marion Invitational Wayne County RH Flashrock Invitational Connersville Spartan Invitational New Haven Invitational Tri-Eastern Conference Connersville Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/15 8/21 8/21 8/28 9/4 9/9 9/18 9/21 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23
Team Rating 770 747 770 770 770 717 681 749 876 775 810 774 783
Team Adjusted Rating 747 770 770 770 717 681 749 767 775 810 774 783
State RankRunnerSeason Rating BRV Early Bird Invitational Richmond Invitational Hare and Hounds Invitational Rushville Invitational Marion Invitational Wayne County RH Flashrock Invitational Connersville Spartan Invitational New Haven Invitational Tri-Eastern Conference Connersville Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
153  Chase Cates 11 16:53 16:33 16:15 16:15 16:54 16:54 16:44 16:53 16:50 17:15 17:09 17:27 16:51
379  Jackson Ramsey 12 17:31 17:36 16:58 16:58 17:30 17:40 17:34 17:22 17:34 17:46 17:29 17:47 17:30 17:23
851  Nolan Drake 10 18:19 18:34 18:30 18:30 18:44 18:27 18:04 18:28 18:09 18:10 18:13 18:28 18:12 18:17
936  Grant Luebbe 11 18:26 18:30 18:40 18:40 20:57 18:15 18:14 18:21 18:22 18:33 18:12 18:28
991  Mason Mull 11 18:31 18:20 19:07 19:07 18:09 18:14 17:42 19:11 18:41 18:14 18:38 18:51
1,060  Bryston McFarland 10 18:38 18:20 19:29 18:23 19:48 18:28 18:25 18:26 18:37 18:24 19:08
Mathew Stephen 12 20:23 20:44 20:04 20:04 21:34 20:40 19:22 22:09 20:03 19:48 20:04 20:56 20:56 20:14
Dalton Justice 9 20:50 21:33 21:33 21:08 18:32 21:26 21:35 20:35 20:17




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 100% 17.9 476 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.5 5.2 13.9 48.1 28.0 1.4
Regionals 100% 4.5 144 4.7 59.5 20.5 9.7 3.6 1.4 0.5 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.4 63 71.3 21.1 5.6 1.6 0.4



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chase Cates 3.0% 96.2 3.0% 3.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chase Cates 100% 54.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Jackson Ramsey 100% 104.9 94.6%
Nolan Drake 100% 152.4 1.3%
Grant Luebbe 100% 156.8 0.3%
Mason Mull 100% 159.7 0.1%
Bryston McFarland 100% 163.4 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chase Cates 100% 7.6 0.2 2.7 4.3 6.1 8.6 10.7 11.0 9.9 8.9 7.9 7.1 5.6 4.4 3.4 2.9 2.3 1.4 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jackson Ramsey 100% 22.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.5 2.2 2.7 4.1 5.2 7.0 8.5 11.0 11.1 10.9 9.3 100.0%
Nolan Drake 100% 39.6 0.0 0.0 99.9%
Grant Luebbe 100% 44.7 99.9%
Mason Mull 100% 48.5 99.5%
Bryston McFarland 100% 54.3 98.2%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chase Cates 1.0 50.0 29.0 17.2 3.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0
Jackson Ramsey 5.7 0.5 2.5 12.8 19.4 21.2 18.7 12.9 6.8 3.6 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
Nolan Drake 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 5.0 11.6 12.2 11.6 10.7 9.2 7.5 6.3 5.2 4.1 3.5 2.5 2.0 1.8 1.2
Grant Luebbe 17.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.4 3.9 6.1 7.5 8.2 8.8 8.1 8.2 7.0 6.4 5.4 4.9 4.5 3.9 3.2
Mason Mull 20.2 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.5 4.0 5.3 5.9 7.0 7.0 7.3 7.5 6.4 6.5 6.2 5.7 4.9
Bryston McFarland 24.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 1.8 2.9 3.3 4.2 5.2 5.2 5.8 6.2 6.1 6.4 6.2