Orleans
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #140
Brown County Semi-State Rank #30
Bedford North Lawrence Regional Rank #8
Bedford North Lawrence Sectional Rank #8
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season Rating Scott Hiles Fall Invitational Mustang Invitational Crawford County Invitational Barr-Reeve Invitational Ted Fox Invitational Bedford North Lawrence Sectional Bedford North Lawrence Regoinal Brown County Semi-State
Date 8/23 8/31 9/18 9/21 9/25 10/9 10/16 10/23
Team Rating 1,083 1,224 1,247 1,130 1,227 982 1,009 1,262
Team Adjusted Rating 1,224 1,247 1,130 1,227 982 1,009 1,159
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Scott Hiles Fall Invitational Mustang Invitational Crawford County Invitational Barr-Reeve Invitational Ted Fox Invitational Bedford North Lawrence Sectional Bedford North Lawrence Regoinal Brown County Semi-State
296  Bryce Jones 9 17:21 17:35 17:29 17:05 17:08 17:06 17:26 17:35 17:23
569  Xavier Alston 10 17:52 18:14 18:40 17:59 18:15 17:44 17:29 17:56 17:43
Jaydien Willis 9 19:07 19:21 19:17 19:31 21:01 18:50 18:42 20:04
Micah Evans 12 19:21 19:18 19:35 19:43 19:06 19:10 19:23
Ammon Morgan 10 19:55 21:16 20:39 19:56 20:20 19:31 19:40 19:38
Braeden Petty 12 20:37 21:19 19:52 20:37 20:30 20:55 20:39
Joey Sanders 9 20:43 20:39 21:13 20:31 20:44
Gib Penn 9 21:06 20:54 21:14 20:48 21:18 20:30 21:21 21:41




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 8.2 220 0.1 2.7 72.2 23.4 1.6
Sectionals 100% 4.9 149 0.0 5.5 94.5



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bryce Jones 100% 58.7 100.0% 100.0%
Xavier Alston 96.8% 99.4 96.8% 96.8%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bryce Jones 100% 19.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.9 3.2 7.1 15.5 15.4 17.2 13.4 8.9 5.7 3.3 1.9 100.0%
Xavier Alston 100% 28.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 2.6 4.1 5.4 6.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bryce Jones 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.1 1.7 2.4 4.8 21.4 16.1 23.1 16.8 6.9 2.9 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Xavier Alston 17.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 3.4 7.7 12.0 15.1 15.7 14.9 11.2 7.7 5.2 3.2 1.5 0.7