Providence
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season Rating Lou Knoble Invitational Rick Weinheimer Classic Eagle Classic Nike Valley Twilight Crawford County Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State
Date 8/21 9/4 9/11 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23
Team Rating
Team Adjusted Rating
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Lou Knoble Invitational Rick Weinheimer Classic Eagle Classic Nike Valley Twilight Crawford County Sectional Crawford County Regional Brown County Semi-State
338  Ben Kelly 11 17:27 17:33 17:39 17:19 17:46 17:07 17:33 17:19
798  Cristobal Martinez 11 18:15 18:16
1,056  Drew Kelly 9 18:37 18:30 18:41 19:15 18:14 18:35




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ben Kelly 97.8% 64.7 97.8% 97.8%
Drew Kelly 0.0% 120.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ben Kelly 100% 16.3 0.0 0.1 1.4 8.4 9.9 9.8 8.9 8.7 8.0 6.6 6.2 5.7 5.0 4.0 3.4 2.9 2.7 100.0% 100.0%
Drew Kelly 100% 46.5 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Ben Kelly 10.3 0.2 13.7 15.5 16.3 15.4 12.4 9.8 7.3 4.9 2.9 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
Drew Kelly 22.9 0.1 0.4 1.6 4.1 9.0 18.4 17.6 15.3 12.3