Roncalli
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #89
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #28
Rushville Regional Rank #5
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season Rating Joe Harvey Circle City Conference Arabian Round Up CougarPalooza Invitational Indiana Catholic Championship Ray Gerkin Invitational Ted Fox Invitational Marion County Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
Date 8/21 8/25 9/8 9/11 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23
Team Rating 811 756 860 726 783 854 953 825 930 908
Team Adjusted Rating 756 798 726 783 730 863 749 838 841
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Joe Harvey Circle City Conference Arabian Round Up CougarPalooza Invitational Indiana Catholic Championship Ray Gerkin Invitational Ted Fox Invitational Marion County Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rushville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State
487  Evan Baker 11 17:45 17:45 17:53 17:20 17:59
573  Jack Davis 10 17:53 17:28 18:40 17:41 17:44 17:43 18:08 17:31 18:08 17:53 18:05
581  Jean-luc Euzen 12 17:54 17:49 17:31 17:45 18:00 17:56 17:48 18:20
836  David Warner 11 18:18 18:25 17:31 18:08 18:16 18:04 18:30 18:04 18:54 18:35
899  Jack Rittenhouse 12 18:24 19:21 18:52 18:29 18:08 18:36 18:28 18:10 18:19 18:09
935  Ronan Euzen 12 18:26 18:04 17:46 19:18 18:28
1,093  Nathan Hollcraft 10 18:40 18:39 18:19 18:53 18:42 18:36 18:53 18:42 18:32 18:43
1,328  Sam Vaught 9 18:58 19:05 18:48 19:08 18:37 19:43 18:58 18:59 18:45
Ezra Littell 10 19:04 18:41 18:26 20:07 18:54 19:21
David Love 12 19:12 19:10 19:44 19:26 18:42 19:04 19:07
John Wagner 9 19:43 19:49 19:40 20:54 19:52 19:39 19:30 19:30
Liam Huff 10 19:47 19:58 19:36 20:19 19:55 19:32
Matthew Hurrle 12 20:00 20:40 20:11 20:04 19:58 19:34




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 5.6 163 0.2 18.5 37.7 24.4 11.2 5.2 2.3 0.5
Sectionals 100% 4.0 120 0.1 97.8 2.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jack Davis 54.2% 125.0 54.2% 54.2%
Jean-luc Euzen 50.2% 125.6 50.2% 50.2%
David Warner 0.6% 138.5 0.6% 0.6%
Jack Rittenhouse 0.2% 146.1 0.2% 0.2%
Ronan Euzen 0.0% 143.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jack Davis 100% 29.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.6 2.9 4.6 100.0%
Jean-luc Euzen 100% 29.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.6 2.4 4.1 100.0%
David Warner 100% 39.1 100.0%
Jack Rittenhouse 100% 42.7 100.0%
Ronan Euzen 100% 44.6 100.0%
Nathan Hollcraft 100% 56.7 100.0%
Sam Vaught 100% 70.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jack Davis 19.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 2.3 8.7 17.8 22.9 23.7 15.8 4.6 1.9 0.8
Jean-luc Euzen 20.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.9 7.1 15.5 22.7 24.3 18.7 5.1 2.3 1.1
David Warner 24.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.3 5.9 17.8 16.6 14.1
Jack Rittenhouse 26.1 0.1 0.4 2.1 8.2 12.2 12.4
Ronan Euzen 26.8 0.0 0.2 1.3 4.8 8.3 11.9
Nathan Hollcraft 31.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1
Sam Vaught 36.4