All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | |
Penn Invitational |
THSB State Preview |
Wildcat Classic |
Minutemen Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Highland Invitational |
Duneland Athletic Conference |
New Prairie Sectional |
Chesterton Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/28 |
9/4 |
9/11 |
9/11 |
9/18 |
9/25 |
10/2 |
10/9 |
10/16 |
10/23 |
10/30 |
| Team Rating |
363 |
404 |
363 |
438 |
|
438 |
819 |
352 |
382 |
343 |
378 |
359 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
364 |
363 |
375 |
|
358 |
363 |
352 |
368 |
343 |
378 |
359 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Penn Invitational |
THSB State Preview |
Wildcat Classic |
Minutemen Invitational |
New Prairie Invitational |
Highland Invitational |
Duneland Athletic Conference |
New Prairie Sectional |
Chesterton Regional |
New Prairie Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 83 |
Jimmy Dillabaugh |
11 |
16:31 |
16:37 |
16:29 |
|
|
16:26 |
|
16:42 |
16:36 |
16:21 |
16:26 |
16:30 |
| 89 |
Mason Nobles |
9 |
16:32 |
16:55 |
16:47 |
16:52 |
|
|
|
16:28 |
16:40 |
16:34 |
16:42 |
16:25 |
| 106 |
Joel Bryant |
12 |
16:37 |
|
16:39 |
16:42 |
|
16:27 |
|
16:38 |
16:41 |
16:33 |
16:33 |
16:37 |
| 273 |
Sam Sienkowski |
9 |
17:17 |
17:23 |
17:30 |
17:32 |
|
17:13 |
|
17:50 |
17:07 |
17:12 |
17:21 |
17:10 |
| 297 |
Nathaniel Malchow |
11 |
17:21 |
17:06 |
17:16 |
17:12 |
|
17:31 |
|
17:11 |
|
17:19 |
17:31 |
17:30 |
| 339 |
Nathan Nova |
11 |
17:27 |
17:14 |
17:15 |
17:30 |
|
|
|
17:12 |
17:32 |
17:28 |
17:33 |
17:38 |
| 361 |
Riley Clark |
11 |
17:29 |
17:12 |
17:20 |
17:25 |
|
17:41 |
|
17:27 |
17:38 |
|
|
|
| 371 |
Thomas Krueger |
9 |
17:30 |
17:10 |
17:11 |
17:17 |
|
|
|
17:30 |
|
17:37 |
17:26 |
18:01 |
| 436 |
Owen Lashenik |
10 |
17:39 |
|
17:37 |
17:39 |
|
17:39 |
|
17:44 |
17:37 |
|
|
|
| 472 |
Caleb Marconi |
12 |
17:43 |
17:42 |
17:19 |
|
|
|
|
18:01 |
|
|
|
|
| 618 |
Jack Buinicki |
11 |
17:57 |
18:18 |
|
17:55 |
|
17:55 |
|
17:52 |
|
|
|
|
| 693 |
Max Franco |
12 |
18:05 |
19:11 |
|
17:58 |
|
17:48 |
17:58 |
18:12 |
|
|
|
|
| 694 |
Zeke Bloom |
11 |
18:06 |
18:23 |
17:48 |
18:02 |
|
18:03 |
|
18:13 |
|
|
|
|
| 773 |
Patrick Brogan |
12 |
18:13 |
18:25 |
|
18:10 |
|
|
18:05 |
18:17 |
|
|
|
|
| 795 |
Zion Williams |
12 |
18:15 |
18:17 |
17:56 |
18:00 |
|
18:30 |
|
18:28 |
|
|
|
|
| 896 |
Charlie Moye |
12 |
18:23 |
18:50 |
|
18:11 |
|
|
18:08 |
18:34 |
|
|
|
|
| 910 |
Brady Cavanaugh |
10 |
18:24 |
18:50 |
|
18:27 |
|
|
18:02 |
18:29 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,133 |
Brecken Adams |
11 |
18:43 |
|
|
19:48 |
|
17:56 |
18:06 |
19:17 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,144 |
Lucas Palmer |
11 |
18:44 |
18:39 |
|
18:55 |
|
18:34 |
18:42 |
18:48 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,189 |
Gavin Ellis |
12 |
18:46 |
18:20 |
|
17:58 |
|
|
18:53 |
19:47 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,223 |
Gabe Sterling |
10 |
18:48 |
19:04 |
|
|
|
|
18:25 |
19:02 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,259 |
Will Young |
11 |
18:51 |
|
|
19:01 |
|
|
18:59 |
18:39 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,343 |
Jayden Villatoro |
10 |
18:59 |
|
|
|
19:19 |
|
18:57 |
18:49 |
|
|
|
|
|
Sam Carpenter |
9 |
19:19 |
|
|
|
19:55 |
18:28 |
19:39 |
19:13 |
|
|
|
|
|
Zach Cioe |
12 |
19:23 |
|
|
|
19:40 |
18:24 |
19:32 |
19:37 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
100% |
15.6 |
400 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
2.3 |
3.3 |
4.2 |
5.9 |
7.0 |
9.4 |
11.6 |
12.7 |
12.8 |
10.4 |
7.8 |
5.0 |
3.1 |
1.5 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
| Semi-State |
100% |
1.6 |
94 |
64.5 |
21.2 |
8.5 |
3.3 |
1.4 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.6 |
59 |
56.2 |
30.2 |
10.7 |
2.8 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.4 |
44 |
65.2 |
25.4 |
9.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jimmy Dillabaugh |
100% |
81.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
92.6% |
| Mason Nobles |
100% |
85.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
90.2% |
| Joel Bryant |
100% |
94.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
83.1% |
| Sam Sienkowski |
100% |
155.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.9% |
| Nathaniel Malchow |
100% |
159.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3% |
| Nathan Nova |
100% |
166.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
| Thomas Krueger |
100% |
170.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jimmy Dillabaugh |
100% |
8.6 |
0.1 |
2.8 |
4.6 |
5.9 |
8.0 |
8.0 |
8.0 |
8.0 |
7.3 |
7.1 |
6.5 |
6.0 |
5.1 |
4.4 |
3.8 |
3.0 |
2.3 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Mason Nobles |
100% |
9.5 |
0.0 |
1.8 |
3.7 |
5.2 |
5.8 |
7.0 |
7.8 |
7.8 |
7.1 |
7.1 |
6.7 |
6.3 |
5.9 |
4.8 |
4.0 |
3.5 |
3.0 |
2.4 |
2.1 |
1.6 |
1.4 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Joel Bryant |
100% |
12.0 |
|
0.5 |
1.4 |
2.5 |
3.5 |
4.4 |
5.1 |
5.8 |
6.6 |
6.8 |
6.5 |
6.8 |
6.9 |
6.4 |
5.3 |
4.8 |
4.4 |
3.7 |
3.5 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
1.8 |
1.6 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Sam Sienkowski |
100% |
42.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
|
99.7% |
| Nathaniel Malchow |
100% |
46.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
99.4% |
| Nathan Nova |
100% |
54.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
97.9% |
| Thomas Krueger |
100% |
59.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
95.9% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jimmy Dillabaugh |
100% |
5.5 |
0.1 |
4.6 |
9.7 |
13.7 |
15.2 |
14.4 |
13.0 |
10.9 |
7.4 |
4.7 |
2.9 |
1.7 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Mason Nobles |
100% |
6.0 |
0.1 |
3.3 |
7.5 |
10.9 |
13.8 |
14.6 |
14.1 |
11.8 |
8.9 |
6.1 |
3.8 |
2.5 |
1.5 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Joel Bryant |
100% |
7.3 |
0.0 |
1.1 |
3.2 |
6.1 |
9.2 |
11.8 |
14.4 |
13.9 |
12.8 |
9.7 |
7.3 |
4.6 |
2.7 |
1.6 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sam Sienkowski |
100% |
18.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
2.3 |
3.7 |
5.3 |
7.0 |
9.3 |
11.9 |
11.5 |
9.8 |
8.1 |
6.6 |
5.1 |
3.7 |
3.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Nathaniel Malchow |
100% |
20.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
3.1 |
4.8 |
6.8 |
9.1 |
9.9 |
9.9 |
8.8 |
8.1 |
6.0 |
5.6 |
4.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Nathan Nova |
100% |
23.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.4 |
2.4 |
4.1 |
6.1 |
7.7 |
8.2 |
8.3 |
8.0 |
7.0 |
6.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Thomas Krueger |
100% |
25.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
2.4 |
3.5 |
5.2 |
6.4 |
7.2 |
7.8 |
7.3 |
6.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Jimmy Dillabaugh |
3.7 |
0.1 |
8.3 |
23.4 |
27.1 |
19.9 |
12.0 |
5.2 |
2.3 |
1.1 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Mason Nobles |
4.0 |
0.0 |
6.4 |
18.6 |
24.6 |
22.2 |
15.6 |
6.7 |
3.4 |
1.5 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Joel Bryant |
5.0 |
0.0 |
2.1 |
8.5 |
16.2 |
23.9 |
23.9 |
12.0 |
7.4 |
3.2 |
1.7 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sam Sienkowski |
13.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.7 |
1.7 |
2.9 |
5.0 |
7.7 |
10.1 |
12.8 |
12.3 |
10.9 |
8.0 |
6.7 |
5.1 |
4.3 |
2.9 |
2.6 |
2.0 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
| Nathaniel Malchow |
15.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
3.0 |
4.5 |
6.5 |
9.7 |
11.0 |
11.1 |
9.5 |
8.3 |
7.1 |
5.9 |
4.7 |
4.1 |
3.3 |
2.6 |
1.9 |
1.6 |
| Nathan Nova |
18.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
2.6 |
3.9 |
6.0 |
7.8 |
8.7 |
8.6 |
8.5 |
7.7 |
7.2 |
6.5 |
5.9 |
5.1 |
4.7 |
3.7 |
| Thomas Krueger |
19.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
3.9 |
5.3 |
6.8 |
8.1 |
7.9 |
7.7 |
7.5 |
6.9 |
6.8 |
6.3 |
6.0 |
5.5 |
|
