Wabash
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
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State Rank #92
New Haven Semi-State Rank #27
Marion Regional Rank #4
Marion Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season Rating Meister Family Memorial Run Penn Invitational THSB State Preview Wildcat Classic West Noble Invitational Three Rivers Conference Marion Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/21 8/28 9/4 9/11 9/18 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23
Team Rating 826 1,143 1,123 1,159 1,190 873 1,022 932 1,023
Team Adjusted Rating 929 825 845 959 873 834 792 762
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Meister Family Memorial Run Penn Invitational THSB State Preview Wildcat Classic West Noble Invitational Three Rivers Conference Marion Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State
286  Dave Ford 11 17:19 16:51 17:29
287  Kaden Vogel 10 17:20 18:00 17:31 17:12 17:05 17:07 17:16 17:32
737  Jace Bullins 9 18:10 19:19 18:54 18:39 18:26 18:29 18:23 17:57 18:00
909  Jonas Church 9 18:24 18:45 17:58 19:03 18:39 18:35 18:45 18:11 18:05
Chase Howard 9 19:10 20:07 19:45 18:25 19:55 19:18 18:51 19:05 18:58
Nick Perkins 10 19:23 20:00 19:44 19:31 20:13 19:41 18:57
Elijah Callahan 11 19:30 19:25 19:29 18:39 20:32
Braydon French 10 20:12 20:47 18:56 21:13 20:09 20:07
Kasen Oswalt 9 20:38 20:00 19:47 19:57 21:02 20:42 20:52 21:36 20:35




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 6.3 159 4.4 15.2 34.3 38.3 6.4 1.4
Sectionals 100% 3.1 95 93.7 6.3



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaden Vogel 100% 72.9 100.0% 100.0%
Jace Bullins 34.2% 133.0 34.2% 34.2%
Jonas Church 4.0% 140.6 4.0% 4.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaden Vogel 100% 6.2 0.0 0.1 6.8 14.2 23.3 31.8 10.4 5.6 3.0 1.5 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jace Bullins 100% 26.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.4 2.9 3.6 4.3 5.0 5.1 6.1 100.0%
Jonas Church 100% 34.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.4 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Kaden Vogel 4.3 0.0 0.2 10.8 24.6 48.4 9.8 3.5 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Jace Bullins 12.7 0.3 0.7 1.9 3.3 5.9 10.3 14.8 19.3 13.9 10.4 7.1 5.3 3.2 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Jonas Church 16.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.8 5.6 9.2 11.4 12.8 12.0 11.3 10.3 9.3 7.1 3.9 1.7 0.7 0.2