All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | |
Taylor University County Clash |
Arabian Round Up |
Wapahani Invitational |
Delaware County |
Wildcat Classic |
Jim Leffler Invitational |
New Haven Invitational |
Mid-Eastern Conference |
Delta Sectional |
Delta Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
|---|
| Date | |
8/21 |
8/25 |
8/28 |
9/7 |
9/11 |
9/18 |
9/25 |
10/2 |
10/9 |
10/16 |
10/23 |
| Team Rating |
647 |
707 |
593 |
747 |
704 |
720 |
841 |
800 |
646 |
646 |
693 |
636 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
707 |
593 |
661 |
704 |
720 |
716 |
702 |
646 |
646 |
693 |
636 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Taylor University County Clash |
Arabian Round Up |
Wapahani Invitational |
Delaware County |
Wildcat Classic |
Jim Leffler Invitational |
New Haven Invitational |
Mid-Eastern Conference |
Delta Sectional |
Delta Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
|---|
| 177 |
Nick Cook |
10 |
16:57 |
16:43 |
16:49 |
17:01 |
17:04 |
16:35 |
16:57 |
16:57 |
16:59 |
17:00 |
17:00 |
17:10 |
| 310 |
Brandon Ellis |
12 |
17:23 |
17:41 |
17:41 |
17:27 |
17:35 |
17:32 |
17:45 |
17:21 |
17:24 |
17:27 |
17:14 |
17:14 |
| 477 |
Colton Boggs |
11 |
17:44 |
17:58 |
17:12 |
17:30 |
17:52 |
17:55 |
17:57 |
17:41 |
17:53 |
17:44 |
17:34 |
17:39 |
| 615 |
Drayden Gates |
12 |
17:57 |
18:39 |
18:09 |
|
18:10 |
18:03 |
|
|
17:47 |
18:14 |
18:21 |
17:47 |
| 713 |
Payton Baker |
11 |
18:07 |
17:48 |
17:35 |
18:24 |
18:12 |
18:53 |
18:24 |
18:54 |
18:06 |
17:43 |
18:36 |
18:11 |
| 1,268 |
Jon Shrock |
11 |
18:51 |
20:06 |
18:59 |
20:01 |
|
20:34 |
21:02 |
19:21 |
19:15 |
19:09 |
19:24 |
18:41 |
|
Logan Wulff |
9 |
19:14 |
20:15 |
19:09 |
19:01 |
19:06 |
19:05 |
19:31 |
19:10 |
19:21 |
19:23 |
19:15 |
19:03 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
15.0 |
367 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.4 |
3.2 |
6.0 |
10.1 |
13.6 |
18.0 |
22.0 |
21.1 |
3.9 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
3.9 |
126 |
|
|
30.0 |
55.1 |
12.5 |
2.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.7 |
47 |
33.6 |
63.7 |
2.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nick Cook |
1.0% |
97.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.0% |
1.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nick Cook |
100% |
47.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Brandon Ellis |
100% |
77.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.5% |
| Colton Boggs |
100% |
105.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
84.0% |
| Drayden Gates |
100% |
125.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
48.5% |
| Payton Baker |
100% |
137.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
19.6% |
| Jon Shrock |
100% |
159.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nick Cook |
100% |
15.6 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.6 |
2.8 |
4.7 |
7.1 |
10.7 |
13.1 |
14.4 |
14.9 |
12.5 |
9.2 |
4.6 |
2.1 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Brandon Ellis |
100% |
21.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
1.8 |
3.7 |
6.6 |
11.0 |
14.0 |
13.2 |
12.6 |
11.6 |
9.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Colton Boggs |
100% |
28.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
3.0 |
4.4 |
7.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Drayden Gates |
100% |
32.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Payton Baker |
100% |
36.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Jon Shrock |
100% |
53.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
98.4% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Nick Cook |
2.1 |
15.4 |
32.1 |
32.4 |
18.6 |
1.5 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Brandon Ellis |
4.7 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
3.4 |
15.4 |
44.3 |
19.4 |
8.8 |
4.2 |
2.3 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Colton Boggs |
8.6 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
1.6 |
11.1 |
14.6 |
14.2 |
13.7 |
12.3 |
10.4 |
7.4 |
5.6 |
3.6 |
2.4 |
1.5 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
| Drayden Gates |
12.8 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.7 |
2.3 |
4.1 |
5.8 |
7.6 |
9.5 |
10.7 |
11.9 |
11.1 |
10.0 |
8.8 |
6.3 |
5.0 |
3.4 |
2.0 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
| Payton Baker |
16.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.8 |
2.8 |
4.8 |
6.0 |
8.5 |
9.5 |
10.8 |
11.7 |
12.0 |
11.9 |
9.7 |
6.6 |
1.6 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
| Jon Shrock |
27.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
2.0 |
6.6 |
7.6 |
8.0 |
8.3 |
|
