All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Dave Bannon Invitational |
Hamilton County |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Wildcat Classic |
Maconaquah Invitational |
RH Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Valley Twilight |
Noblesville JV Meet |
Noblesville Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | |
8/15 |
8/28 |
8/31 |
9/4 |
9/11 |
9/11 |
9/18 |
9/25 |
10/2 |
10/7 |
10/9 |
10/16 |
10/23 |
10/30 |
| Team Rating |
327 |
352 |
329 |
722 |
324 |
295 |
918 |
293 |
327 |
373 |
884 |
509 |
318 |
344 |
|
| Team Adjusted Rating | |
269 |
301 |
327 |
311 |
289 |
327 |
279 |
327 |
368 |
327 |
318 |
318 |
344 |
|
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating |
Valley Cross Kickoff |
Dave Bannon Invitational |
Hamilton County |
Brownsburg Invitational |
Wildcat Classic |
Maconaquah Invitational |
RH Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Valley Twilight |
Noblesville JV Meet |
Noblesville Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 9 |
Kai Connor |
12 |
15:45 |
|
15:42 |
|
15:41 |
15:33 |
|
15:35 |
15:55 |
15:46 |
|
|
15:49 |
15:43 |
15:46 |
| 101 |
Josh Barnett |
12 |
16:35 |
16:16 |
16:22 |
|
16:25 |
16:10 |
|
16:17 |
16:37 |
16:51 |
|
|
16:38 |
17:09 |
|
| 182 |
Sam Hinds |
11 |
16:58 |
17:20 |
18:05 |
|
16:52 |
17:07 |
|
16:39 |
16:48 |
17:10 |
|
|
16:48 |
16:53 |
|
| 234 |
Garrett Mowry |
12 |
17:08 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
17:04 |
17:13 |
|
17:03 |
17:12 |
17:05 |
|
| 259 |
Max Woehler |
12 |
17:15 |
16:53 |
|
|
17:40 |
17:12 |
|
17:21 |
17:19 |
|
|
17:12 |
17:25 |
17:05 |
|
| 272 |
Jack Loiselle |
10 |
17:17 |
16:46 |
17:27 |
|
17:22 |
|
|
17:27 |
17:22 |
|
|
17:12 |
17:06 |
17:21 |
|
| 301 |
Drew Lovelace |
11 |
17:21 |
17:11 |
17:28 |
|
17:16 |
17:23 |
|
17:18 |
17:25 |
|
|
17:20 |
|
|
|
| 328 |
Owen Flynn |
11 |
17:26 |
17:07 |
16:47 |
|
|
16:58 |
|
17:42 |
17:21 |
17:18 |
|
|
17:37 |
18:08 |
|
| 347 |
Colin Lakomek |
11 |
17:28 |
17:12 |
17:22 |
|
17:17 |
17:14 |
|
17:22 |
17:42 |
|
|
17:49 |
|
|
|
| 365 |
Ike O'Neill |
11 |
17:30 |
17:37 |
|
|
17:19 |
17:29 |
|
17:24 |
17:28 |
|
|
17:38 |
|
|
|
| 430 |
Aidan Wright |
12 |
17:38 |
17:44 |
17:20 |
17:37 |
17:36 |
17:33 |
|
17:08 |
17:50 |
|
|
17:59 |
|
|
|
| 478 |
William Cummings |
11 |
17:44 |
17:35 |
17:33 |
17:30 |
17:38 |
17:50 |
|
17:45 |
17:46 |
17:52 |
17:47 |
|
|
|
|
| 605 |
Evan Besinger |
12 |
17:56 |
17:55 |
18:04 |
17:43 |
18:06 |
18:00 |
|
17:32 |
17:51 |
|
18:10 |
|
|
|
|
| 783 |
Caub Douthit |
10 |
18:14 |
|
17:57 |
18:04 |
17:41 |
|
18:07 |
18:29 |
18:07 |
18:31 |
18:39 |
|
|
|
|
| 964 |
Will Snedeker |
9 |
18:29 |
|
19:12 |
18:24 |
18:24 |
|
18:15 |
18:21 |
18:32 |
18:11 |
18:50 |
|
|
|
|
| 973 |
Jonathan Gaynor |
12 |
18:30 |
|
|
|
|
|
18:54 |
18:36 |
18:11 |
18:29 |
18:26 |
|
|
|
|
| 992 |
Drew Neely |
9 |
18:31 |
18:23 |
18:11 |
18:59 |
18:24 |
|
18:02 |
19:28 |
18:28 |
18:49 |
18:20 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,034 |
Landon Jones |
9 |
18:35 |
18:29 |
18:55 |
18:13 |
18:44 |
|
19:11 |
18:10 |
19:05 |
18:22 |
18:24 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,042 |
Samue Schmidt |
12 |
18:36 |
17:56 |
18:23 |
18:42 |
18:34 |
|
18:36 |
18:27 |
18:40 |
18:50 |
18:45 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,121 |
Charlie Naas |
9 |
18:42 |
18:24 |
18:43 |
18:20 |
18:11 |
|
18:34 |
18:36 |
18:32 |
19:55 |
19:31 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,291 |
Ian Porter |
10 |
18:54 |
|
18:58 |
19:11 |
18:39 |
|
19:13 |
18:23 |
17:57 |
19:53 |
19:03 |
|
|
|
|
|
Carson Goodman |
11 |
19:01 |
18:57 |
19:11 |
|
18:46 |
19:26 |
|
18:08 |
19:24 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Owen Mohler |
9 |
19:02 |
19:13 |
19:13 |
19:01 |
19:23 |
19:26 |
|
18:44 |
18:56 |
18:41 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Grant McMath |
11 |
19:07 |
19:07 |
19:16 |
19:16 |
19:26 |
18:58 |
|
19:17 |
19:01 |
18:55 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Will Clifford |
12 |
19:08 |
19:10 |
21:30 |
20:19 |
18:29 |
19:04 |
|
19:31 |
18:19 |
19:03 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Owen Ferreri |
10 |
19:11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
18:53 |
19:30 |
19:11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Porter Temples |
9 |
19:12 |
19:37 |
19:16 |
19:12 |
19:31 |
19:14 |
|
18:55 |
19:19 |
18:52 |
|
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
0.0% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
7.1 |
210 |
|
|
0.2 |
2.8 |
10.3 |
21.6 |
29.0 |
19.7 |
11.5 |
3.8 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
4.2 |
114 |
|
0.1 |
18.1 |
52.8 |
20.3 |
6.8 |
1.9 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.9 |
68 |
0.1 |
17.5 |
71.6 |
10.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kai Connor |
100.0% |
9.7 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.5 |
3.1 |
6.2 |
8.3 |
8.9 |
8.4 |
7.7 |
7.3 |
6.1 |
5.5 |
4.9 |
4.1 |
3.7 |
3.4 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Josh Barnett |
37.2% |
75.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
37.2% |
37.2% |
| Sam Hinds |
0.8% |
101.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.8% |
0.8% |
| Garrett Mowry |
0.1% |
111.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
0.1% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kai Connor |
100% |
3.7 |
1.3 |
6.5 |
23.9 |
27.6 |
14.2 |
9.6 |
5.5 |
3.9 |
2.5 |
1.4 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Josh Barnett |
100% |
34.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
|
98.8% |
| Sam Hinds |
100% |
60.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
67.2% |
| Garrett Mowry |
100% |
74.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
36.7% |
| Max Woehler |
100% |
83.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
18.2% |
| Jack Loiselle |
100% |
86.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
14.4% |
| Owen Flynn |
100% |
98.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.2% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kai Connor |
100% |
3.4 |
1.3 |
6.6 |
28.8 |
36.5 |
12.6 |
6.1 |
3.3 |
1.8 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Josh Barnett |
100% |
19.2 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
2.2 |
3.3 |
4.1 |
5.6 |
6.8 |
6.9 |
7.4 |
7.7 |
7.8 |
7.6 |
8.1 |
6.8 |
5.9 |
5.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Sam Hinds |
100% |
29.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.6 |
2.1 |
3.3 |
4.2 |
5.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Garrett Mowry |
100% |
34.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Max Woehler |
100% |
38.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Jack Loiselle |
100% |
40.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Owen Flynn |
100% |
47.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kai Connor |
2.2 |
5.1 |
34.1 |
47.7 |
8.0 |
2.9 |
1.6 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Josh Barnett |
10.6 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.7 |
1.5 |
2.5 |
5.5 |
9.3 |
13.7 |
10.8 |
10.5 |
11.4 |
18.2 |
10.7 |
3.9 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
| Sam Hinds |
15.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
2.7 |
4.2 |
11.6 |
20.2 |
20.7 |
13.9 |
8.5 |
5.4 |
3.7 |
2.5 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
| Garrett Mowry |
17.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
2.4 |
6.1 |
11.3 |
15.7 |
14.7 |
11.6 |
9.5 |
7.4 |
5.8 |
5.0 |
3.4 |
2.3 |
| Max Woehler |
20.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
1.4 |
3.4 |
6.8 |
10.1 |
11.7 |
10.9 |
10.8 |
9.9 |
8.5 |
7.1 |
6.0 |
| Jack Loiselle |
21.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
2.2 |
4.8 |
7.8 |
10.5 |
11.1 |
10.8 |
9.9 |
9.9 |
8.2 |
6.7 |
| Owen Flynn |
24.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
2.5 |
4.3 |
7.0 |
6.8 |
8.7 |
9.2 |
10.8 |
|
