Riley
Boys - Girls
2020 - 2021 - 2022
Switch to All-time Team Page

State Rank #95
New Haven Semi-State Rank #28
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #10
Riley Sectional Rank #10
Most Likely Finish -
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season Rating Elkhart Early Bird Invitational NIC Stomp Northwood Invitational South Bend City Minutemen Invitational New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational NIC / NLC Riley Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/15 8/21 8/28 9/2 9/11 9/18 9/25 10/2 10/9 10/16 10/23
Team Rating 835 875 848 832 806 843 848 805 831 826 834
Team Adjusted Rating 875 848 832 806 843 848 805 831 826 834
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Elkhart Early Bird Invitational NIC Stomp Northwood Invitational South Bend City Minutemen Invitational New Prairie Invitational New Haven Invitational NIC / NLC Riley Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State
423  Austin Whitrock 11 17:37 17:47 17:17 17:29 17:20 17:37 17:43 17:35 17:42 17:40 17:33 17:50
707  Ethan Vandezande 12 18:07 18:36 18:40 18:11 17:44 18:06 18:03 18:03 17:56 18:01 18:22
716  Riley Fuerbringer 11 18:08 18:22 18:08 18:08 18:15 18:42 18:00 18:04 18:03 18:04 18:01
775  Luke Hanson-Phipps 12 18:13 18:14 18:07 18:26 18:34 18:00 18:18 18:17 18:14 18:14 18:01
928  Chris Ashley 12 18:26 18:01 18:28 18:15 18:21 18:28 18:36 18:10 18:43 18:25 18:33
1,175  Isaiah Rivas 10 18:45 18:38 18:40 19:16 18:29 18:26 18:30 18:32 19:06 19:36
Brody Goetz 11 19:05 20:36 20:09 20:17 19:31 19:06 18:31 18:56 18:40 18:52
Danny O'Rouke 12 19:07 19:11 19:02 19:09 18:58 18:58 18:49 19:33 19:16
Sam Taylor 12 19:25 20:03 20:28 19:37 19:08 19:20 19:02 19:27
Ryan Burns 12 19:37 19:08 19:44 19:35 19:16 19:38 21:46 19:36 19:37
Chris Orta 11 19:38 20:06 19:19 20:17 19:14 19:46 19:28




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 100% 9.2 212 0.0 0.6 2.6 5.8 11.6 23.4 55.9
Sectionals 100% 4.3 100 4.4 16.8 26.2 52.6



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Austin Whitrock 87.7% 94.1 87.7% 87.7%
Ethan Vandezande 8.2% 123.1 8.2% 8.2%
Riley Fuerbringer 6.9% 123.3 6.9% 6.9%
Luke Hanson-Phipps 2.3% 127.5 2.3% 2.3%
Chris Ashley 0.1% 130.5 0.1% 0.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Austin Whitrock 100% 28.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.3 2.2 2.9 4.2 6.0 100.0%
Ethan Vandezande 100% 46.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Riley Fuerbringer 100% 46.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Luke Hanson-Phipps 100% 49.5 0.0 100.0%
Chris Ashley 100% 55.5 100.0%
Isaiah Rivas 100% 65.2 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Austin Whitrock 10.4 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.1 6.4 14.2 18.4 17.1 11.7 8.2 6.0 4.5 3.6 2.3 1.7 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Ethan Vandezande 19.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.5 3.2 4.0 5.2 6.3 8.1 10.8 13.3 13.4 10.7 7.7 5.0 3.2
Riley Fuerbringer 19.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.0 2.6 3.6 5.0 5.8 7.7 9.8 13.2 12.9 12.0 8.6 5.7 3.7
Luke Hanson-Phipps 21.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.4 2.1 3.1 4.3 5.9 8.7 12.0 14.3 13.4 10.2 7.0
Chris Ashley 25.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.4 2.9 4.9 8.8 11.8 11.4
Isaiah Rivas 31.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8