Cascade
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #124
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #36
Ben Davis Regional Rank #9
Brownsburg Sectional Rank #9
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 2.8%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Jeremy Wright Invitational Brownsburg Invitational Jon Mitchell Invitational Indiana Crossroads Conference Golden Bear Invitational Nike Valley Twilight Invitational Brownsburg Sectional Ben Davis Regional
Date 8/14 8/20 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15
Team Rating 963 1,008 927 991 992 961 959 1,036 932
Team Adjusted Rating 1,008 927 991 992 961 959 933 932
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Jeremy Wright Invitational Brownsburg Invitational Jon Mitchell Invitational Indiana Crossroads Conference Golden Bear Invitational Nike Valley Twilight Invitational Brownsburg Sectional Ben Davis Regional
807  Owen Myers 12 18:13 17:12 18:07 17:55 18:26 18:18 18:20 17:51 18:09 18:04 18:27
845  Dean Semski 9 18:17 18:13 17:59 18:21 18:27 18:34 18:44 18:22 18:15 17:59
882  Evan Davis 12 18:20 18:18 18:29 18:06 18:19 18:14 18:27 18:15 18:13 18:23
1,083  Cason VonEhrenkrook 11 18:35 20:32 18:38 18:50 18:42 18:37 18:32 18:42 18:35 18:23
1,180  Jadon Fisher 11 18:42 18:09 19:13 18:50 18:39 18:51 18:43 18:31 18:19 18:48
Lincoln Kauffman 9 19:48 20:01 19:49 19:53 20:22 19:41 19:37 19:22
Tyler Hege 10 20:42 19:48 19:40 20:53 20:38




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 2.8% 8.1 225 0.0 0.1 2.4 0.2 0.1
Sectionals 100% 6.2 179 0.1 2.7 78.3 17.3 1.5 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Owen Myers 0.2% 132.0 0.2% 0.2%
Dean Semski 0.1% 132.0 0.1% 0.1%
Evan Davis 0.0% 137.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Owen Myers 97.2% 54.4 0.0 97.2% 97.2%
Dean Semski 92.5% 56.3 92.3% 92.5%
Evan Davis 87.2% 57.6 86.9% 87.2%
Cason VonEhrenkrook 19.4% 62.0 17.0% 19.0%
Jadon Fisher 6.1% 63.5 3.4% 5.4%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Owen Myers 32.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.8
Dean Semski 33.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4
Evan Davis 33.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2
Cason VonEhrenkrook 37.5
Jadon Fisher 39.8