Castle
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #51
Brown County Semi-State Rank #11
Pike Central Regional Rank #2
Mater Dei Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 10th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 9.4%
Advance to Semi-State 99.3%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Kentucky-Indiana Border Clash Forest Park Running Ranger Dennis Bays Warrior Invite Alan Hopewell Invite State Preview Eagle Classic South Knox Invite Pike Central Invitational Southern Indiana Athletic Conference Mater Dei Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State
Date 8/16 8/18 8/27 9/1 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 595 770 656 788 553 589 788 662 662 589 648 716 647
Team Adjusted Rating 629 656 763 553 589 728 662 662 589 648 716 624
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Kentucky-Indiana Border Clash Forest Park Running Ranger Dennis Bays Warrior Invite Alan Hopewell Invite State Preview Eagle Classic South Knox Invite Pike Central Invitational Southern Indiana Athletic Conference Mater Dei Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State
188  Jackson Kramer 11 17:00 17:41 17:21 17:21 17:34 17:13 17:24 17:27 17:13 17:12 16:51 17:29 17:10 16:50
258  Deacon Sawyer 10 17:12 16:28 18:06 17:52 17:48 17:18 18:55 17:55 17:44 17:58 17:12 18:49 17:02
394  Dane Kramer 9 17:30 17:33 17:50 18:05 17:29 17:30 17:18 17:35 17:31 17:11 17:41 17:35 17:21
455  Gabe Land 12 17:39 18:05 17:07 16:56 17:55 17:08 17:14 17:41 17:46 18:02 17:26 17:59 17:27 18:28
777  Devon Monroe 11 18:10 18:44 21:27 18:19 18:44 18:15 17:54 18:08 17:59 17:50 18:13
815  Ben Whitacre 12 18:14 17:32 18:02 17:21 18:00 19:25 17:53 17:52 18:00 18:29 18:36 18:55
1,017  Brent Guyer 10 18:30 18:57 18:40 18:29 18:26 18:24 18:35 18:21 18:24 18:13 19:16 18:25
Elijah Banard 10 19:11 18:43 18:45 18:54 18:59 18:10 19:24 19:20 19:33 19:21 19:26 19:17
Issac Tieman 10 19:54 19:33 19:30 19:42 20:03 19:59 19:52 20:27
Cole Yunker 10 20:29 18:41 20:00 20:05 20:50 20:21 20:53 20:35




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 9.4% 23.0 565 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.2 4.7
Semi-State 99.3% 10.0 287 0.0 3.3 6.1 9.1 11.4 13.2 14.1 12.7 11.5 8.1 5.5 3.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.1 76 41.8 26.0 16.8 10.0 4.8 0.7
Sectionals 100% 1.7 56 48.3 39.1 11.8 0.8



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jackson Kramer 10.6% 108.8 1.3% 2.0%
Deacon Sawyer 9.4% 128.7 0.1% 0.1%
Dane Kramer 9.4% 159.8 0.0% 0.0%
Gabe Land 9.4% 171.4 0.0% 0.0%
Devon Monroe 9.4% 195.0 0.0% 0.0%
Ben Whitacre 9.4% 197.2 0.0% 0.0%
Brent Guyer 9.4% 204.1 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jackson Kramer 100% 39.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.3 100.0% 100.0%
Deacon Sawyer 100% 51.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Dane Kramer 99.9% 71.4 87.9% 99.2%
Gabe Land 99.6% 82.8 36.4% 95.4%
Devon Monroe 99.3% 126.3 0.0% 20.9%
Ben Whitacre 99.3% 130.5 0.0% 13.9%
Brent Guyer 99.3% 147.5 0.0% 0.8%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jackson Kramer 100% 5.5 0.5 4.0 12.4 22.9 19.9 14.8 10.3 7.5 4.2 2.1 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Deacon Sawyer 100% 8.5 0.0 0.3 1.2 4.3 9.8 12.9 14.7 14.2 14.3 11.6 8.0 4.0 2.0 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Dane Kramer 100% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 3.1 5.1 8.5 12.2 14.0 12.5 9.2 7.6 5.3 4.4 3.6 2.8 2.1 2.1 1.4 1.3 0.8 100.0%
Gabe Land 100% 17.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.2 2.2 4.5 6.9 8.9 9.1 8.4 8.1 7.4 7.0 5.3 5.3 4.5 4.3 3.1 2.6 100.0%
Devon Monroe 100% 35.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.7 100.0%
Ben Whitacre 100% 37.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.9 99.9%
Brent Guyer 100% 46.7 0.0 0.0 97.3%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jackson Kramer 3.9 0.7 14.5 37.6 20.3 12.8 8.7 3.7 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0
Deacon Sawyer 6.3 0.0 1.0 6.3 18.9 18.0 17.9 19.2 11.7 4.4 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
Dane Kramer 10.0 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.3 7.3 15.7 20.7 17.1 12.4 7.5 5.2 3.3 2.3 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1
Gabe Land 12.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.6 4.5 9.9 15.8 16.6 13.4 11.9 8.8 7.0 4.4 2.8 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Devon Monroe 20.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.9 3.0 4.7 7.2 9.8 11.3 11.9 11.6 10.2 8.4 6.1
Ben Whitacre 22.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.7 3.1 4.5 6.5 9.3 11.0 11.5 11.3 9.9 8.3
Brent Guyer 27.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.5 2.6 4.3 6.4 8.2