All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Brownsburg 4k |
Hamilton County |
State Preview |
Mason Invite |
Wildcat Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Valley Twilight Invitational |
Noblesville JV Invitational |
Pendleton Heights Sectional |
Delta Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
Date | | |
8/20 |
8/27 |
9/3 |
9/10 |
9/10 |
9/17 |
9/24 |
10/1 |
10/5 |
10/8 |
10/15 |
10/22 |
10/29 |
Team Rating |
209 | |
225 |
200 |
197 |
226 |
549 |
684 |
235 |
227 |
747 |
521 |
332 |
259 |
229 |
Team Adjusted Rating | | |
225 |
200 |
197 |
226 |
209 |
209 |
235 |
227 |
209 |
209 |
332 |
259 |
217 |
State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Brownsburg 4k |
Hamilton County |
State Preview |
Mason Invite |
Wildcat Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Valley Twilight Invitational |
Noblesville JV Invitational |
Pendleton Heights Sectional |
Delta Regional |
New Haven Semi-State |
State Finals |
24 |
Sam Quagliaroli |
10 |
15:53 |
15:39 |
15:40 |
15:38 |
15:51 |
15:59 |
|
|
15:50 |
15:52 |
|
|
16:03 |
16:11 |
15:50 |
56 |
Tate Meaux |
12 |
16:17 |
15:57 |
16:20 |
16:23 |
16:09 |
16:07 |
|
|
16:14 |
16:09 |
|
|
16:15 |
16:28 |
16:41 |
68 |
Austin Wilson |
12 |
16:21 |
16:23 |
16:35 |
16:19 |
16:26 |
16:26 |
|
|
16:36 |
16:37 |
|
|
17:26 |
16:33 |
16:14 |
86 |
Matthew Kim |
11 |
16:28 |
16:38 |
16:44 |
17:03 |
16:46 |
16:52 |
|
|
16:59 |
16:47 |
|
|
17:06 |
16:28 |
16:21 |
166 |
Bryson Slagle |
10 |
16:54 |
17:15 |
16:48 |
16:36 |
16:55 |
17:04 |
|
|
16:43 |
16:46 |
|
|
17:10 |
17:12 |
|
183 |
Caden Carpenter |
12 |
16:59 |
16:26 |
16:44 |
16:51 |
16:39 |
16:49 |
|
|
16:55 |
16:58 |
|
|
17:47 |
|
17:14 |
240 |
Ethan Nix |
12 |
17:09 |
17:14 |
17:08 |
16:40 |
17:34 |
|
17:39 |
|
17:28 |
17:00 |
|
16:59 |
17:15 |
17:05 |
17:05 |
247 |
Cooper Kane |
12 |
17:10 |
17:00 |
17:02 |
16:54 |
16:34 |
17:13 |
|
|
17:19 |
17:05 |
|
17:35 |
|
|
17:19 |
265 |
Nate Thomas |
9 |
17:12 |
|
16:57 |
17:11 |
16:45 |
17:03 |
|
|
17:04 |
17:31 |
|
17:58 |
|
|
|
296 |
Logan Arive |
12 |
17:17 |
16:55 |
17:35 |
17:11 |
17:02 |
17:48 |
|
|
17:08 |
17:12 |
|
17:20 |
|
|
|
302 |
Parker Melling |
10 |
17:17 |
17:39 |
17:19 |
17:04 |
17:01 |
17:31 |
|
|
17:15 |
17:12 |
|
17:10 |
|
17:54 |
|
327 |
Jaden Guffey |
11 |
17:21 |
17:11 |
17:07 |
17:06 |
17:08 |
|
17:13 |
|
17:28 |
17:36 |
|
17:31 |
|
|
|
437 |
Dylan Wolf |
10 |
17:36 |
18:28 |
17:51 |
17:34 |
17:24 |
|
17:31 |
17:30 |
17:49 |
17:37 |
17:37 |
|
|
|
|
458 |
Tommy Clark |
12 |
17:39 |
18:07 |
17:01 |
17:44 |
17:44 |
|
17:32 |
17:41 |
17:43 |
17:38 |
17:50 |
|
|
|
|
471 |
Henry Wood |
10 |
17:41 |
18:01 |
17:38 |
18:12 |
17:35 |
|
17:24 |
17:39 |
17:30 |
17:40 |
18:01 |
|
|
|
|
482 |
Cooper Mohr |
10 |
17:42 |
17:43 |
17:53 |
18:02 |
17:38 |
|
17:29 |
17:37 |
17:36 |
17:39 |
17:54 |
|
|
|
|
497 |
Elza Niemeier |
12 |
17:43 |
17:14 |
17:53 |
18:43 |
|
|
17:18 |
|
17:25 |
17:26 |
|
18:29 |
|
|
|
672 |
Grant Belush |
12 |
18:01 |
18:06 |
17:43 |
17:53 |
18:24 |
|
17:38 |
18:12 |
17:36 |
18:04 |
18:33 |
|
|
|
|
682 |
Mason Smith |
11 |
18:01 |
|
17:34 |
18:29 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
808 |
Wade Hillman-Strabbing |
12 |
18:13 |
|
18:53 |
18:40 |
18:09 |
|
18:05 |
|
18:17 |
18:07 |
18:03 |
|
|
|
|
842 |
Carter Pritchett |
12 |
18:17 |
18:01 |
18:28 |
18:43 |
18:08 |
|
18:04 |
18:24 |
18:17 |
18:09 |
18:19 |
|
|
|
|
872 |
Micah Young |
12 |
18:19 |
17:37 |
17:41 |
|
|
|
18:15 |
18:14 |
18:30 |
18:33 |
|
|
|
|
|
890 |
John Myers |
12 |
18:20 |
17:47 |
18:36 |
18:09 |
18:57 |
|
18:25 |
18:10 |
18:11 |
18:27 |
18:17 |
|
|
|
|
948 |
Hans Moore |
11 |
18:25 |
|
18:37 |
18:18 |
18:42 |
|
18:21 |
18:44 |
18:17 |
|
18:16 |
|
|
|
|
956 |
Luke Godleski |
12 |
18:26 |
18:06 |
18:20 |
18:54 |
18:00 |
|
18:08 |
18:26 |
18:33 |
18:12 |
19:04 |
|
|
|
|
1,172 |
Jonathon Albright |
10 |
18:42 |
|
19:15 |
19:30 |
18:35 |
|
18:54 |
18:14 |
18:40 |
18:33 |
18:43 |
|
|
|
|
1,223 |
Declan Mohr |
9 |
18:46 |
|
18:26 |
18:03 |
19:08 |
|
19:34 |
19:02 |
18:20 |
18:19 |
19:38 |
|
|
|
|
1,232 |
Zach Brown |
11 |
18:47 |
18:20 |
19:05 |
|
19:00 |
|
19:15 |
|
19:07 |
18:14 |
18:28 |
|
|
|
|
1,264 |
Tyler Schiesser |
12 |
18:49 |
18:04 |
18:47 |
19:20 |
18:41 |
|
18:28 |
18:45 |
19:32 |
18:07 |
19:06 |
|
|
|
|
1,393 |
Grayson Matthews |
10 |
18:59 |
|
18:57 |
19:04 |
18:43 |
|
22:00 |
19:14 |
18:43 |
19:00 |
18:54 |
|
|
|
|
1,402 |
Mike Dowd |
11 |
19:00 |
18:42 |
19:03 |
18:57 |
19:14 |
|
18:43 |
19:14 |
18:52 |
19:04 |
18:58 |
|
|
|
|
|
Jacob Dowd |
11 |
19:07 |
18:14 |
19:54 |
19:17 |
18:53 |
|
18:33 |
19:24 |
|
19:37 |
18:44 |
|
|
|
|
|
Matthew Beard |
11 |
19:17 |
18:02 |
19:44 |
|
20:13 |
|
19:25 |
19:06 |
18:58 |
19:11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Stephen Breck |
11 |
19:27 |
|
19:47 |
19:27 |
19:11 |
|
19:58 |
19:30 |
18:42 |
19:43 |
|
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
State Finals |
100% |
6.9 |
238 |
|
0.6 |
2.0 |
5.9 |
13.6 |
28.8 |
17.9 |
11.8 |
7.7 |
5.0 |
3.2 |
1.7 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
Semi-State |
100% |
1.2 |
62 |
83.9 |
13.7 |
1.9 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Regionals |
100% |
1.0 |
27 |
98.4 |
1.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
25 |
98.4 |
1.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance. Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Sam Quagliaroli |
100% |
22.9 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
3.2 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.0 |
3.4 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
3.2 |
|
100.0% |
Tate Meaux |
100% |
59.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
90.2% |
Austin Wilson |
100% |
66.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
84.2% |
Matthew Kim |
100% |
80.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
65.5% |
Bryson Slagle |
100% |
123.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.2% |
Caden Carpenter |
100% |
129.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.5% |
Ethan Nix |
100% |
147.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Sam Quagliaroli |
100% |
2.6 |
11.9 |
20.4 |
28.1 |
18.5 |
9.0 |
5.0 |
2.9 |
1.8 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Tate Meaux |
100% |
9.8 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.9 |
3.4 |
6.6 |
7.0 |
8.7 |
8.7 |
8.2 |
8.1 |
7.0 |
6.9 |
5.9 |
4.9 |
4.4 |
3.9 |
3.1 |
2.4 |
2.0 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
|
100.0% |
Austin Wilson |
100% |
11.7 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
1.6 |
3.5 |
5.0 |
5.5 |
6.9 |
7.2 |
7.3 |
7.3 |
7.4 |
7.1 |
6.1 |
5.3 |
5.3 |
4.0 |
3.5 |
3.1 |
2.8 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
|
100.0% |
Matthew Kim |
100% |
16.2 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
2.6 |
3.5 |
4.4 |
4.9 |
5.4 |
5.6 |
6.2 |
6.2 |
6.0 |
5.8 |
5.1 |
5.3 |
4.6 |
4.4 |
3.8 |
3.4 |
2.8 |
2.6 |
|
100.0% |
Bryson Slagle |
100% |
39.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.5 |
|
100.0% |
Caden Carpenter |
100% |
45.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
|
100.0% |
Ethan Nix |
100% |
60.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Sam Quagliaroli |
100% |
1.0 |
61.5 |
31.9 |
5.3 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Tate Meaux |
100% |
3.9 |
0.1 |
7.4 |
22.7 |
23.0 |
18.3 |
13.0 |
8.5 |
4.3 |
2.1 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Austin Wilson |
100% |
4.7 |
|
3.3 |
13.3 |
18.7 |
20.2 |
17.6 |
12.8 |
8.3 |
4.1 |
1.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Matthew Kim |
100% |
6.5 |
|
0.6 |
2.6 |
6.7 |
13.1 |
17.1 |
19.6 |
18.5 |
13.8 |
6.6 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
Bryson Slagle |
100% |
11.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
2.2 |
6.3 |
16.2 |
25.7 |
17.6 |
10.4 |
7.5 |
5.3 |
3.3 |
2.6 |
1.3 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
Caden Carpenter |
100% |
11.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.9 |
2.8 |
9.2 |
17.9 |
20.6 |
13.2 |
9.7 |
8.3 |
6.2 |
4.9 |
2.7 |
1.8 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
Ethan Nix |
100% |
15.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.8 |
3.0 |
7.8 |
14.9 |
11.2 |
11.0 |
11.0 |
10.3 |
10.0 |
7.3 |
5.1 |
3.3 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
|
100.0% |
Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Sam Quagliaroli |
1.0 |
91.7 |
7.0 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tate Meaux |
2.9 |
0.3 |
27.5 |
24.5 |
18.8 |
13.2 |
8.7 |
4.5 |
1.9 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Austin Wilson |
3.7 |
0.1 |
14.1 |
21.6 |
20.0 |
17.3 |
13.0 |
8.5 |
4.0 |
1.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Matthew Kim |
5.5 |
0.0 |
2.3 |
6.7 |
13.7 |
18.1 |
19.1 |
17.7 |
14.1 |
6.8 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bryson Slagle |
9.9 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.6 |
2.1 |
6.0 |
16.4 |
26.0 |
17.1 |
10.7 |
7.7 |
5.4 |
3.5 |
2.4 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
Caden Carpenter |
10.9 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.9 |
2.6 |
8.9 |
17.7 |
21.4 |
14.1 |
10.2 |
7.9 |
6.4 |
5.1 |
3.1 |
1.4 |
0.4 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
Ethan Nix |
14.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
2.5 |
7.9 |
15.3 |
12.5 |
11.3 |
12.7 |
11.2 |
11.3 |
8.8 |
4.2 |
1.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|