Goshen
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #22
New Haven Semi-State Rank #5
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #3
Elkhart Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 18th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 1.5%
Advance to State Finals 92.4%
Advance to Semi-State 99.8%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Penn Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Harrison Raider Invitational Minuteman Classic NLC Round Robin #2 West Noble Invitational Dana Homo Invite New Haven Invitational NLC / NIC Elkhart Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/27 8/30 9/3 9/10 9/14 9/17 9/20 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 388 425 412 348 366 413 442 NEI 399 382 423 433 434 400
Team Adjusted Rating 425 412 348 366 413 442 NEI 399 382 423 433 434 400
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Penn Invitational Northern Lakes Conference Harrison Raider Invitational Minuteman Classic NLC Round Robin #2 West Noble Invitational Dana Homo Invite New Haven Invitational NLC / NIC Elkhart Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
47  Tommy Claxton 12 16:13 16:03 16:11 16:13 15:57 16:05 16:23 16:17 16:09 16:17 16:21 16:21 16:09 16:07
80  Luis Loera 12 16:26 16:52 16:24 16:33 16:14 16:09 16:27 16:34 16:23 16:20 16:58 16:41 16:56 16:19
177  Diaz Dorian 9 16:57 17:16 17:04 16:54 16:55 17:02 17:13 16:59 16:55 16:50 16:52 17:07 16:50
304  Alex Lopez 11 17:17 17:30 17:15 17:09 19:05 17:12 17:14 17:22 17:25 17:14 17:20 17:22 17:33 17:20
478  Moser Peter 10 17:42 18:06 18:11 18:06 17:57 17:58 18:14 17:45 17:44 17:57 17:32 18:03
699  Lincoln Clark 11 18:03 18:26 18:51 18:38 17:59 18:48 NEI 18:34 18:11 18:24 17:53 18:31
704  Brady Abney 11 18:03 18:01 17:56 17:56 17:59 17:51 17:50 17:52 17:54 18:02 18:06 18:18 18:14 19:06
709  Oliver Biek 12 18:04 17:21 19:48 19:06 18:47 19:39 NEI 19:33 19:20 17:40
829  Bryan Sixtos-Armas 12 18:16 18:52 18:12 18:04 18:32 18:05 17:59 18:22 NEI 18:29 18:19
1,142  Todd Kauffman 10 18:40 19:07 18:59 18:40 19:19 NEI 18:39 18:27 18:24
1,277  David Dominguez 12 18:50 18:31 18:59 19:02 18:20 19:01 18:20 19:06
1,368  Shreiner Landes Quinn 10 18:57 18:16 18:53 19:18 19:03
Kael Bestul 10 19:05 19:05 18:46 19:01 19:22 NEI
Jose Perez 9 19:24 20:12 19:26 18:56 19:40 19:07




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 92.4% 17.0 433 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.5 3.2 5.0 7.4 9.1 10.7 12.2 12.7 10.5 8.1 5.3 3.2 1.6 0.5
Semi-State 99.8% 5.1 181 0.0 1.5 7.5 19.9 31.6 31.9 5.3 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 2.8 88 2.3 20.5 71.4 4.6 0.9 0.2 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.0 52 4.9 89.8 4.6 0.7



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tommy Claxton 98.0% 50.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.8 74.2% 95.6%
Luis Loera 94.0% 74.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.4% 71.1%
Diaz Dorian 92.4% 126.2 0.0% 2.2%
Alex Lopez 92.4% 158.9 0.0% 0.0%
Moser Peter 92.4% 184.0 0.0% 0.0%
Lincoln Clark 92.4% 197.5 0.0% 0.0%
Brady Abney 92.4% 197.8 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tommy Claxton 100% 7.7 0.2 1.1 3.6 6.7 10.6 10.7 10.8 9.5 7.8 7.0 6.3 5.3 4.0 3.6 2.8 2.2 2.0 1.2 1.2 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 100.0% 100.0%
Luis Loera 100% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.3 3.0 4.1 4.8 5.2 5.4 5.6 5.9 5.9 6.5 6.1 5.3 4.7 4.7 3.6 3.6 3.3 3.0 2.9 2.1 100.0% 100.0%
Diaz Dorian 100.0% 43.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.3 85.0% 99.9%
Alex Lopez 99.8% 73.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.0% 93.7%
Moser Peter 99.8% 105.5 0.0% 35.2%
Lincoln Clark 99.8% 131.2 0.0% 2.1%
Brady Abney 99.8% 132.3 0.0% 1.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tommy Claxton 100% 3.1 2.2 27.8 17.9 23.9 13.7 7.5 3.7 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Luis Loera 100% 5.7 0.1 1.6 7.0 9.2 18.2 19.2 15.1 11.0 7.7 4.9 2.9 1.4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Diaz Dorian 100% 15.2 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.9 3.0 4.6 6.6 7.8 7.6 7.9 7.8 6.9 6.6 6.0 5.8 4.9 4.3 4.2 3.2 2.8 2.0 100.0%
Alex Lopez 100% 25.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.7 2.1 2.4 2.8 3.7 4.1 5.0 5.9 6.7 7.1 100.0%
Moser Peter 100% 36.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 100.0%
Lincoln Clark 100% 47.9 99.9%
Brady Abney 100% 48.2 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Tommy Claxton 2.0 30.5 18.9 27.6 16.2 5.3 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Luis Loera 4.1 1.6 8.0 11.0 26.8 29.7 15.9 4.4 1.7 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Diaz Dorian 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.9 5.5 13.2 16.1 15.6 14.2 11.5 7.8 6.8 6.1 1.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.1
Alex Lopez 14.1 0.0 0.3 0.7 2.3 4.4 6.8 9.0 10.1 14.2 22.6 14.7 6.4 3.5 2.2 1.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1
Moser Peter 19.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.9 6.9 10.5 10.3 10.6 9.6 9.3 8.3 7.3 6.0 5.2
Lincoln Clark 28.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.4 1.9 2.7 3.5 4.4 6.1
Brady Abney 28.9 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.4 1.8 2.3 3.3 4.6 5.6