Heritage
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #176
New Haven Semi-State Rank #51
Marion Regional Rank #13
Bellmont Sectional Rank #13
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 11.5%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Bellmont Invitational Norse Invitational Marion Invitational Wildcat Classic South Adams Invitational New Haven Invitational Allen County Athletic Conference Bellmont Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/24 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 1,253 1,286 1,255 1,191 1,229 1,243
Team Adjusted Rating 1,372 1,335 1,286 1,372 1,212 1,191 1,229 1,243
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Bellmont Invitational Norse Invitational Marion Invitational Wildcat Classic South Adams Invitational New Haven Invitational Allen County Athletic Conference Bellmont Sectional Marion Regional New Haven Semi-State
761  Jaxon Hoting 11 18:09 18:17 18:47 17:57 18:22 17:59 18:11 18:18 18:21 17:56 18:00
1,212  Corban Roth 9 18:45 18:50 18:49 18:34 18:50 18:35 18:54 18:32 18:44 19:03
Marshall Harris 10 19:17 20:46 20:10 20:01 19:39 19:29 19:03 19:06 18:52
Hayden Amstein 10 19:28 19:30 19:15 19:01 19:44 20:34 19:10 19:42 19:19
Sam Mihm 12 20:04 21:13 21:11 19:53 19:48 20:01 19:40 19:47 20:22
Gabe Hanford 9 20:30 19:51 20:51 20:23 20:51 19:41 20:40 20:51
Logan Wilhite 12 20:48 21:27 21:11 20:44 21:49 20:18 20:23 20:38
Derrean Schmenk 12 21:08 20:43 20:30 20:37 21:41 20:57 21:46
Cooper Naatz 10 21:15 22:01 21:26 21:39 21:12 21:30 20:11 20:22 21:27




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 11.5% 9.2 189 0.0 0.7 1.5 4.1 5.1
Sectionals 100% 6.6 158 0.0 3.3 8.2 25.7 54.4 8.5



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jaxon Hoting 47.2% 133.4 47.2% 47.2%
Corban Roth 0.1% 150.5 0.1% 0.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jaxon Hoting 100% 25.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.1 3.9 4.9 5.3 6.6 6.3 6.5 6.5 6.3 100.0% 100.0%
Corban Roth 93.3% 47.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 92.4% 93.1%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jaxon Hoting 12.9 0.0 1.5 2.6 6.2 8.2 9.5 10.4 12.6 12.5 11.2 9.1 6.2 4.1 2.5 1.6 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Corban Roth 23.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.9 3.0 5.0 6.7 8.5 10.3 11.9 11.9 11.7