Jefferson
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #103
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #21
Harrison (WL) Regional Rank #5
Harrison (WL) Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 20th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 80.3%
Advance to Regional 80.4%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Jacob Graf Memorial Invitational Harrison 9-Way Tippecanoe City/County Harrison Raider Invitational Wildcat Classic New Prairie Invitational North Central Conference Harrison (WL) Sectional Harrison (WL) Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/14 8/20 8/23 8/30 9/3 9/10 9/17 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 855 1,007 896 1,001 982 1,003 896 968 953 913
Team Adjusted Rating 979 880 913 889 894 801 825 868 824
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Jacob Graf Memorial Invitational Harrison 9-Way Tippecanoe City/County Harrison Raider Invitational Wildcat Classic New Prairie Invitational North Central Conference Harrison (WL) Sectional Harrison (WL) Regional New Prairie Semi-State
536  Elias Rodriguez 10 17:47 17:49 18:34 18:11 17:56 17:45 17:52 17:37 17:38 17:46 17:33 17:30 18:15
614  Andy Melchor 12 17:54 17:40 18:02 17:46
641  Darian Olivio-Hernandez 10 17:57 18:37 18:13 17:58 17:53 17:58 17:42 17:39 17:53 17:48 18:05 18:15
916  Giovanni Hayes 11 18:22 19:00 19:04 19:29 19:06 18:40 18:17 18:04 18:45
1,204  Daeveon Cheeks 12 18:44 18:44 18:32 18:48 18:44 18:56 18:24 18:50 18:41 18:50 18:48
1,248  Gio Flores 11 18:48 18:42 18:34 18:54 18:55 18:35 18:29 18:51 18:58 19:01
Camden Bettag 11 19:10 19:02 19:06 19:00 19:06 19:16 19:10 19:13 19:13 19:13
Carson Hatke 10 19:37 20:34 19:53 19:38 19:36 19:34 19:17 19:37 19:52 19:18
Zayden Barrett 11 19:57 19:14 19:55 20:35
Logan Phillips 10 20:19 21:01 19:46 19:43 20:23 20:03 20:20 21:14




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 80.3% 18.7 449 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.7 3.9 7.1 12.2 18.8 34.7
Regionals 80.4% 4.9 108 0.1 1.5 7.3 71.5 0.1
Sectionals 100% 5.1 125 0.1 1.3 8.1 70.9 19.5 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elias Rodriguez 100.0% 94.6 99.9% 100.0%
Andy Melchor 99.5% 106.3 97.5% 99.5%
Darian Olivio-Hernandez 99.4% 111.3 96.7% 99.1%
Giovanni Hayes 85.0% 141.7 24.1% 65.3%
Daeveon Cheeks 80.3% 157.3 0.0% 11.6%
Gio Flores 80.3% 159.4 0.0% 7.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elias Rodriguez 100% 16.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.0 3.5 4.8 6.3 6.4 7.0 7.4 7.3 7.6 6.6 6.4 5.7 4.8 4.7 4.0 3.3 2.8 100.0% 100.0%
Andy Melchor 100% 20.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.7 2.2 2.8 3.8 4.5 5.3 6.0 5.6 6.4 6.2 6.1 6.8 5.8 5.8 5.4 100.0% 100.0%
Darian Olivio-Hernandez 100% 22.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.4 1.9 3.0 3.4 3.9 4.7 5.3 5.6 5.8 6.1 5.7 6.3 6.4 6.2 100.0% 100.0%
Giovanni Hayes 99.8% 34.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.1 99.1% 99.8%
Daeveon Cheeks 91.0% 43.2 54.2% 87.7%
Gio Flores 88.3% 44.6 40.1% 81.9%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elias Rodriguez 16.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.9 3.0 5.5 7.0 6.8 7.7 7.3 8.3 7.9 8.0 6.8 6.5 5.2 4.3 3.8 3.0 2.0
Andy Melchor 19.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.8 2.5 3.4 4.2 4.9 5.9 6.2 7.1 7.8 7.5 8.5 7.2 6.3 6.0 5.1
Darian Olivio-Hernandez 20.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.7 2.5 2.9 3.9 5.0 5.7 5.8 6.7 7.6 8.0 7.8 7.6 7.2 6.4
Giovanni Hayes 30.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.8 2.7
Daeveon Cheeks 36.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Gio Flores 37.1