Madison-Grant
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank Not in top 181
New Haven Semi-State Rank #54
Marion Regional Rank #14
Marion Sectional Rank #14
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 5.2%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Aaron Stephenson Invitational County Clash Challenge Oak Hill Invitational Marion Invitational Blackford Invitational Tipton Invitational Grant 4 Central Indiana Conference Marion Sectional Marion Regional
Date 8/16 8/20 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/20 10/1 10/8 10/15
Team Rating 1,316 1,275 1,293 1,210 1,286
Team Adjusted Rating 1,406 1,477 1,349 1,275 1,293 1,210 1,303 1,286 1,321
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Aaron Stephenson Invitational County Clash Challenge Oak Hill Invitational Marion Invitational Blackford Invitational Tipton Invitational Grant 4 Central Indiana Conference Marion Sectional Marion Regional
1,052  Dylan Hofherr 11 18:33 19:05 18:55 19:53 19:03 18:12 18:47 18:19 18:24 18:22 18:28 18:31
1,222  Caleb Ewer 11 18:46 19:24 19:08 18:30 18:59 18:07 18:09 18:16 19:02 18:41 19:01 19:13
Aiden Durr 9 19:32 19:43 19:46 19:03 19:42 19:47 19:09 19:15 19:49 19:34
Gavin Kelich 11 19:34 19:02 19:55 20:06 20:00 19:42 19:32 19:17 19:37 19:20 19:28
Tommy Gaddis 12 20:07 19:56 20:18 19:50 20:18 19:59 20:53 20:04 19:58 20:04
William Ewer 9 20:23 20:45 20:35 20:41 20:33 20:11 20:18 20:14 20:16
Lucas Knopp 12 20:37 20:50 21:17 20:39 21:03 20:17 20:34 20:17
Jase Howell 12 21:03 20:56 20:37 20:25 21:09 20:38 21:28 21:02 21:38
Nathan Knopp 12 21:25 21:28 21:21 22:10 21:40 20:55 21:22




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 5.2% 9.8 201 0.0 0.1 0.8 4.3
Sectionals 100% 6.7 167 0.4 4.8 18.9 75.9



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dylan Hofherr 2.2% 145.5 2.2% 2.2%
Caleb Ewer 0.1% 151.5 0.1% 0.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dylan Hofherr 100% 39.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.6 100.0% 100.0%
Caleb Ewer 99.9% 48.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9% 99.9%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Dylan Hofherr 19.7 0.4 1.0 1.4 2.4 3.3 5.1 6.5 7.5 7.9 8.5 8.3 8.4 8.1 7.1 7.3 5.6
Caleb Ewer 25.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.6 2.4 2.8 4.3 5.0 6.1 7.2 8.5 9.6