Madison
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #156
Brown County Semi-State Rank #33
Columbus North Regional Rank #8
Austin Sectional Rank #8
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.8%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Lou Knoble Invitational Taylor University Invitational Eagle Classic Duke Meyer Classic Austin Sectional Columbus North Regional Brown County Semi-State
Date 8/20 8/27 9/10 9/24 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 1,142 1,120 1,113 1,092 1,218 1,205 1,060
Team Adjusted Rating 1,092 1,113 1,092 1,218 1,205 1,060
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Lou Knoble Invitational Taylor University Invitational Eagle Classic Duke Meyer Classic Austin Sectional Columbus North Regional Brown County Semi-State
913  Will Laufer 9 18:22 18:36 18:43 18:10 18:21 18:13 18:11 18:39
1,181  Travis Hoffman 10 18:42 19:25 18:14 18:55 18:52 18:52 18:39 18:35
1,276  Logan Ferris 11 18:50 18:16 18:30 18:02 18:35 19:20 19:29 18:42
Trapper Johnson 12 19:02 19:35 19:09 18:51 19:18 19:05 18:45
John Michael Crouch 11 19:26 20:02 19:22 19:10 19:35 19:28 19:54 19:06
Eli Storm 9 19:29 19:22 19:11 19:17 20:01
Layne Laufer 10 19:51 20:32 19:45 20:19 19:48 19:41 19:37
Trevor Hoffman 12 19:59 20:25 19:51 19:31 19:41 20:08 19:55 20:58




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.8% 20.0 539 0.8
Regionals 100% 7.6 186 0.0 0.8 8.8 17.3 73.0 0.2
Sectionals 100% 3.8 125 0.1 21.9 78.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Will Laufer 62.7% 135.4 62.4% 62.7%
Travis Hoffman 6.8% 147.2 6.1% 6.3%
Logan Ferris 2.2% 150.7 1.5% 1.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Will Laufer 100% 28.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.7 8.8 8.6 7.7 99.1%
Travis Hoffman 100% 43.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 80.3%
Logan Ferris 100% 48.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 62.7%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Will Laufer 12.6 0.0 0.3 1.4 15.8 14.4 12.0 10.4 9.0 8.3 6.3 5.2 4.4 3.7 3.2 2.1 1.7 0.8 0.5 0.3
Travis Hoffman 21.2 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.5 2.0 2.6 3.8 4.0 5.0 6.1 7.3 7.3 7.8 8.2 8.6 7.9 7.4
Logan Ferris 24.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.6 2.4 2.6 3.6 4.8 6.0 6.4 8.5 8.8 9.8