All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Huntington Invitational |
Hamilton County |
Wildcat Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Valley Twilight Invitational |
Noblesville JV Invitational |
Noblesville Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/20 |
8/27 |
9/10 |
9/17 |
9/24 |
10/1 |
10/5 |
10/8 |
10/15 |
10/22 |
10/29 |
| Team Rating |
147 | |
143 |
153 |
585 |
177 |
116 |
95 |
879 |
413 |
183 |
167 |
178 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
143 |
153 |
147 |
177 |
116 |
95 |
147 |
247 |
183 |
167 |
178 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Huntington Invitational |
Hamilton County |
Wildcat Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Valley Twilight Invitational |
Noblesville JV Invitational |
Noblesville Sectional |
Noblesville Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 7 |
Asher Propst |
12 |
15:40 |
15:42 |
15:59 |
15:59 |
|
15:53 |
15:38 |
15:47 |
|
16:58 |
15:42 |
15:37 |
15:34 |
| 18 |
Caden Click |
11 |
15:49 |
15:54 |
16:19 |
16:37 |
|
15:39 |
15:44 |
15:27 |
|
16:27 |
15:45 |
15:46 |
15:45 |
| 48 |
Jack Strong |
10 |
16:13 |
16:50 |
15:59 |
16:30 |
|
16:02 |
15:59 |
15:54 |
|
|
16:38 |
16:21 |
16:30 |
| 70 |
Ronnie Neal |
10 |
16:21 |
16:56 |
16:10 |
16:04 |
|
16:45 |
16:22 |
16:25 |
|
|
16:48 |
16:12 |
16:41 |
| 98 |
Sam Rinker |
11 |
16:34 |
16:55 |
16:22 |
16:12 |
|
16:55 |
16:37 |
16:06 |
|
|
16:38 |
17:00 |
16:34 |
| 105 |
Alec Moor |
11 |
16:36 |
16:57 |
16:35 |
16:17 |
|
16:51 |
16:19 |
16:21 |
|
|
16:32 |
16:59 |
17:04 |
| 273 |
Ashton Burns |
12 |
17:13 |
17:32 |
17:20 |
17:13 |
17:17 |
17:29 |
17:21 |
17:16 |
|
16:58 |
16:56 |
17:15 |
17:19 |
| 305 |
Caden Jackson |
10 |
17:18 |
17:12 |
17:21 |
17:03 |
17:19 |
17:17 |
17:21 |
17:18 |
|
17:21 |
|
|
|
| 332 |
John Libs |
9 |
17:23 |
|
17:21 |
17:07 |
|
17:30 |
17:25 |
17:24 |
|
17:22 |
|
|
|
| 361 |
Noah Melton |
9 |
17:26 |
|
17:39 |
17:15 |
|
17:19 |
17:26 |
17:31 |
|
17:30 |
|
|
|
| 556 |
Jude Naville |
10 |
17:49 |
18:12 |
17:56 |
17:59 |
17:45 |
17:47 |
17:44 |
17:45 |
17:57 |
|
|
|
|
| 592 |
Jackson Umthum |
10 |
17:52 |
17:26 |
18:04 |
18:05 |
17:28 |
|
18:03 |
17:23 |
|
18:08 |
|
|
|
| 737 |
Jack Shinneman |
10 |
18:06 |
18:05 |
17:44 |
17:46 |
17:35 |
18:06 |
18:15 |
18:22 |
18:25 |
|
|
|
|
| 751 |
Luke Mumaw |
11 |
18:08 |
17:57 |
17:48 |
18:21 |
18:01 |
17:35 |
18:16 |
18:50 |
18:04 |
|
|
|
|
| 822 |
Grant Cummings |
11 |
18:15 |
17:45 |
17:51 |
18:16 |
|
18:34 |
18:09 |
18:10 |
18:29 |
|
|
|
|
| 946 |
Simon Adams |
12 |
18:25 |
18:10 |
18:27 |
18:36 |
18:24 |
18:18 |
18:29 |
18:33 |
18:14 |
|
|
|
|
| 978 |
Cooper Click |
9 |
18:27 |
|
18:33 |
18:31 |
18:33 |
18:29 |
18:20 |
18:28 |
18:25 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,095 |
Bradyn Livingston |
10 |
18:36 |
18:03 |
19:01 |
18:41 |
18:32 |
18:22 |
18:42 |
18:47 |
18:24 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,165 |
Luke Conrad |
9 |
18:41 |
|
18:47 |
18:41 |
18:28 |
18:24 |
18:37 |
19:10 |
18:47 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,193 |
Luke Bodinus |
10 |
18:43 |
17:37 |
18:25 |
19:15 |
18:18 |
18:44 |
18:33 |
18:55 |
18:55 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,199 |
J.D. Wax |
12 |
18:43 |
18:12 |
18:34 |
|
19:04 |
19:41 |
18:33 |
18:09 |
18:49 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,270 |
Brady Barnes |
12 |
18:49 |
|
18:44 |
18:54 |
18:57 |
19:03 |
18:37 |
18:45 |
18:57 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,360 |
Bode Barnes |
10 |
18:57 |
18:55 |
18:43 |
18:32 |
18:22 |
18:58 |
19:08 |
18:52 |
20:26 |
|
|
|
|
|
Ryan Clark |
10 |
19:12 |
19:37 |
18:45 |
18:39 |
19:09 |
|
23:08 |
19:12 |
19:13 |
|
|
|
|
|
Grant Warnock |
9 |
19:21 |
|
19:45 |
19:30 |
17:58 |
19:00 |
19:55 |
19:37 |
19:16 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
99.9% |
4.1 |
164 |
2.5 |
10.3 |
19.5 |
27.6 |
26.3 |
9.2 |
2.7 |
1.1 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
3.5 |
116 |
2.6 |
11.6 |
26.9 |
50.6 |
7.0 |
1.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.0 |
62 |
4.5 |
87.8 |
7.6 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.9 |
43 |
5.3 |
94.6 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Asher Propst |
100% |
11.0 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
2.8 |
4.7 |
5.9 |
6.2 |
6.4 |
6.0 |
6.0 |
5.4 |
5.0 |
4.8 |
4.5 |
4.2 |
4.1 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
2.5 |
2.5 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
100.0% |
99.9% |
| Caden Click |
100.0% |
19.5 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.5 |
2.1 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
2.9 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
3.8 |
3.9 |
3.5 |
3.6 |
3.6 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
3.0 |
2.9 |
54.5% |
99.3% |
| Jack Strong |
99.9% |
52.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.0% |
67.0% |
| Ronnie Neal |
99.9% |
66.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.0% |
41.7% |
| Sam Rinker |
99.9% |
90.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0% |
10.1% |
| Alec Moor |
99.9% |
94.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
7.7% |
| Ashton Burns |
99.9% |
154.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Asher Propst |
100% |
6.8 |
0.4 |
1.4 |
5.0 |
11.0 |
12.0 |
11.8 |
10.2 |
9.6 |
7.8 |
6.9 |
5.0 |
4.2 |
3.2 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Caden Click |
100% |
11.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
1.9 |
4.5 |
5.8 |
6.4 |
7.4 |
6.9 |
7.8 |
7.7 |
7.1 |
6.6 |
6.1 |
5.1 |
4.6 |
4.1 |
3.3 |
3.0 |
2.4 |
2.2 |
1.6 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
0.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Jack Strong |
100% |
26.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
3.7 |
3.9 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.9 |
4.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Ronnie Neal |
100% |
32.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
2.3 |
2.2 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
|
99.9% |
| Sam Rinker |
100% |
45.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
|
98.1% |
| Alec Moor |
100% |
47.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
|
97.5% |
| Ashton Burns |
100% |
87.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20.4% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Asher Propst |
100% |
4.8 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
6.9 |
20.8 |
24.4 |
21.1 |
12.8 |
6.6 |
2.6 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Caden Click |
100% |
6.7 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
1.2 |
4.1 |
11.1 |
18.6 |
22.8 |
17.7 |
11.4 |
6.3 |
3.4 |
1.8 |
0.9 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Jack Strong |
100% |
12.3 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.9 |
3.8 |
7.7 |
10.1 |
11.4 |
12.9 |
11.0 |
9.7 |
8.1 |
6.2 |
4.9 |
3.9 |
2.7 |
2.0 |
1.6 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Ronnie Neal |
100% |
15.5 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.8 |
3.5 |
5.4 |
6.8 |
9.4 |
9.5 |
8.9 |
8.8 |
8.2 |
7.6 |
6.7 |
5.2 |
4.1 |
3.5 |
2.7 |
2.1 |
1.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Sam Rinker |
100% |
22.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
2.2 |
2.9 |
3.9 |
4.6 |
5.2 |
6.1 |
6.6 |
6.9 |
7.2 |
6.9 |
6.9 |
6.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Alec Moor |
100% |
23.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
3.1 |
3.6 |
4.9 |
5.2 |
5.6 |
6.5 |
6.8 |
7.4 |
7.0 |
6.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Ashton Burns |
100% |
37.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Asher Propst |
2.8 |
0.8 |
6.3 |
55.1 |
23.8 |
8.7 |
3.5 |
1.4 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Caden Click |
4.0 |
0.0 |
0.9 |
10.8 |
38.5 |
25.0 |
12.3 |
6.8 |
3.6 |
1.4 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Jack Strong |
8.6 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
3.9 |
9.7 |
12.1 |
13.8 |
16.4 |
14.1 |
11.4 |
7.4 |
5.1 |
2.9 |
1.8 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ronnie Neal |
10.9 |
|
|
|
|
0.7 |
1.9 |
4.3 |
7.3 |
10.3 |
12.6 |
14.3 |
13.9 |
11.1 |
8.8 |
6.4 |
4.8 |
2.3 |
1.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Sam Rinker |
15.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
2.4 |
4.9 |
6.9 |
9.2 |
10.6 |
12.7 |
14.1 |
13.4 |
13.1 |
8.8 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
| Alec Moor |
15.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
1.7 |
3.1 |
5.4 |
8.0 |
10.1 |
11.9 |
13.2 |
14.7 |
15.3 |
12.8 |
1.4 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
| Ashton Burns |
22.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
2.0 |
20.1 |
11.7 |
9.7 |
10.5 |
12.1 |
10.3 |
|
