North Central (Indpls)
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #29
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #13
Noblesville Regional Rank #7
Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 7.7%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Zionsville Early Bird Invite (4k) Marion County Championship Marion Invitational Eagle Classic Ben Davis Invite Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conference Nike Valley Twilight Invitational North Central JV Invitational Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/14 8/20 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/5 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 464 451 413 455 575 475 537 472 401 488 528
Team Adjusted Rating 451 413 438 440 475 490 468 401 488 528
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Zionsville Early Bird Invite (4k) Marion County Championship Marion Invitational Eagle Classic Ben Davis Invite Flashrock Invitational Metro Interscholastic Conference Nike Valley Twilight Invitational North Central JV Invitational Brebeuf Jesuit Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Nate Killeen 12 15:41 15:48 15:41 15:43 15:41 15:25 16:09 16:20 15:40 16:11 16:00 15:44 15:35
292  Gus Phillips 9 17:16 17:10 17:03 17:14 17:12 17:28 17:06 17:20 17:03 17:28 17:38
333  Grant Hostettler 9 17:23 18:04 17:10 17:37 17:10 18:14 17:10 17:02 17:22 17:28
393  Emmett Tuason 11 17:30 17:14 16:56 17:12 17:19 17:10 17:50 17:25 17:50 17:56
428  Grady Hadar 12 17:35 17:44 17:49 17:41 17:28 17:29 17:29 17:26 17:28 17:34 18:34
491  Owen Osterman 11 17:43 16:35 18:50 17:53 18:06 17:33 18:03 17:24 17:25
608  Andrew Charbonneau 12 17:54 17:09 18:07 17:29 17:53 18:02
668  Elliott DeRyke 10 18:00 18:29 18:48 18:51 18:14 17:49 17:54 17:45 18:00 17:54
763  Henry Bustamante 11 18:09 18:12 17:54 17:35 18:03 17:59 19:12 18:24
827  Alec Hueftle 11 18:16 18:57 17:40 17:44 17:41 18:38 19:08
963  Liell Lloyd-Hostetter 11 18:26 19:00 18:54 19:00 19:07 18:29 18:43 18:20 18:02 18:42
1,090  Max Frank 9 18:36 18:11 18:40 18:45 18:21 18:34 18:57
Justin Kelly 11 19:00 18:30 18:39 18:45 18:59 19:40 19:13 19:11 18:57 18:49
Chris Arnold 10 19:03 19:11 18:48 19:23 18:55




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 7.7% 9.4 280 0.5 1.5 1.9 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100.0% 6.7 166 0.0 1.4 6.3 16.6 70.6 4.9 0.1 0.0
Sectionals 100% 3.0 82 0.0 7.1 85.7 7.1 0.1 0.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nate Killeen 99.9% 12.1 0.2 1.0 2.2 4.4 5.0 6.1 5.2 5.4 5.3 5.2 4.8 4.8 4.4 4.4 3.8 3.4 3.3 2.9 2.8 3.0 2.7 2.0 2.0 1.8 1.5 99.9% 99.9%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nate Killeen 100% 7.4 0.2 1.3 4.5 9.4 10.9 10.3 10.3 8.7 8.0 6.6 6.0 4.4 4.2 3.2 3.0 2.2 1.6 1.5 1.2 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 100.0% 100.0%
Gus Phillips 19.4% 80.3 12.7% 13.2%
Grant Hostettler 11.2% 84.2 3.8% 4.1%
Emmett Tuason 8.1% 92.6 0.5% 0.6%
Grady Hadar 7.8% 98.2 0.1% 0.1%
Owen Osterman 7.7% 108.2 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Charbonneau 7.7% 123.1 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nate Killeen 100% 5.1 0.2 1.7 6.3 18.8 21.7 18.1 15.1 9.7 4.4 2.1 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Gus Phillips 100% 39.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Grant Hostettler 100% 43.0 100.0% 100.0%
Emmett Tuason 100% 48.1 100.0% 100.0%
Grady Hadar 100.0% 51.3 0.0% 100.0%
Owen Osterman 100.0% 56.5 0.0% 99.8%
Andrew Charbonneau 100.0% 63.5 0.0% 98.4%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nate Killeen 2.1 5.6 38.5 54.4 1.4 0.0 0.0
Gus Phillips 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.4 4.5 13.8 16.8 15.5 13.1 11.0 7.5 5.3 3.6 2.2 1.7 1.0 0.4
Grant Hostettler 17.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.3 4.5 9.4 11.5 13.6 12.7 10.8 9.7 7.1 5.8 4.2 3.0 2.0
Emmett Tuason 20.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.0 4.2 6.3 8.8 9.4 10.8 10.7 9.5 8.2 7.1 5.7
Grady Hadar 22.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 2.9 4.3 6.2 8.0 8.6 9.7 9.6 9.2 8.1
Owen Osterman 26.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.6 2.5 4.1 5.2 6.9 8.4 8.4
Andrew Charbonneau 31.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.3 2.1 3.2