Northwestern
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #105
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #22
Culver Academies Regional Rank #5
Logansport Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 20th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 60.7%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Jacob Graf Memorial Invitational Maverick Stampede Marion Invitational Maconaquah Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Hoosier Conference Logansport Sectional Culver Academies Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/20 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 863 749 1,036 809 858 917 842 1,078 966 970
Team Adjusted Rating 749 947 809 858 917 842 858 966 881
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Jacob Graf Memorial Invitational Maverick Stampede Marion Invitational Maconaquah Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Hoosier Conference Logansport Sectional Culver Academies Regional New Prairie Semi-State
535  Colin Feazel 12 17:47 18:37 17:38 18:05 17:54 17:46 18:17 17:45 17:54 17:57 17:43 17:38
579  Gunnar Lashure 12 17:51 18:29 17:24 18:15 17:36 17:29 17:43 17:49 19:51
667  Caleb Champion 12 18:00 17:42 17:39 17:57 18:04 17:53 18:06 18:00 18:08
1,099  Matthew Mitchell 11 18:36 18:44 18:23 19:07 18:20 18:31 19:07 18:28 18:27 18:36 18:44
1,104  Jacob Bumgardner 11 18:37 19:24 18:24 18:37 18:24 18:58 18:42 18:28 18:37 18:41 18:38
Andrew Lesko 10 19:01 19:58 18:55 18:57 19:13 18:59 18:57 19:00 19:19 18:54 18:58
Declan Aaron 10 19:25 19:07 19:26 19:29 19:11 19:07 19:52 19:38
Ryland Barnes 9 19:28 19:11 19:27 19:22 19:32 19:25 19:18 19:45 19:39




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 60.7% 18.6 445 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 1.5 3.0 5.9 10.6 17.3 21.2
Regionals 100% 5.1 137 2.4 12.3 20.3 25.7 21.4 15.6 2.3
Sectionals 100% 1.9 68 40.6 33.9 16.2 9.3 0.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Colin Feazel 96.6% 93.5 91.4% 95.5%
Gunnar Lashure 92.1% 99.7 79.9% 89.6%
Caleb Champion 77.5% 112.9 42.8% 64.8%
Matthew Mitchell 60.7% 150.7 0.0% 0.6%
Jacob Bumgardner 60.8% 151.0 0.0% 0.7%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Colin Feazel 100% 21.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.4 1.8 2.4 3.7 4.5 5.2 6.2 7.3 7.7 8.1 8.4 8.4 7.8 7.3 100.0%
Gunnar Lashure 100% 22.7 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.5 2.4 2.8 3.7 4.5 5.3 6.7 7.6 7.8 8.2 8.4 8.8 100.0%
Caleb Champion 100% 26.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.7 2.3 3.1 3.9 5.3 6.6 8.1 100.0%
Matthew Mitchell 100% 40.6 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Jacob Bumgardner 100% 40.7 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Colin Feazel 7.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 5.0 12.0 15.4 16.9 15.4 13.2 9.4 6.1 3.1 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.1
Gunnar Lashure 8.0 0.0 0.4 2.5 6.9 11.1 13.7 15.4 15.1 13.6 9.2 6.4 3.0 1.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Caleb Champion 10.5 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.3 4.4 7.6 11.0 15.7 17.4 15.9 10.9 6.7 3.9 1.9 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
Matthew Mitchell 19.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.5 3.9 5.9 7.7 9.5 10.7 11.8 11.7 9.7 8.8 6.6 4.4
Jacob Bumgardner 19.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 2.1 3.9 5.6 7.8 9.3 10.4 11.3 11.6 10.2 9.2 7.0 4.2