Orleans
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #138
Brown County Semi-State Rank #29
Bedford North Lawrence Regional Rank #7
Bedford North Lawrence Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Scott Hiles Invitational Mustang Invitational Crawford County Invitational Barr Reeve Invite Ted Fox Invitational Bedford North Lawrence Sectional Edgewood Regional Brown County Semi-State
Date 8/22 8/30 9/17 9/20 9/24 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 1,053 1,160 1,156 1,095 1,151 1,093 1,137
Team Adjusted Rating 1,122 1,156 1,095 1,222 1,151 1,093 1,121
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Scott Hiles Invitational Mustang Invitational Crawford County Invitational Barr Reeve Invite Ted Fox Invitational Bedford North Lawrence Sectional Edgewood Regional Brown County Semi-State
193  Bryce Jones 10 17:01 16:47 17:01 17:13 17:12 17:14 17:02 17:33 16:51
481  Xavier Alston 11 17:42 17:28 18:40 18:33 18:49 19:01 18:23 18:20 17:57 17:33
Jaydien Willis 10 19:04 18:30 19:30 19:29 18:46 19:42 19:13 18:47 18:47
Ammon Morgan 11 19:10 19:28 18:37 18:48 19:06 19:12 19:20 19:31
Nate Brown 9 20:18 20:29 19:53 20:28 20:26 20:15
Nolan Robbins 9 20:37 21:06 20:55 20:10 21:11 20:29 20:36 20:29
Joey Sanders 10 20:41 20:03 21:11 20:30 21:48 20:35 20:37 20:22
Gib Penn 10 20:49 20:24 20:52 21:08 21:02 20:28 20:51 20:42
Allen Curtis 11 21:07 20:47 21:42
Pete Judah 12 21:45 20:46 22:30




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0% 18.8 436 0.0 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 7.0 184 0.1 2.6 97.3 0.0
Sectionals 100% 4.0 127 99.9 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bryce Jones 2.3% 107.9 2.3% 2.3%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bryce Jones 100% 40.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.1 100.0% 100.0%
Xavier Alston 99.9% 87.5 99.9% 99.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bryce Jones 100% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 5.2 8.4 10.2 10.6 10.7 10.3 9.9 8.0 7.3 6.3 5.2 3.4 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Xavier Alston 100% 24.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.6 4.1 5.4 5.8 7.4 8.3 9.0 8.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Bryce Jones 8.4 0.0 0.8 7.4 12.4 12.3 12.9 12.1 10.8 8.8 7.4 6.6 5.1 1.8 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Xavier Alston 19.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 2.0 5.0 7.3 7.8 10.4 14.5 14.0 13.0 10.0 7.4 5.5 1.4